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Newman

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Everything posted by Newman

  1. Newman
    Interesting considering a Hurricane Hunter just posted this on Twitter LOL
  2. Newman
    Almost 24 hours away and we have models who now tuck it into NYC to ones that barely clip Cape Cod. I still think some 1-2" rainfall gets into SE PA. The 6z Euro still shows that among many of the other short term guidance
  3. Newman
    Plenty of rain on the Ukie. 3-5"+ amounts from NYC all the way up into Albany
  4. Newman
    The HRRR is something else, stalls it right over EPA. 8-12" amounts showing up in Montgomery and Bucks Counties.
  5. Newman
    GFS ticked east again, but still it gets far enough inland to drop 1-2" of rain across parts of the region
  6. Newman
    Lucy showing up again, good warm up for the winter I suppose
  7. Newman
    GFS lots of rain across EPA, continues to trend west. Nothing crazy like previous RGEM or Ukie runs, but 1"+ of precip regardless
  8. Newman
  9. Newman
    Henri doesn't look so good on vis right now. LL swirl still well north and displaced of the deep convection. Most models don't have intensification until it reaches OBX latitude though.
  10. Newman
    Euro pins the Catskills with 12-14" of rain. Irene all over again. Dear Lord.
  11. Newman
    Yeah holy crap. Catskills have a 12-14" showing up, that would be absolutely horrific.
  12. Newman
  13. Newman
    Huge rains for inland areas on the Euro. I'm not familiar with NY climo per-say, but I'd imagine you'd get some nice orographic enhancement on the east side of the Catskills with this trajectory?
  14. Newman
  15. Newman
    Euro came nearly 100 miles west, rain doesn't make it to EPA but trend is your friend
  16. Newman
  17. Newman
    Timing of this has definitely sped up. We're looking at a landfall early Sunday now, rainfall could last through Monday (if these west trends continue)
  18. Newman
  19. Newman
    12z UKMET rainfall
  20. Newman
    12z RGEM just upped rainfall amounts, bringing this and stalling it over Eastern PA
  21. Newman
    Something like the 6z RGEM would be pretty bad for Philly on east. Wind won't be a factor here, it'll be the rainfall and flooding if anything and coastal erosion/surf. I'm still not convinced this doesn't landfall across eastern LI and much of this area gets nothing, but the trends keep going west. Remember, many of our tropical systems up here are cemented into history for their flooding, not their wind.
  22. Newman
    These western members that take it into NYC would certainly impact the Philly region. Rain shield to the west, tors and wind to the east
  23. Newman
    Nearly 100 miles. From south of the Cape to south of the tip of Long Island
  24. Newman
    Final Ukie rainfall, holy smokes
  25. Newman
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