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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. If correct, yeah odds favor what you mentioned of what the consensus has been forecasting for that time frame really. However, we have seen things go against the grain recently. Maybe one of the time's we go back to before the last 5-6 year's. Just a little positive thought.
  2. Snow shower's earlier here . Quick dusting that melted quickly in lower elevations. A dusting to an inch or so from 2000 feet upward.
  3. Snow Showers here this morning. Quick dusting in valley location that quickly melted. Elevations above 2000 feet still has a dusting to an inch or so up around 3000 ft.
  4. Yep, they were. Nino, Nina -PDO etc.. it still snowed!!
  5. Yeah really, lol . Never saw anything differentiating MJO Phases based on Enso.
  6. Thundersnow Sugar Ski & Country Club Sugar Mountain Web Cam - Resort Cams
  7. Saw on SE sub that it was snowing at 4500 ft this morning. I'd venture to say Thundersnow occurred above 4000 feet with the cells this Afternoon. Temp fell from 52 to 43 during storm here.
  8. thunder in the mountains ftw ! Thunderstorms crossing area currently. Large claps of thunder here.
  9. The only mistake that forecaster is making is saying the snow " could be heavy". Should be "will be" , as is obvious. Can you imagine that ?! Those rates !!!!!!
  10. I think that Winter Knoxville recorded around 6 feet. I'm thinking a Dr Dewpoint Article by Joe D'aleo on Intellicast had it.
  11. I recall several years ago models would always have to adjust to blocking effects. They would trend colder as we progressed during those episodes. May be at least partially what's going on.
  12. Yeah, blocks definitely doing it's work for them. Pacifics killing us. Saw video from Airport in Germany yesterday and looked like nearly 2 feet on runway ! Much higher drifts.
  13. There's some hope this Winter for the East according to the Great incredible Oz of Meteorology, Snowman's brother, Radiance wx. He said it'll be more '09-10 Nino like by March. Maybe as early as late February . All hope is not lost What great News!!!
  14. Yep. Whatever the cause, it's definitely got some strength. Bluewave may be onto something with his reasoning regarding the western Pac warmth.
  15. Yeah, been hoping trend would be westward with that feature.
  16. Excellent post brother ! As far as any credit to me, just seeing what's presented before us and giving my relic opinion, lol. Going to be alot of luck with this one. Basin wide Nino going to make it tougher, really. Sure there's more favored forcing areas but ...you know what I'm saying. To pinpoint exactly when the MJO will reach the cold phases, your Post is right on. You're the best man !
  17. Yeah, wouldn't surprise me with Nino Climo and the basically basin wide strong Nino. The phase forcing should change favorably in January. So, you're probably right man. I still hold some hope for something to knock the typical canonical Nino December off kilter enough to give us a shot or two.
  18. Hopefully, the mild spell is shorter than forecasted. Block will squelch it some. MJO Amplitude in warm phase may be the determining factor in how much warming we get. That warm pool might amplify it's affects, however though. Hopefully, it will move along and get to cold phases. It should hit a decent Amp once there.
  19. Not saw anything from Anthony since August. Seems I remember seeing something somewhere of health issues.
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