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Newman

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Newman

  1. If you check mesoanalysis, and all of the models, it's right where it's been modeled. But the low should swing back to the west and tuck
  2. Major cave on the latest HRRR. I just hope this pesky warm bubble can subside once we get into heavier rates
  3. 6" storm total thus far, sleeting as of now. My concerns are 1.) Does the CCB get out this far west? 2.) How quickly can we crash the warm layer currently in place? Regardless, it's gonna be interesting here in a bit...
  4. The difference between the GFS/Euro and the NAM/RGEM could not be any more insane now 6-12 hours out from this
  5. Okay, before I go to sleep, check out the GFS. CCB reforms on Tuesday. Legit snows now being modeled throughout Tuesday, widespread an extra 4-8" LOL
  6. RGEM still likes Philly/Immediate SE PA as the jackpot.
  7. Use total QPF, convert using your own ratios. In that CCB tomorrow afternoon/evening, ratios will be higher than 10:1 with incredible forcing if this look holds
  8. That energy diving in across the Great Lakes? It helps to re-energize the trough and upper low, bringing snow straight through Tuesday and into the night...
  9. 4.7". *Only* picked up 0.7" in the past hour compared to the previous 2 hours where we were pounding out 1"/hr rates
  10. It's gonna snow straight through Tuesday
  11. Through hour 30, still more to go for some. Do the math, do what ever ratio you want (12:1-15:1 in the CCB?).
  12. Lol I mean the low level jet is just aimed directly over SE PA. This is gonna be huge
  13. HRRR sucks and really isn't matching well with current obs, radar, etc. It's just another piece of guidance.
  14. It's gonna be tough. We might see like a 3-4" gradient west to east across Berks county. I think 12-18 is a very solid bet right now. Up towards Lehigh/Allentown/Easton it's more like 16-22+"
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