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Newman

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Newman

  1. Just measured 0.75" of pure sleet on the board, 6.75" storm total. But snow depth is only about 6" with the sleet compaction.
  2. Any reports from northern Lehigh county around Northampton, New Tripoli, etc?
  3. Use CC radar guys to check the progression of the mix line. It definitely appears to be dropping south https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=DIX-N0C-1-24-100-usa-rad
  4. Yeah was gonna say the same thing, it appears that the mix line is trying to wash out and move south as this backs in from the east
  5. On the exact same latitude as you, just as heavy radar returns, and heavy heavy sleet. Not panicking yet, I'll do that if it's still sleeting by 12pm...
  6. Yellows and oranges moving into the area, still entirely sleet. Unreal. Need the mix line to drop south on CC
  7. March 2017, the great sleet bubble storm. I know different setup from this (that was a SWFE), but once the warm nose moved in, it didn't matter how heavy the returns got it just couldn't turn back. Anyway, nothing here as of now. Heaviest returns are basically a couple miles to my east still.
  8. I knew this would be the problem to start, these warm bubbles like to stick around once they come in.
  9. I think we're gonna be good. I'm still thinking storm totals around 14-18" out here. That includes all the way through Tuesday. Still nothing here, heavier precip beginning to back in from the SE
  10. Here's a good radar for anyone looking https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-Pennsylvania-comp_radar-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
  11. That's good to hear, I'm hoping it's the same case once it gets back this way
  12. If you check mesoanalysis, and all of the models, it's right where it's been modeled. But the low should swing back to the west and tuck
  13. Major cave on the latest HRRR. I just hope this pesky warm bubble can subside once we get into heavier rates
  14. 6" storm total thus far, sleeting as of now. My concerns are 1.) Does the CCB get out this far west? 2.) How quickly can we crash the warm layer currently in place? Regardless, it's gonna be interesting here in a bit...
  15. The difference between the GFS/Euro and the NAM/RGEM could not be any more insane now 6-12 hours out from this
  16. Okay, before I go to sleep, check out the GFS. CCB reforms on Tuesday. Legit snows now being modeled throughout Tuesday, widespread an extra 4-8" LOL
  17. RGEM still likes Philly/Immediate SE PA as the jackpot.
  18. Use total QPF, convert using your own ratios. In that CCB tomorrow afternoon/evening, ratios will be higher than 10:1 with incredible forcing if this look holds
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