FWIW, 21z SREFS are not that impressive across the area (with regards to other guidance), they're favoring northeastern areas like NYC and SNE. KPHL mean of ~6.5". KRDG ~ 8.5". KABE ~ 9.0"
I'm still holding my breath here. I've seen these before, we're still a long way out until the coastal even ramps up, 1.5-2 days away (Monday afternoon/evening)
I'm hoping the CCB doesn't set up so Lancaster gets screwed but Berks is in the jack. I already told my dad to keep those measurements at home true and honest lol
There almost isn't a single model that DOESN'T plaster Berks/Lanco/Lehigh with at least 15". Low end is 12" from the GFS/UKMET, high ends are Euro/Para-GFS/CMC with nearly 2-3 feet
I don't think this will be a March 01 redux, but a repeat of December 2020 possibly. When the heaviest totals were over us for awhile then they shifted all north but we still all got 6-10" in.