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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Holston_River_Rambler
    Interesting satellite imagery this PM: Almost looks like a low level low spinning up near Knox That arrow shaped dry punch is rolling in overhead and really cranked up the wind here.
  2. Holston_River_Rambler
    Fantasy Miller B and a flurry for Blunderstorm on the 0z GFS!!! If we get snow on All Saints Day instead of Halloween it is a 150% better omen for winter...right??
  3. Holston_River_Rambler
    Todd Howell said a possible velocity couplet passed over my house. I was not impressed, the rain was pretty intense though.
  4. Holston_River_Rambler
    Front just blasted through here in Morgan County. No doubts when it came through, lol. Enjoy all y'all further east as it heads off the plateau!
  5. Holston_River_Rambler
    Any updates from @TellicoWx NWS Morristown used this image on one of their social media platforms, even though I think it is from WATE
  6. Holston_River_Rambler
    I meant to post those a couple of weeks ago. Went back to Big South Fork today and was able to get some nice T-Storm development:
  7. Holston_River_Rambler
    Some pics from the confluence of Obed and Clear Creek in mid summer: Big South Fork, near Leatherwood ford:
  8. Holston_River_Rambler
    PDO action from Raindance:
  9. Holston_River_Rambler
    Fortunately I've been with the "haves", in terms of rains this month. Until yesterday, lol. Been out on the rivers a lot, trying to enjoy the summer and catch smalljaws and trout. Here are some river/ weather pics: Emory river, N. of Oakdale, looking SSE: Clear Creek, just north of Jett Bridge: Clinch river, below Norris dam, in a heavy shower: Emory river, just SE of Nemo Access as a storm drops in from the N:
  10. Holston_River_Rambler
    Some pics from the recent rainforest like conditions: Big South (Muddy) Fork, at Angel Falls rapid: For your trout folks, there were a bunch of big trout just below the rapids popping on some fly I couldn't see Frozen Head:
  11. Holston_River_Rambler
    Got a time lapse of the rotation in the atmosphere:
  12. Holston_River_Rambler
    Def some nice shear on satellite for the tornado warning in my neck of the woods:
  13. Holston_River_Rambler
    I was getting one for the AFDs this AM.
  14. Holston_River_Rambler
    A good old fashioned mini NAMing for Ye Olden Favoured eastern areas:
  15. Holston_River_Rambler
    Obed:
  16. Holston_River_Rambler
    The Big South Fork’s leatherwood Ford gauge is at 40 feet. I’m going to head up toward the Obed to see what the rivers look like up that way, if I can get there.
  17. Holston_River_Rambler
    Nice cloud pic posted by a tavern in downtown Carthage: https://www.facebook.com/ebelstavern/photos/a.450163365365397/1352014735180251/
  18. Holston_River_Rambler
    It's warned now with 1.5" hail: The National Weather Service in Morristown has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Central Morgan County in east Tennessee... * Until 845 AM EDT. * At 758 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Fairfield Glade, or 11 miles northeast of Crossville, moving northeast at 50 mph. HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. * Locations impacted include... Wartburg, Sunbright, High Point, Frozen Head State Park, Deerlodge and Rugby State Park.
  19. Holston_River_Rambler
    Well, I see the NWS Special weather statement now, looks like just a strong storm with Penny - Nickle sized hail. Headed for me though, so we'll see what I get here.
  20. Holston_River_Rambler
    It's not showing up on the MRX scan, but that area is a weird one for radar, since it is about half way between OHX and MRX.
  21. Holston_River_Rambler
    I may just be seeing things, but it almost looks like the storm heading towards Cumberland County has a couplet:
  22. Holston_River_Rambler
    The Euro is in on it, lol: I wonder if this is the reality of the long anticipated storm I posted in banter a couple of weeks ago: yeah it's few days late, but these things often get pushed back. Besides, I'm ready for a couple weeks off of severe wx now.
  23. Holston_River_Rambler
    Yeah, was just about to post the image windspeed posted, no clear velocity couplets on the cells yet, but some of them are starting to hook.
  24. Holston_River_Rambler
    Mesoscale Discussion 0257 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021 Areas affected...far northern Mississippi into Middle Tennessee Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 251929Z - 252130Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...The threat of severe storms including tornadoes will increase by late afternoon into Middle Tennessee and persist through the evening. A watch may be issued by 21Z. DISCUSSION...Surface analysis currently shows a warm front into far southwestern TN extending east/southeast into northern AL. Meanwhile, another warm front extended from the developing surface low from southern IL into central KY. In between these two fronts, gradual warming is taking place, with temperatures now into the low 70s F. MUCAPE currently remains below 1000 J/kg as a result of dewpoints near 60 F. Strengthening 850 mb winds out of the southwest later today should aid moisture advection out of MS into Middle TN, with areas of heating helping to destabilize as well. Shear will become increasingly favorable for tornadic supercells in the 21-03Z time frame, and a few tornadoes are anticipated as the mid 60s F dewpoints arrive later today. With the more unstable air in place, effective SRH may reach 400-500 m2/s2. ..Jewell/Hart.. 03/25/2021
  25. Holston_River_Rambler
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