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Everything posted by Newman
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Euro absolutely blasts the area with heavy rains from Ida, some of this does include convection/rains before Wednesday
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Here's a live stream for the local FOX news station in New Orleans: https://www.fox8live.com/livestream/
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Big ol' dry slot across SE PA, winter has come early?
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Yeah radar is really starting to blossom all across the region. These bands are no joke, we'll see how far inland they stretch and which place sets up as the pivot point
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They're slowly starting to drift westward. Parts of western Chesco and eastern Lanco already have recorded over 1" of rain.
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Parts of western Chesco and eastern Lanco have a Flood advisory up. Some cells have been stationary over there
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There's radar estimates nearing 5" across Brooklyn and southern parts of NYC
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Small core and circulation but continues to improve on IR
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Radar estimating over 2", nearing 3" of rain in Brooklyn already with this rain
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There's actually an impressive blowup of convection right over the center currently. We'll see if it's just a quick pulse or if it maintains
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Both the NAM and HRRR have this band of rain setting up and starting around 8pm and lasting through most of the overnight.
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Officially Hurricane Henri 11:00 AM EDT Sat Aug 21Location: 34.4°N 72.5°WMoving: NNE at 14 mphMin pressure: 991 mbMax sustained: 75 mph
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My goodness 12k NAM PARKS that PRE band right over Philly. Reminds me very much of Hurricane Joaquin, which had that inverted trough/PRE rainfall all across South Carolina without ever landfalling. This will just be a more microscale similarity
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What we need to watch is this band of PRE rainfall that is targeting SE PA across some of the short term guidance. Some of the models are just picking up on it now, we'll have to see how it continues to trend
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Interesting considering a Hurricane Hunter just posted this on Twitter LOL
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Almost 24 hours away and we have models who now tuck it into NYC to ones that barely clip Cape Cod. I still think some 1-2" rainfall gets into SE PA. The 6z Euro still shows that among many of the other short term guidance
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Plenty of rain on the Ukie. 3-5"+ amounts from NYC all the way up into Albany
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The HRRR is something else, stalls it right over EPA. 8-12" amounts showing up in Montgomery and Bucks Counties.
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GFS ticked east again, but still it gets far enough inland to drop 1-2" of rain across parts of the region
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Lucy showing up again, good warm up for the winter I suppose
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GFS lots of rain across EPA, continues to trend west. Nothing crazy like previous RGEM or Ukie runs, but 1"+ of precip regardless
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