Newman

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 833 AM EST Thu Dec 22 2022 PAZ054-055-060>062-221800- /O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0019.221222T1333Z-221222T1800Z/ Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton- Including the cities of Jim Thorpe, Stroudsburg, Reading, Allentown, Bethlehem, and Easton 833 AM EST Thu Dec 22 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Snow mixed with sleet and freezing rain. Snow accumulations of up to one inch with up to a couple hundredths of an inch of ice accretion. * WHERE...Carbon, Monroe, Berks, Lehigh and Northampton. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A brief period of snow mixed with sleet and freezing rain is expected this morning before precipitation changes to all rain from south to north by early this afternoon. Up to an inch of snow could fall in the southern Poconos while farther south any snow accumulation today should be a half inch or less. However most locals within the advisory area could see a very light glaze of freezing rain.

Winter Weather Advisory just issued here

29F here with the temp rising fast, looks like we have radar returns over us but just virga right now

We'll see if this cooling trend continues on the HRRR, or even verifies, but it's definitely not a bad thing to see.

This 3z HRRR run coming in now is gonna be very very solid for the area

The HRRR says maybe we start as snow in the morning? I don't think we will, but it'll be worth watching

The FV3 would be one potent squall with the frontal passage.

12z 3k

Hey Walt, here is the definition for a flash freeze from the glossary of meteorology. https://glossary.ametsoc.org/wiki/Flash_freeze

Seasonal totals thus far

Treated myself to a birthday hike today in the snow up at World's End State Park. Probably one of my favorite overlooks in PA. I definitely missed the snow, about 4-5 inches of packed snow there. Needed my micro spikes to get up the mountain

58 to 12 in HBG in 6 hours!!!

Dreaming of a powerless Christmas? Strong LLJ Friday evening with the passage of the squall line over eastern PA with no sign of a surface inversion to limit mixing. Will need to watch this one, could be similar to the 2020 grinch storm where some lost power.

I don't see how there won't be a flash freeze Friday evening/night with the passage of that strong arctic front. As long as winds don't blow too hard (which they might) and things don't dry out too much, the puddles and rain will freeze the roads.

Christmas doesn't even look all that brutally cold anymore

Now this would be one hell of a front on the CMC. Even though it's a rain storm, the puddles would freeze up in an instant lol. Of course flash freezes rarely work out, but it's fun to look at

Although rain, this would be one hell of a front on the Canadian. 55 to 16 in 6 hours here LOL

CMC is unfortunately another huge cutter. But I agree, I did get Jan 2000 vibes with it too. Verbatim, it's pretty strung out and disorganized which actually helps out because heights don't rise too much. It also doesn't close off until at or north of our latitude on the GFS. I said yesterday I was chasing the big dog, but I might have to walk back that statement. It doesn't look nearly as ideal as it once did, so right now I'm chasing a white christmas

GFS coming in with lots of changes. I won't speak to what the outcome is gonna be, but i think it'll be more positive for the coast