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Newman

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Newman

  1. RGEM still likes Philly/Immediate SE PA as the jackpot.
  2. Use total QPF, convert using your own ratios. In that CCB tomorrow afternoon/evening, ratios will be higher than 10:1 with incredible forcing if this look holds
  3. That energy diving in across the Great Lakes? It helps to re-energize the trough and upper low, bringing snow straight through Tuesday and into the night...
  4. 4.7". *Only* picked up 0.7" in the past hour compared to the previous 2 hours where we were pounding out 1"/hr rates
  5. It's gonna snow straight through Tuesday
  6. Through hour 30, still more to go for some. Do the math, do what ever ratio you want (12:1-15:1 in the CCB?).
  7. Lol I mean the low level jet is just aimed directly over SE PA. This is gonna be huge
  8. HRRR sucks and really isn't matching well with current obs, radar, etc. It's just another piece of guidance.
  9. It's gonna be tough. We might see like a 3-4" gradient west to east across Berks county. I think 12-18 is a very solid bet right now. Up towards Lehigh/Allentown/Easton it's more like 16-22+"
  10. Lol true, they both suck how about that
  11. Imagine 30 hours out from right now one model gives Philly 3.5", and another gives Philly 17.5".... well that's the difference between the American guidance NAM and GFS. Thirty. Hours. Out.
  12. LOL GFS parks it into Southern Jersey. I mean, I won't complain, but it's now on the far western side of all guidance. And I mean FAR western side.
  13. Mount Holly upped Berks from 10-15" to 12-16" on the latest WSW. Lehigh and Poconos area 16-24". Updated map:
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