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tnweathernut

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Everything posted by tnweathernut

  1. tnweathernut
    Mountain snows would be huge if this plays out as shown on the 0z GFS.
  2. tnweathernut
    Crazy. Looks like 1950 all over again, just a bit further north...
  3. tnweathernut
    There is more interaction between the northern branch and southern branch, and with that “dance” a further west solution.
  4. tnweathernut
    I’m just mainly looking for trends at 500. Feels good to be back tracking something with the crew.......
  5. tnweathernut
    That’s bold wording from MRX, for a system this far away. Generally they are extremely conservative, sometimes even as inches of snow are falling around the region.
  6. tnweathernut
    Other than looking great as you mention, I also like the part about moisture gathering again to our SW at the end of the run.........
  7. tnweathernut
    Yeah, lake effect totals would be enormous for some!
  8. tnweathernut
    This could be a bias of the Euro as we watch it roll in. Since their last upgrade it has a tendency to over-intensify storm systems. A further west track as a result (as shown on 12z) makes a lot of sense..... Odds of a Miller A are increasing. Likely wet, but the chances for first flakes for some are not out of the question. At the very least it will probably FEEL like winter as early as next week.
  9. tnweathernut
    But is the atmosphere acting like a La Niña? It seems like the actual pattern has been out of phase with El and La more often than not.
  10. tnweathernut
    Terrible news. Let us know if we can do anything to help........
  11. tnweathernut
    It absolutely was. We saw 2-3" rates for 7+ hours. The forecast that day was laughable as the event unfolded. Looks like the recorded history of the event is also laughable.
  12. tnweathernut
    Guessing the 1998 storm didn't make the list due to a lighter accumulation at the airport. We had over 20 inches at my place in JC. I noticed an article from Bristol where they recorded 8". The only two options are the airport didn't record enough to qualify for their list or the snowfall wasn't properly recorded. Since I know that has been an issue in the past it wouldn't surprise me if the latter is the best option.
  13. tnweathernut
    I think everyone is shooting for Uber white.... kidding aside....Modeling has been rock steady showing a great system for you guys and the meso models are now showing colder thermals. Y’all enjoy, but keep your eyes on the thermals up until the last moment. It wouldn’t be the first time a rug was pulled in the last seconds. Best of luck sent from the other side of the hill.
  14. tnweathernut
    That map I posted for 1960 doesn't really have any reports from your area, but if you guessed based on nearby reports that would have put you in the 30-35" range. I am guessing you were probably higher than that though.....?
  15. tnweathernut
    This is also a great site if you have a few hours to kill. Not all stations reported, but several did. You can find one close to you and search daily data. http://w2.weather.gov/climate/xmacis.php?wfo=mrx
  16. tnweathernut
    1960 is the gold standard for mid-south/southeast/carolina's March snow. It gets talked about a lot and I remember first studying it back when easternwx was around. Here is a 500mb map from the first 1/2 of 1960 as well as the surface temp anomaly for the same period. There are some 500 similarities, but I don't think the cold would have the potential to be as strong. I have also included the snow map I could find. I am sure it doesn't do John's snowfall justice (lol), but it was accurate for "recorded snow in and around the Tri-Cities (snowiest March on record just shy of 28")
  17. tnweathernut
    That's part of what made 1993 so special. Just think of the technology we had back then and to know this system was fairly well forecast from 5 days out while the southeast baked in above normal temps leading up to the event is pretty remarkable. I can't imagine what this board would be like if a system like that started showing up on modeling almost a week out and came to fruition. Pretty sure the servers wouldn't be able to handle it. I was in college at ETSU. I remember the forecast for a heavy snow, but being from Nashville I took a chance and left for spring break to be with family and friends. I left that Friday, the 12th at the same time a buddy of mine at ETSU left to head to Danville, VA. I only saw light snow showers and flurries till late that night when backbuilding FINALLY edged into middle TN (we ended up with 2-3", but I remember drifts over 8'). A couple of weeks later I learned my buddy, who left at the same time, encountered heavy snows heading through SW VA and got stuck between here and home. He said the snow got heavy quick and he ended up spending a good chunk of spring break at a run down motel...
  18. tnweathernut
    Through 45 looks like less interaction between streams and a more positive tilt. I would think less amped and a bit further east with the heavier axis of precip.
  19. tnweathernut
    North Carolina teachers must be different from TN teachers. All I hear over here on this side of the mountain are teachers practically BEGGING for snow days, lol.....
  20. tnweathernut
    +1. Might even be worth a plus 2....
  21. tnweathernut
    now that is funny....
  22. tnweathernut
    Stove, you are amazing with gardening stuff. I love reading this thread and think I will start a garden often, but then I just go to the store or farmers market and get good veggies there. Hope you guys get enough rain for a bumper crop this year.
  23. tnweathernut
    That's awesome, hope your tomato plants do well. I know harvesting those will be extra special!
  24. tnweathernut
    Welcome to the board Olhausen. Great to have you. I grew up in Gallatin, but worked a couple of summers at the Osh Kosh plant in White House while in college. I know your area well and look forward to your contributions on our board.
  25. tnweathernut
    Great to have you on the forum! Those SE guys spend more time talking about when to start a thread than the weather.
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