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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 245 PM EST Fri Nov 29 2019 MDZ501-502-WVZ050-051-055-501>504-300345- /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0007.191130T2300Z-191201T1700Z/ Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany-Hampshire- Morgan-Hardy-Western Grant-Eastern Grant-Western Mineral- Eastern Mineral- 245 PM EST Fri Nov 29 2019 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Significant icing possible with the potential for ice accumulations around one-quarter inch. * WHERE... Portions of western Maryland and the Potomac Highlands in West Virginia. * WHEN...From Saturday evening through Sunday morning. Freezing rain is most likely Saturday night. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are possible due to the ice. Travel may be dangerous.

Full sounding at DCA says its snow at 32/33 degrees

Um... going to need to see that sounding at 102... cause precip says snow in DCA

Looks like we start off again with frozen precip per the 00z GFS at hrs 93-96

GEFS mean and its members should be fun to see then

h5 def moved SW comparing 00z 150 to 18z 156

Well... at least the secondary SLP is further SW on the GFS? 18z at 144 its basically over Delmarva, while 00z at 138 its in SE VA

You would think that 1035 HP on teh 00z GFS at 102 is in a good position for us...

23-17 win vs the Bengals

They just might though... if they can get past the next two games (@HOU and vs KC)... they should win out -- they would have the Bengals, Dolphins, and Bills left. Bills have the defense, but not the offense to stay with the Pats

Problem this go around is the mountains per the 12z GFS eat up all the precip and barely gets even flurries over to us... not sure it would happen that way but its what it shows even with the powerful ULL moving through us

Meh

Def agree... don't bother looking to the NE either for next weekend on the 12z GFS 12z GFS has the mountains eat up any chance at some ULL love though

Is the look on the h5 level on the 00z Euro good or bad at the end of its run? Kind of looks like a meh to serviceable look to me in early December... do i have that wrong?

And here is the heavy rain now looking at radar

wonder if its the usual EURO bias... but thats a slow moving cut off low in the SW on the 12z EURO at h5 Days 8 and 9... actually migrates southward down the West Coast from Day 6 to Day 9 ETA: Finally being kicked out on Day 10

Even Wednesday, the day before Thanksgiving, looks pretty windy with 70-75 kt 850mb winds per the 12z EURO

Probably a very windy Thanksgiving Day down here with that 7 level closed contour h5 and 986mb SLP in ME... check out the 850mb winds... 70 kts just off the deck

7 level closed contour h5 too... thats... impressive

12z EURO day 5 984mb SLP just west of CLE moves E into ME as a 986mb SLP... wow EURO

What a bomb on the 12z EURO at 144... 984mb just W of CLE... 3 level closed contour h5 too

12z EURO for Sunday has a 995mb SLP over Delmarva at 12z SUN... sounds rainy lol

True I was just saying that the EURO always showed something nice 10 days away last year and it pretty much never came lol

It did? Guess its better than it being 10 days out

28th... Thanksgiving Day