Newman

Heading to southern LANCO, Pinnacle Overlook, to see what I can catch with this

Anybody is better than Simmons. His decision to pass though he had an open dunk sealed the deal for me last night. It's downright pathetic, and what an awful way to end an otherwise great regular season. Embiid needs another star

I'm traveling up with a buddy to Tiadaghton State Forest in Lycoming a week from now to do a 3-4 day backpacking trip on the Black Forest Trail. Fingers crossed 1. The heat breaks for us and 2. The forecast is dry.

Even though there isn't a strong source of lift (frontal, orographic, convergence), the 12z soundings from around the area had a Convective-T of 90F. With SBCAPE and the LI already fairly high, low level lapse rates booming, enough sky clearing, and the LFC/LCL in favorable tandem.... we SHOULD see some afternoon/evening pulse downpours, especially with the PWATs very high. Relying on convective lifting isn't always a best bet around here (would much rather prefer a front), but it's better than nothing! Hoping for some storms later.

The 12z early morning sounding from KIAD had a Convective T of 90F. Will almost surely reach that later, and with enough sun and clearing, possibly some pulse downpours later with PWATs fairly high??

* Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph likely A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon initially across southeast Pennsylvania into Maryland/Virginia Blue Ridge vicinity. A relatively moist/unstable environment along with moderately strong southwesterly deep-layer winds will support sustained multicells and potentially some supercells. Thunderstorm-related wind damage is the most probable risk, but some hail and a low tornado risk will exist as well.

CPC highlighting the western Caribbean mid month for development

21/10/5

Low Level lapse rates are extremely steep right now, close to 9 C/km. Mid-level lapse rates are meh (as usual, when are we gonna get a decent EML plume to roll in one of these days?). Shear is weak and SRH is meager. But LI is decent. It's a wind event type of day, so meh no TORS but I'm here for at least the first "severe" storm of the season.

Of course, you're welcome! The pollen levels have been brutal here in Millersville all month. Literally CLUMPS of pollen just laying all around. Would be nice to get some rain!

Lancaster AP now officially at the driest month of MAY on record (as of now with a week left). Only 0.78" of precip has fallen all month, and barely any measurable rain since May 8th/9th.

Day 3 marginal for NW areas

Well, it really has been dry here. Only 0.76" of precip this month in Lancaster, with nothing but hot and dry in the forecast. It hasn't rained in 12 days. The dome of high pressure might allow for some 90s this weekend. Possibly maybe some storms Sunday evening as a weak trough system passes to our north? It might try to drag down a cold front and initiate some storms on the leading edge. Looking past this weekend, another drier week is likely with some slightly higher POPs as of now.

Gas up to $3.20 here. Sick of this, it's taking a fortune to fill my tank every week. In other news, looking forward to the PGA Championship this week, my pick is Rory McIlroy after his great win at the Wells Fargo two weeks ago.

According to the KABE climate data, since April 7th, we've seen almost 2" of precip. It's definitely not wet here, but certainly not "drought" worthy. Is it below normal precip? Yes, technically. KABE averages like 3+" in the month of April. But we've seen our fair share of precip to keep things moist and green

Lol a 51 HDD in late March is just insane

To all the college basketball fans, it's nice to see Drexel punch their ticket to March Madness for the first time in 25 years!

Windy as heck out there right now

Tonight/Tomorrow morning

Tomorrow, albeit the BL looks horrendous for any accums (those NW)

56"

4" total in Fleetwood

Right around 4" here in Millersville, now over to predominately sleet. Should wrap up the storm, solid thump this morning and lived up to the hype!