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Newman

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Newman

  1. Newman
    Mean Total QPF on the plumes is 0.56" at KPHL. Do your own ratios however you please
  2. Newman
    SREFs plumes increased from 3.5" to 5.5" at KPHL since last run
  3. Newman
    Temps in the teens as the storm rolls in next Tuesday. Definitely looking like a "25F and freezing rain" type of storm as of now with the warm mid-levels but strong high pressure anchored in place overhead in SE Canada.
  4. Newman
    10:1 ratios are still nearly 5" into Philly
  5. Newman
    Saturday/Sunday on the Euro
  6. Newman
    Total Euro QPF
  7. Newman
    GFS nice out here with Kuchera (if we are to believe ratios will be higher). 4-6" in South Central PA
  8. Newman
  9. Newman
    GFS says I'll surpass 60" on the season by this time next week
  10. Newman
    3.5" in Fleetwood. Elevation helped out with accumulation. Season total now at 44.5"
  11. Newman
    Long range HRRRRRR
  12. Newman
    3k NAM says 16" in Philly (at 10:1 ratio)
  13. Newman
    NAM is a monster hit for most.
  14. Newman
    1.5" of snow in Fleetwood this morning. Now just a mist/flurries.
  15. Newman
    3k NAM would be a good hit
  16. Newman
    Yep, upper levels plenty cold. But surface is verbatim 32-33. Maybe it drops to 29-30 in the heaviest rates/those further NW. But we probably thump heavy snow 5-8"
  17. Newman
    Much more favorable upper jet, like substantially better. Puts us in the right entrance region.
  18. Newman
  19. Newman
    There it is
  20. Newman
  21. Newman
  22. Newman
    Just an example of the model shifts NW we're seeing
  23. Newman
    GEFS came significantly further west for the Super Bowl Storm
  24. Newman
    The threat to watch out for is around Feb 13-15. @Wentzadelphia, take a look at the Para-GFS. It tries to pull a 96' with the vortex escaping into the 50/50 region, and a PNA spike bringing down another piece of energy that closes off in the center of the country. The only problem with this 12z run was it amps up way too early. Regardless, I'm on board with your February 10-17 call. It'll likely be centered around the 14th or 15th..
  25. Newman
    Anytime you get over 18" you'll start mixing reports of people who use the "clean-the-board" method and those who just measure directly on the ground. That can inflate or deflate totals substantially, especially places like KABE where it was over 2 feet. Either way, 26" was the final here. 39" on the season
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