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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    It had a crazy phase with the NS energy diving south and the energy taking the southern route- not a likely outcome.
  2. CAPE
    Maybe a foot of snow on top then.
  3. CAPE
    Hard to enjoy the snow when it is underneath a think layer of ice. This shit is hard to walk on- I mean literally, I can walk on it if I don't fall on my ass lol.
  4. CAPE
    Looking forward to a couple days in the low to mid 30s this week. Need to soften/melt this ice sheet some.
  5. CAPE
    Low was 7 here. Last 3 mornings- 2,6,7
  6. CAPE
    You should be keeping an eye on the 11-12th window you claimed- on the ens runs. Stop looking at the ops. I told you I would expand that window a bit.. the trough out west might work for us with the favorable NA look towards mid month.
  7. CAPE
    I mentioned this the other day. Don't tell Chuck.
  8. CAPE
    lol no
  9. CAPE
    Live vicariously. Time sensitive
  10. CAPE
    Kinda sucks that we get a mixed event and end up living on a glacier with extreme cold and dry for a week+ while coastal NC gets a pure snow event with blizzard conditions. Weather does what it does.
  11. CAPE
    ^Should be a blizzard warning in effect there
  12. CAPE
    Impressive forecast. Haven't seen that here in ages lol.
  13. CAPE
    Not a broad lobe, but a sharp shortwave that is neutral/ going negative, well sure.
  14. CAPE
    I don't look at the AI models very often, and I don't think I am missing anything very insightful most of the time. Mostly seems like a desperation thing when the physics based models aren't advertising what we want. They aren't quite there yet.
  15. CAPE
    Well, lets just say that isn't even close to perfect for the MA. He gets over excited anytime he sees a piece of digging vorticity, regardless of its orientation or location, or whether its sharp or a lobe that wont do anything at the surface.
  16. CAPE
    Good thing about being busy at work all week- I haven't had much time tor tracking anything run to run and get invested. I saw a couple decent runs on the GFS and maybe one on the Euro, but otherwise it's looked like maybe a skiff of snow along a cold front.
  17. CAPE
    Reading the room, I'm just guessing there isnt much interest in analysis about the feature that's fucking things up in the upper levels to make it not snow again. But thanks!
  18. CAPE
    6, which is over 2 yesterday, which was under
  19. CAPE
    Its supposed to be around 5 mph here. Cold airmass in place, with a glacier otg and clear skies, and the antithesis of UHI around here.. temps should tank.
  20. CAPE
    Forecast low tonight is 4 here. I'll take the under after hitting 2 this morning when the forecast low was 7. Might make a run at 0 if the wind completely dies down.
  21. CAPE
    Make a detailed post discussing the modeled synoptics and why you believe this window holds potential for a winter storm.
  22. CAPE
    No end to the cold in sight with this h5 pattern. Hopefully it isnt all wasted.
  23. CAPE
    It does look like the next tease will be late next week on the ensembles.
  24. CAPE
    low of 2
  25. CAPE
    Latest weeklies for mid Feb. NA blocking and a Nino-ish look overall. It generally likes to snow here in Feb, and this is an h5 look that can facilitate that.
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