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Everything posted by tnweathernut
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I noticed it's had a convective look on modeling for days now.
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Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
tnweathernut replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
There are a lot of boat owners, a marina, and an insurance agent having a very bad day…… -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
tnweathernut replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
With spotters and accumulations being posted from a lot of different places, it makes you wonder how snow maps in the year 2026 are off that much. Sure, I get the guy who measures a drift to inflate, but that goes both ways. It's just as much an error when you post "official" measurements off by a factor of 2x or 3x also. -
2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
tnweathernut replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Just popping in from the valley down here to say congrats to all you mountain folk on reeling in a memorable snow! -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
tnweathernut replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Occasionally getting into heavy snow. Not really even showing up on radar. Nuts!! -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
tnweathernut replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
LOVE playing with house money! Get it, Jeff!! -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
tnweathernut replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It’s the one we’ve been waiting years for. The south and east of I-81 crowd can finally claim victory! Enjoy!! -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
tnweathernut replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Winter wonderland here in north Johnson City. Guessing around 6” so far, moderate snow continues. Expecting another 2-3” - -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
tnweathernut replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Got to my home in north JC. Snowed moderately to heavy all the way from South JC to the Boones Creek exit. Some snow in the median and shoulders on the bridges. Have between a half inch and inch and snowing light to moderately at times. -
1-30/2-1-26 Arctic Blast, ULL Snow Event
tnweathernut replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It's not often these days you see a snowfall prediction map where south and east of I-81 is the expected max zone....- 782 replies
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1-30/2-1-26 Arctic Blast, ULL Snow Event
tnweathernut replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It's a fair concern, but I think you were only supposed to be around a half inch by 4:00 pm and an inch at 6:00 pm. I viewed this as anything falling before dark as bonus flakes.- 782 replies
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1-30/2-1-26 Arctic Blast, ULL Snow Event
tnweathernut replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Tracking a snow system is always a rush, but I'll say the quiet part out loud................. it sucks looking at temps, comparing short range models to reality, and waiting for first flakes and accumulations.- 782 replies
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1-30/2-1-26 Arctic Blast, ULL Snow Event
tnweathernut replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Low to pushing mid 40's along Main Avenue in Erwin. I think temps collapse nicely this evening, but I wasn't expecting to see 40 at all. Thought the cloud deck would move over and hold us to the mid 30s- 782 replies
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Good bye La Nina.
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1-30/2-1-26 Arctic Blast, ULL Snow Event
tnweathernut replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Considering how snowless (relatively speaking) the 90s were, it makes it even more of a head scratcher, IMO.- 782 replies
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1-30/2-1-26 Arctic Blast, ULL Snow Event
tnweathernut replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It has been rock steady. Kind of spooky to see something that consistent.- 782 replies
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1-30/2-1-26 Arctic Blast, ULL Snow Event
tnweathernut replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
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1-30/2-1-26 Arctic Blast, ULL Snow Event
tnweathernut replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I had about an inch and got downsloped. Guessing he did also.- 782 replies
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1-30/2-1-26 Arctic Blast, ULL Snow Event
tnweathernut replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
From one downsloper to another............ don't jinx it. lol Kidding aside, this is a great setup for those south and east of I-81 for once and that doesn't diminish the chances north and west of 81 either.- 782 replies
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1-30/2-1-26 Arctic Blast, ULL Snow Event
tnweathernut replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Let's ride east Tennesseans. I'm hopeful the system can throw moisture back a bit more west (ala the Euro) to get as many from our forum as possible in the boat.- 782 replies
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1-30/2-1-26 Arctic Blast, ULL Snow Event
tnweathernut replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It's going to be hard saying we've been RRFS'd. I always preferred getting NAM'd.- 782 replies
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1-30/2-1-26 Arctic Blast, ULL Snow Event
tnweathernut replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I could almost see a discussion from management letting them know................."this is why we don't do anything other than conservative around here". lol- 782 replies
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1-30/2-1-26 Arctic Blast, ULL Snow Event
tnweathernut replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The truth is probably somewhere in the middle of these QPF amounts on the euro. One thing I mentioned to Carvers yesterday…….. how many times out of 10 things trend (and verify) east and south of modeling inside of 72 hours. My guess would be 1. Doesn’t mean Knoxville area cant work its way out of a snow, but it’s not like it’s a bad thing being on the north and west edge of guidance 36-48 hours out.- 782 replies
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1-30/2-1-26 Arctic Blast, ULL Snow Event
tnweathernut replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
You are definitely right! Prayers in more ways than one ….I had hoped they’d have been able to make more progress before the next blast of cold air came rushing in.- 782 replies
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1-30/2-1-26 Arctic Blast, ULL Snow Event
tnweathernut replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The 18z NBM increased totals from Knoxville and points east and has been beefing up the last several runs, FWIW- 782 replies
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