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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    Just what we needed. NS vortex somewhat weaker and more in the 50-50 low position instead of southward killing our shortwave
  2. CAPE
    Not sure I have ever seen gusts to 60 mph in a forecast during winter over here. Crazy. No leaves on the trees but still likely to be some branches down with possible power outages. Also what a goddamn shame we were unable to add a few inches of fluffy snow on top of the glacier given how cold it has been for the last 10+ days since.
  3. CAPE
    Goddamn this is good. Complex as expected. Lots going on and it all works. These types of beers put you in a good place pretty quickly. A sipper but I am struggling with that lol. Going down too fast.
  4. CAPE
    Its easier to get over my way I guess because DFH is located in Delaware. Take a trip across the bridge- see the ice on the bay, and just on the other side you can get the high gravity good stuff with the yellow warning cap and not pay a premium.
  5. CAPE
    For those seeking the 120 min IPA, the one to get is the Limited release- that one is dry hopped for the first time and is excellent. The Utopias version is ok but the aging in those barrels changes the characteristics too much in my opinion. The sherry is too prominent. 2 places on Kent Island to get the 120s or the WWS for $40 a 4 pack is Love Point and the Winery.
  6. CAPE
    Go to DFH website and use the fish finder tool.
  7. CAPE
    Well, this is exactly what I was thinking about when I mentioned making a new thread. More technical in nature, set some rules- only analysis at mid-upper levels 850-500-250 mb, surface pressure, temp anomalies, and general precip for potential threats at range. The snowfall dweebs don't much care about what makes sensible weather happen. That shits up threads and at times makes it unreadable because " I'm not in the blue " and I was before so I'm gonna moan about how shitty the models are. lol unbearable.
  8. CAPE
    Nah he's cool. Its just something I notice a lot here in general reading through the threads. And too much geeking out over snow maps 8-10 days out lol. Its what largely sets in motion the weenie mood swing pendulum. Can we get a persistent threat across guidance before posting snow maps every run?
  9. CAPE
    Finally got my hands on a 4 pack of this. About to pop one open.
  10. CAPE
    Yup, been posting about this for a couple days. Interesting period for sure.
  11. CAPE
    Gets kind of annoying when some people pop in the LR thread and post something they think is interesting and new when its already been discussed in detail. Doesn't anyone read the thread a little first to avoid making a repetitive post? I mean if there is something new to add then have at it. Between that and the constant fucking snowfall map posts... I'm thinking about making a new thread lol.
  12. CAPE
    You know how this works. As we get closer, errors in previous simulated outcomes get incrementally corrected until we arrive at the actual outcome, which is yet to be determined.
  13. CAPE
    Unlike yesterday, that wasn't really directed at anyone, just a general statement. I was actually replying to my own post lol.
  14. CAPE
    In my initial reply to Will's total snowfall post I said it was realistically more like 2-4" across the area for that window.
  15. CAPE
    0z wasn't bad- it had a decent amount of precip and the wonderful snow mean was 1-2".
  16. CAPE
    This is why mean snowfall at range is of limited value. Difficult to know what each member is keying on for precip. The lazy thing to do is to guess that its simply timing differences wrt one wave and take the total over 3-4 days.
  17. CAPE
    Where are you getting 95% from? Some members have an event on Thursday with a lead wave, and some show something for early the following week. So is next weekend Thursday through Tuesday?
  18. CAPE
    Those maps are not for next weekend, that's total snow. More like 2-4" on the mean, which is ok if it isnt skewed by a handful of members. If you look at the 6 hour panels per member for the period it isn't that impressive.
  19. CAPE
    Still liking this window a lot right now, but way out there.
  20. CAPE
    The shortwave of interest for next weekend weakens in the convergence behind the NS energy on the ens means similar to the op runs. As we know, models rarely(never) have the location and timing of these wave interactions nailed a week out. Plenty of time for corrections.
  21. CAPE
    Several possibilities for sure. We just cant know yet.
  22. CAPE
    Root for this member from the 18z GEFS run for next weekend lol
  23. CAPE
    Just for the record the window around the 20th is mine. Yes I am looking past next weekend. It looked great at one point, but now.. maybe. Same could be said for around the 20th. Its just how it goes with guidance in the LR.
  24. CAPE
    Read up. I already made that case lol.
  25. CAPE
    A mix. Some focus more on the 12th. A lot have nothing, some rain, a few snow south. Plenty of spread as expected at this range.
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