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tnweathernut

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  1. tnweathernut
    Congrats. Good coach. Will be interesting to see how much he has left in the tank..... also, wonder if Kansas will change the turf to meet Les Mile's taste buds?
  2. tnweathernut
    This upcoming blast of cold air for Thanksgiving in the northeast wasn’t even on modeling just a few short days ago. Gives me hope as we head into December....
  3. tnweathernut
    Awesome! Thank you for sharing. Looking forward to seeing what's going on in your neck of the woods often. It might get an early workout this year................
  4. tnweathernut
    I am a little concerned seeing the long range GEFS and EPS seemingly hugging, dating, and sleeping together the last couple of days. It's like bizzaro world where cats and dogs are getting along, the Hatfield and McCoys are eating together, Vols and Alabama fans sharing a beer together..........etc...
  5. tnweathernut
    Yes sir, thanks for sharing, Jax. With all the "pretty" maps floating around and specifically looking at days 10-20, I have started thinking about what can go wrong? We seem to be marching toward a potential tracking period, albeit really early close on the heels of a system that gave many their first flakes of the year and parts of west TN and KY their first accumulating snow of the year. This is something we are not accustomed to in the south in late November and/or early December. When you start seeing the almost perfect placement of features in the 10-15 I start thinking ..................................... We all know models move toward or away from things over time at long leads. Since they have been looking like a eastern/southeastern US winter "jackpot" the last couple of days, it's conceivable that modeling will move away from the almost perfect look to something less desirable at verification time. It will be interesting to see how this potential early start materializes. In the mid south/southeast one thing is for sure, even with perfect placement of features we still have to have good timing and a little luck on our side. Before December 20th, probably more than a "little" luck. These are just a few morning thoughts. Though I haven't had as much time to post lately as in years past, I very much appreciate all those who have been posting and keeping this forum going. With the meteorologists we have and the laid back/encouraging posting style of most everyone who hangs out here, I think we have the best forum on AmWx. Thanks guys/gals, best wishes for a fast start to winter and more snow opportunities this year. (if you like that kind of thing)
  6. tnweathernut
    Parts of Kentucky getting raked right now I’d imagine! 40-45 dbz’s showing up around Madisonville. Probably 2-3+ per hour.
  7. tnweathernut
    Tennessee's identity is on defense, but I really believe the refs were to blame for not allowing any semblance of rhythm on offense last night. I think they called about 1,000 fouls last night. Hard to get in a rhythm when the refs won't let the kids play (both ways). That said, I hope we can both take care of business and play each other. Kansas always seems to be elite so it would be a great challenge and early season barometer for both teams!
  8. tnweathernut
    I hope you guys/gals over in west and MAYBE parts of western middle TN can score some wintry stuff from this. What a great way to start the winter season, even if it turns out to be just some token flakes. Something tells me with the preferred indexes heading in a very positive direction this won't be the only opportunity over the next three weeks or so! Good luck everyone!
  9. tnweathernut
    If you are deciding with snow, Boone is a no-brainer. If you want to be able to do things (not mountain related, lol) ETSU should still be squarely in the mix.
  10. tnweathernut
    Certainly feels like a raw December day today. Steady rain falling here in Erwin and a temperature in the upper 30's.
  11. tnweathernut
    Agree with the above. It depends on how far you'd be comfortable driving regarding where to live. I grew up in Gallatin, so I know Sumner County like the back of my hand. My mom was born in Cottontown and I grew up going to church there. I saw more snow than other areas living in Unicoi a few years back, which isn't that far from ETSU's campus (10-12 minutes). If you don't mind a little bit of a drive and want to see a LOT of snow, head toward Flag Pond. You'd be around 30 minutes to campus, but with 2500+ feet of elevation you'd see enough snow to keep you from feeling neglected. South JC toward Buffalo mountain is another good spot as mentioned. The biggest thing you will deal with in this area will be a SE wind drying things out and warming us up at times. It can be maddening. I have seen 12-16 inch snow predictions reduced to a trace. This area also provides a much greater chance at 10+. Though we haven't seen that in 20 years now, the relative snowless years of the 1990's provided three separate 12+ snows (1993, 1996, 1998) At any rate, you likely will see more snow than you do in Sumner County. Regarding the area, lots to do. As CG mentioned you can easily drive to snow and snow related activities (tubing, skiing, etc). Restaurants are great and the area has experienced a lot of growth in the last 15+ years. My wife is the executive director of HR at ETSU and there have been a lot of improvements to campus and programs there. A pretty exciting time in ETSU's history with the improvements, bringing football back, a great basketball coach, etc.... If you end up taking the job let me know. I am well-connected in the JC area, so if you need anything let me know and I would probably have a suggestion as to who to call. (i.e. realtor, handyman, home inspector, etc.) Have a great finish to your weekend.
  12. tnweathernut
    Any transfer of energy with a piece heading into the southern apps (or there abouts) would be the kiss of death for east TN, really probably anyone this time of year.
  13. tnweathernut
    While we are bantering. Lots of good stuff on the Euro OP at day 10. If this were later in December to February I'd be looking to hook one and reel it in!
  14. tnweathernut
    Well done! I appreciate the time taken to put this together. I know all outlooks are a labor of love and this looks well reasoned and laid out thoughtfully. Kudos!
  15. tnweathernut
    I usually like to start a month normal to below normal when trying to achieve a below normal month. I like having a head start in trying to realize a below normal month. It's mostly a psychological thing for me, lol.
  16. tnweathernut
    Welcome back, glad you got to see snow while on your trip! It will be interesting to see how the next ridge play out. I'm not convinced we see any more mega ridges, but I'm open to the possibility of an above normal November. The storm at the end of the week should yank down some additional below normal temps and maybe the first flakes for the higher elevations on a brisk northwest flow. What is for certain, sweating things out at 90+ is gone for the year.........
  17. tnweathernut
    Had a "guys" weekend in Auburn AL. Me and a few of my college friends started a tradition of making an annual trip to a different SEC stadium back in 2014. We have had pretty good luck in seeing great games (OT Thriller in South Carolina in 2014, Tennessee at Alabama 19-14 in 2015, and the Jennings hail mary between the hedges in Athens). We won't talk about Columbia last year, all we did was check the "present" box and rule out a future visit. lol The Auburn game was special. No, the Vols aren't back. Yes, we likely lose several more this year, but it's hard not to notice the improvement. Pruitt is starting to get buy in. What Saturday does, aside from providing a feel good moment in time, is improve recruiting. The future is bright. The coaches coached their tails off in that game after the first two drives and the players played their tails off. What was even more special were the Auburn fans. I didn't expect to be welcomed to Auburn clad in UT orange, but that's what we got. On a consistent basis, young and old welcomed us to their city, both before the game and AFTER. Toomers corner, great food, and even better fans will be how I will remember this weekend. It was a total game experience and the BEST time we have had to this point. We head to Gainesville next year, so definitely not expecting the same experience. I was there in the mid 90s and the experience was terrible. If we get a win in the swamp I won't care...............
  18. tnweathernut
    Sorry to hear Jax, hope you are feeling better soon! This getting older stuff isn't for the faint hearted..............
  19. tnweathernut
    I'm actually concerned at the number of EPS members that head into SC then meander west and north........ Still a lot of uncertainty and I don't think the mountains can sleep on this one. It would be nice to see more northwest movement sooner. The longer it stays W or WNW the more trouble I think it can cause for areas inland toward the mountains.
  20. tnweathernut
    Me too.
  21. tnweathernut
    Reasons to be cautiously optimistic. 1. CBJ is at AL 2. Pruitt is an coach that works on fundamentals/discipline and doesn't sugarcoat what he sees. Straight talk is refreshing. The staff he assembled is a good one. 3. Totally different situation that prior coaching changes. We have talent. Not much depth, but talent is on the roster. Literally the only thing I can say Butch did well. 4. Trey Smith and Chance Hall on the left side. 5. Depth at running back 6. QB's with experience 7. Capable, if not above average wide receivers 7. We are being overlooked. Rightfully so probably, but i feel good about being the underdog. 8. (Probably my favorite) Almost unbelievably after the last 4 years, we have NO injuries heading into our first game against WV. Usually by this time, we are down about 8 men. lol 9. Strength and conditioning have reportedly made these guys bigger, faster, and more resilient. 10 You know we will play with a chip on our shoulders this year. I'm not saying we will win more than 7, but I think we will be in more games than not. I also think we will win all the games we are supposed to win. I am looking through orange tinted glasses, but I think we raise a few eyebrows when we knock off WV tomorrow afternoon. My prediction with fingers crossed, lol Tennessee 31 West Virginia 27
  22. tnweathernut
    We. Need. Rain. Super wet has turned super dry and it hasn't taken long at all for the grass to go from green to brown. Hoping to hit a scattered storm later this week (the non-severe kind of course)
  23. tnweathernut
    This would be the second opportunity to discuss snow in the spring/summer thread. Even though unlikely....... the pattern says it’s not impossible.
  24. tnweathernut
    That map I posted for 1960 doesn't really have any reports from your area, but if you guessed based on nearby reports that would have put you in the 30-35" range. I am guessing you were probably higher than that though.....?
  25. tnweathernut
    This is also a great site if you have a few hours to kill. Not all stations reported, but several did. You can find one close to you and search daily data. http://w2.weather.gov/climate/xmacis.php?wfo=mrx
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