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Hmmm URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 222 PM EST Sat Jan 12 2019 MDZ016-VAZ036>038-050-055>057-130330- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.W.0002.190112T2100Z-190113T2300Z/ Charles-Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Orange-Stafford-Spotsylvania- King George- 222 PM EST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow and some ice. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches and up to one tenth of an inch of glaze ice expected. * WHERE...Portions of southern Maryland and central and northern Virginia. * WHEN...Until 6 PM EST Sunday.

The ZFP's got a lil odd... freezing rain and sleet was introduced down there so that is probably why

What about the 12z WRF-NMM? This is based off the parent NAM correct?

Flurries here or very very light snow falling

Always nice to see in the ZFP's Fairfax- Including the cities of Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, and Franconia 114 PM EST Sat Jan 12 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY... .THIS AFTERNOON...Snow. Snow accumulation around an inch. Highs in the lower 30s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent. .TONIGHT...Snow. Snow may be heavy at times after midnight. Additional snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches. Lows in the upper 20s. East winds around 5 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent. .SUNDAY...Snow, mainly in the morning. Snow may be heavy at times in the morning. Additional snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches. Highs in the lower 30s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Snow likely, mainly in the evening. Lows in the mid 20s. North winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 70 percent. .MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. North winds around 5 mph.

Apparently I was prescient in my post awhile back about warnings being extended to the MD/PA border... just two hours early I was yes yes

Radarscope works for me pretty well

00z run for ref

Not really

Could someone explain what CSI banding is real quick? Its mentioned in the LWX AFD... is that like thundersnow?

Sorry, been up all morning at the grocery store and working around the house. I didnt see the upgraded warning posted so I just said it. My bad. Back on topic, I like the trends of the meso models

WSW FOR DCA AND INTO MARYLAND

12z HRDPS .75" QPF at DCA lol EZF over an inch... BWI around 0.4 or so

From WPC

You can find the FV3 much faster here: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-area.php Click on GFS... it is the FV3 on there

No side dishes like extra dendrites or heavy DGZ to go?

Congrats to all... glad to see you all got crushed with heavy snow

Congrats all... hope you are all enjoying the snow

I echo this... while we complain up north, hope you guys are able to get into the action and get some good snow out of this storm.

Here's the Day 7 precip and SLP position for the 00z UKIE for you guys:

Tbh, I thought the 06z and 18z EURO runs only go out to 120?

Wow... everyone has to see this https://mobile.twitter.com/StuOstro/status/1044253347157553154