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Chinook

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Chinook

  1. KFTG radar data is still not getting in to Radarscope, but it is getting in to GRLevel3, and it's questionable about my favorite MRMS web page (middle).
  2. NWS has a winter weather advisory for Denver, so this might be a little more snowy than I thought for Denver. Northeast New Mexico to the Sangre de Cristo range of Colorado should get 24"+
  3. NWS Birmingham information from NWS Mobile (preliminary) Full text: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=PNSMOB&e=202103200352
  4. NWS gridded forecasts show 1-4" for the cities for Sunday night- Monday morning. Edit: this might be a reasonable snowfall for central to western Colorado, which didn't necessarily get a whole lot from the big storm.
  5. The models have some snow on Sunday for the foothills to the Palmer Divide. GFS is a little nuts with the QPF, but the Euro has about 0.5" for Estes Park to the Palmer Divide. So maybe we will keep up the 100% of average snow water equivalent for the mountains for a week or two. That's not too bad. Related to the last storm... let's see, who do we thank for advance notice of the blizzard ... the GFS.. and Raindance!
  6. most intense rotation tracks from several hours ago (total of 4 hours)
  7. According to the SNOTEL maps I look at, the South Platte Basin (CO only) jumped from 87% to 100% and the Arkansas Basin jumped from 89% to 102%
  8. loops http://www.greatlakes.salsite.com/Mar_14_2021_500mb_loop.html http://www.greatlakes.salsite.com/Mar_14_2021_GFS_sfc_loop.html http://www.greatlakes.salsite.com/Mar_14_2021_radar_loop.html radar loop in fact did not include KFTG radar information for some or all of the loop due to some weird problem that I've never seen before (as was shown on the fact that KFTG radar data was not getting to Radarscope)
  9. Here are some of my ideas based off the 00z models. Initially, you would think the mid-day threat with the cold front/ almost-dryline situation in AR/LA would be the most impressive. But then I was thinking that the continuation of the convection into the night, may bring many more tornado threats. Late night severe threats are always worse from a human standpoint, as people are sleeping.
  10. With the CoCoRAHS observations of at least 26" in my area, this is the largest storm I have ever lived through. Even with the 3" of liquid equivalent, this is larger than any 2-day rain or snow event in Fort Collins/Loveland I can think of, and also larger than most rain events that I could ever think of when I lived in Ohio or Michigan.
  11. As per CoCoRAHS, my area got 3.21" - 3.59" of liquid equivalent and 26" - 29.6" of snowfall. edit: CoCoRAHS mid-Fort Collins got 21" and maybe 2.50" to 3.00" of liquid equivalent (there are a couple dozen CoCoRAHS reports, so hard to average everything)
  12. I definitely got in the range of 20-24" and the snow may be ending
  13. My area possibly approaching 20-24" with 36" drifts on the south side of houses.
  14. The snow is still coming down here. I have most likely gotten 2" since I last posted. Around noon, the winds were really going and you couldn't see down the street. It is still decently windy.
  15. my world is pretty white. I got a depth of 17" with some wind gusts of 25mph or more shaking the trees, which are caked in snow
  16. The 3-km NAM still has 2.05" of QPF for me, and that's from 00z, not that long ago, so that would be roughly 20" from 5:00PM onward-- and I've only gotten about 2+ inches since 5:00PM.
  17. I have gotten about 3" - 3.5" of snow. There are some moderate values on radar, kind of medium dendrites. I guess it is something. Earlier this week, I would have assumed I would have 10 or 15" by this time in the day. this better actually happen!!!
  18. The snowfall is not too impressive yet for most of the area. For me, the snow is just above the grass
  19. Because of daylight savings time, there will no snow between 2:00 AM and 3:00 AM.
  20. Nazareth TX (southwest of Amarillo) - warning is indicated a confirmed tornado
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