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Texas/New Mexico/Louisiana/Mexico Obs And Discussion Thread Part 8
yoda replied to wxmx's topic in Central/Western States
Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Topeka KS 154 AM CDT Fri Aug 30 2019 KSC031-111-139-300715- /O.CON.KTOP.SV.W.0298.000000T0000Z-190830T0715Z/ Osage-Coffey-Lyon- 154 AM CDT Fri Aug 30 2019 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 AM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN OSAGE...WESTERN COFFEY AND LYON COUNTIES... At 154 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 4 miles north of New Strawn to near Hamilton, moving southeast at 50 mph. These are very dangerous storms. HAZARD...90 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. At 153 AM CDT...trained spotters estimated 70 mph wind gusts in Hartford. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged or destroyed. Homes and businesses will have substantial roof and window damage. Expect extensive tree damage and power outages. Locations impacted include... Emporia, Burlington, Lebo, Americus, Olpe, New Strawn, Hartford, Gridley, Neosho Rapids, Reading and John Redmond Reservoir. -
Texas/New Mexico/Louisiana/Mexico Obs And Discussion Thread Part 8
yoda replied to wxmx's topic in Central/Western States
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Topeka KS 137 AM CDT Fri Aug 30 2019 The National Weather Service in Topeka has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southwestern Anderson County in east central Kansas... Southwestern Osage County in east central Kansas... Coffey County in east central Kansas... Southeastern Lyon County in east central Kansas... * Until 215 AM CDT. * At 136 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 4 miles southeast of Reading to 7 miles west of Madison, moving southeast at 50 mph. These are very dangerous storms. HAZARD...90 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Official observation station at the Emporia Airport. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged or destroyed. Homes and businesses will have substantial roof and window damage. Expect extensive tree damage and power outages. * Locations impacted include... Burlington, Lebo, Olpe, New Strawn, Hartford, Gridley, Neosho Rapids, Westphalia, Beto Junction, John Redmond Reservoir, Melvern Lake and Le Roy. This includes Interstate 35 between mile markers 138 and 156. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... This is an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION with tornado like wind speeds expected. Mobile homes and high profile vehicles are especially susceptible to winds of this magnitude and may be overturned. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. These storms have the potential to cause serious injury and significant property damage. && LAT...LON 3817 9596 3817 9634 3858 9585 3804 9536 3804 9596 TIME...MOT...LOC 0636Z 329DEG 42KT 3849 9589 3817 9627 HAIL...<.75IN WIND...90MPH -
How's that 1938 hurricane similarity coming along? You know, the one that was going to crush you in NJ? Hope you are safe
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Hot take right here
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A page over arguing the HWRF in the main thread
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Looks like a mature bow echo will be coming through overnight URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 406 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1020 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2019 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northern and central Alabama Northeastern Arkansas Central and northern Mississippi Southern middle and southwestern Tennessee * Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 1020 PM until 600 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A well-organized cluster and separate bow echo initially over eastern Arkansas, each with a well-developed wind signature and history of severe gusts, will proceed into and across the watch area. These systems could merge as well. Severe thunderstorm wind will remain the main threat, though an embedded tornado or two also is possible.
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Central/Western Medium-Long Range Discussion
yoda replied to andyhb's topic in Central/Western States
There's a risk each day as well... don't see that at all before either I believe. I think this is like the 3rd time ever SPC has had a Day 8 risk? -
LWX had a great write up in their evening AFD that I posted in the catchall severe thread... dunno what Wakefield is saying though
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TOG near Fuquay-Varina... was decent for a moment looking at CC ETA: Solak posted image above
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Tornado warning for DeKalb, Rutherford, Wilson and Cannon counties until 3:15pm
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If true, that's just... wow
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Drip drip drip is what's going on outside right now for him
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But I thought you were only getting 2 inches? And the GFS only showed 0.3" QPF? What happened?
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I hope so as well, but didnt you guys up north do well in the November storm?
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Damn, I didnt think you would reach 10"... congrats
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My 8.5 sounds good then
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As of 1pm
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@nj2va @mattie g Those around me, how much do you have at 6pm? I measured just over 8.5
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Tries for another .2 to. 3 of QPF near DCA lol
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https://mobile.twitter.com/antmasiello/status/1084547772060188673 https://mobile.twitter.com/islivingston/status/1084547798052278272
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Oooh https://mobile.twitter.com/antmasiello/status/1084546839486054400
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Some have already closed... though they are the usual
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Afternoon LWX AFD:
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https://mobile.twitter.com/islivingston/status/1084542703508119557
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Short Term Forecast National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1211 PM EST Sun Jan 13 2019 DCZ001-MDZ504-VAZ052>054-506-131900- District of Columbia-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Eastern Loudoun- Including the cities of Washington, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, Montclair, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, Leesburg, Ashburn, and Sterling 1211 PM EST Sun Jan 13 2019 .NOW... A band of moderate to heavy snow is developing and moving into Washington DC and its southwestern suburbs. Visibility may be reduced to a quarter mile. Snowfall rates of a half to one inch per hour are possible. A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect until midnight.
