yoda

12z EURO has decided to at least come part way up the coast for the late weekend into early next week deal now... but no cold air to be found lol 144 its just south of ILM with the h5 low close behind it

Lol UKIE at 144... what a grinch look

Going to be interesting to see if KC plays the Ravens in the playoffs as Suggs is reportedly going to play on the Chiefs

https://www.wusa9.com/mobile/article/news/nation-world/deadly-louisiana-storm-leaves-damage-in-its-path/65-86c5d301-86b0-4fd8-b89e-37a1d82be12f Reports are tornado was on ground for possibly 60+ miles

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 1250 PM CST Mon Dec 16 2019 LAC079-161915- /O.CON.KLCH.TO.W.0065.000000T0000Z-191216T1915Z/ Rapides LA- 1250 PM CST Mon Dec 16 2019 ...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR ALEXANDRIA AND PINEVILLE... ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 PM CST FOR NORTHEASTERN RAPIDES PARISH... At 1249 PM CST, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located over Alexandria International Airport, moving northeast at 25 mph. TORNADO EMERGENCY for ALEXANDRIA AND PINEVILLE. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Deadly tornado. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. The tornado will be near... Pineville around 100 PM CST. Tioga, Kingsville and Timber Trails around 105 PM CST. Ball and Paradise around 110 PM CST. Esler Regional Airport and Libuse around 115 PM CST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous, and potentially deadly tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If in a mobile home, a vehicle or outdoors, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 1241 PM CST Mon Dec 16 2019 ...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR ALEXANDRIA... The National Weather Service in Lake Charles has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northeastern Rapides Parish in central Louisiana... * Until 115 PM CST. * At 1239 PM CST, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was observed near Alexandria International Airport, moving northeast at 25 mph. TORNADO EMERGENCY for ALEXANDRIA. This is a DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Deadly tornado. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. * The tornado will be near... Alexandria and Alexandria International Airport around 1245 PM CST. Pineville around 100 PM CST. Tioga, Kingsville and Timber Trails around 105 PM CST. Ball and Paradise around 110 PM CST. Esler Regional Airport and Libuse around 115 PM CST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If in a mobile home, a vehicle or outdoors.. Move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3147 9219 3147 9216 3146 9217 3145 9215 3143 9216 3142 9215 3120 9260 3129 9270 3141 9256 3141 9254 3148 9220 TIME...MOT...LOC 1839Z 230DEG 22KT 3128 9257 TORNADO...OBSERVED TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CATASTROPHIC HAIL...<.75IN

TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR ALEXANDRIA

Chance of some big SVR today in MS/AL

45% wind and large hatched TOR on the 1630

Just south of you guys... MOD risk issued with the 1630 OTLK for LA into MS and SLGT reaching towards Nashville and S TN

CWG saying flakes could breakout between 12 and 2 in the N and W suburbs of DC lol

It just did

Saw this and wondered if this would affect the radar readings tonight https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=lwx&issuedby=LWX&product=FTM NOUS61 KLWX 160133 FTMLWX Message Date: Dec 16 2019 01:39:27 KLWX IS EXPERIENCING CALIBRATION ERRORS THAT ARE CAUSING IT TO READ AROUND 20 TO 25 DBZ TOO LOW. TECHNICIANS ARE LOOKING INTO THE ISSUE AT THIS TIME.

Decent hit? Lol... it's a crushing in SNE ETA: misses NYC too lol

I'd say 00z Euro was a step in the right direction if we want a storm next weekend

Lol congrats on the 00z Euro

Here is 00z UKIE at 120 and 144

00z GFS coming in a lil colder at 36

00z RGEM says its snowing at DCA from around 08z to around 13z MON

00z 3k NAM looks colder than the 00z 12km NAM FWIW

lol the 00z 12km NAM snow map is hilarious

00z NAM at 45 (21z MON) says frozen precip still ongoing in C MD/N VA/NW VA ETA: Still frozen in NW VA at 03z TUES lol

06z ICON also pushed south as well... gets snow or frozen into N VA and DC metro from 06z to around 15z MON 32 degree line sits in N MD till 06z TUES

Both NAMs moved south again at 06z... 12km NAM more interested than the 3k NAM with the frozen precip... 12k NAM run likely overdone but pretty nice for MDers

00z GFS has a large cutoff h5 low Day 9 into Day 11 off the coast of CA lol ETA: still there Day 12