yoda

Seems could be interesting out west tomorrow afternoon into night? Afternoon discussion from LWX We`re expecting two rounds of storms tomorrow. The first round is expected to form within a surface trough just to the east of the Alleghenies during the mid-late afternoon hours. Model soundings show a fair amount of dry air in place aloft, and large scale forcing for ascent won`t be overly strong, so areal coverage with this first round of storms is only expected to be isolated to scattered in nature. If storms do become well established, the background environment will have enough instability (around 1000 J/kg of MLCAPE) and shear (around 40 knots in the 0-6 km layer) to promote updraft rotation. Isolated instances of damaging winds or hail may be possible with these storms as they move eastward from the Potomac Highlands toward the I-81 corridor and then the Blue Ridge/Catoctins during the mid-late afternoon hours. Conditions will likely remain dry to the east of US-15 during the daylight hours. A second round of pre-existing storms will approach from the Ohio Valley, reaching the Allegheny Front around sunset. This round of storms could be well organized into a squall line, and may potentially be quite intense. With the loss of daytime heating, the trend will likely be downward with the strength of this activity as it moves into our area, but damaging winds may still be possible, especially along and west of the Allegheny Front. Large scale forcing for ascent may enable these storms to hold together in a weakened form as they move eastward across the forecast area during the first half of the night. As of now, SPC has Garrett County in Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms, with locations further east to about US-15 in a Marginal Risk.

Interesting... I did not know you could do that. I will definitely look into this website more

Sounds like the Capitals are waving the white flag on this season... Dowd moved yesterday... Carlson this morning

Impossible. It precipitated in the desert?

Hmmm... sneaky severe this evening?

You can clearly see the blue sky

I see @EastCoast NPZ got an inch looks like Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 242 PM EST Mon Mar 02 2026 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0130 PM Snow 2 E Stephens City 39.10N 78.18W 03/02/2026 M0.9 inch Frederick VA Trained Spotter

Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 930 AM EST Mon Mar 2 2026 DCZ001-MDZ013-014-503>506-VAZ039-040-051-053-054-501-502-505-506- 526-527-022030- District of Columbia-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel- Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Madison- Rappahannock-Culpeper-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria- Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun- Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William- Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- Including the cities of Washington, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, Germantown, Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Lisbon, Columbia, Ellicott City, Madison, Culpeper, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, Warrenton, Turnbull, Purcellville, Leesburg, Ashburn, Sterling, Haymarket, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, and Montclair 930 AM EST Mon Mar 2 2026 ...LIGHT SNOW EXPECTED MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Snow midday and afternoon, accumulating around an inch on unpaved surfaces. Some slushy accumulation on paved surfaces possible. * WHERE...The Washington Metropolitan area, northern Virginia, and central Maryland. * WHEN...The steadiest snow is expected between noon and 5 PM this afternoon. * IMPACTS...In bands of heavier snow, road surfaces may become slushy or even snow covered for a brief period this afternoon. For this evening, any standing water or slush may freeze with temperatures around 30 to 32 degrees.

I am kind of surprised though not to see WWAs. They have been mentioning ice in the zones for a bit now... up to a tenth of an inch. I thought even a glaze brought out WWA criteria

March DCA _ NYC _ BOS _ ORD _ ATL _ IAH _ DEN _ PHX _ SEA +3.1 +2.0 +0.7 +2.3 +3.5 +2.6 +2.3 +3.1 -0.2

I didn't know about this... did any of you? https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/conditional-intensity-information/

@weatherwiz https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/conditional-intensity-information/

Looks a bit overdone IMO... upper 70s seems a bit of a reach the way this winter has gone re temperatures in the LR. But I will take 60s

Good. Bring the torch. I'm ready for 60s

Norlun

Its official https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/

@bncho enjoy day off

Fairfax said that in their message on the website lol

2 hour delay tomorrow @bncho

They've been warnings since yesterday

Flakes starting to mix in here

Baltimore has a nearly a foot in 3km NAM Kuchera... DC metro 10"

Take it right now fool... get it done

Still snowing moderately in DC metro at 45 on 18z NAM