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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    Good look on the 12z GEFS leading into the potential weekend storm. Energy in the 50-50 region is in a good spot with surface HP underneath in the convergence/confluence zone. Energy is ejecting from the southwest with surface low development.
  2. CAPE
    There is now another winter thread you can post in that is free of pettiness and drama.
  3. CAPE
    Wasted cold though. No refresher snow the whole time we have had the glacier, with only a couple days a few degrees above freezing.
  4. CAPE
    Yes. I hit on some of that in my intro post. As you said, that 50-50 low is vital for this to work out, but we don't want it displaced too far south as has been depicted on some recent op runs. Weakens/suppresses the shortwave southward without enough space.
  5. CAPE
    Favorable upper levels and surface leading into the next weekend potential. Need to keep an eye on wave spacing, any minor wave(s) moving east in the flow midweek vs the bulk of the energy being ejected from the southwest later, and the strength/ position of NS energy near the 50-50 region. Good surface and upper level depiction leading into a potential winter storm-
  6. CAPE
    Lets discuss upcoming potential storm threats. No pissing and moaning, emotional pendulums, and no snow maps until guidance converges on a clear, specific storm threat within 7 days. Hopefully mods won't mind moving noncompliant posts to the appropriate threads. @psuhoffman @WxUSAF @MillvilleWx @brooklynwx99
  7. CAPE
    20 when I woke up, now 17. That wind is biting.
  8. CAPE
    That and gumballs here. Snow/ice pack is getting dirtier.
  9. CAPE
    Yes, as if anything has been lost in an event that may or may not come to fruition at some point in the future.
  10. CAPE
    I wake up, get a coffee and venture into the LR thread.. snow maps galore lol. Ofc.
  11. CAPE
    Nada here. Just cold and windy. Per radar looked like Dover area got hit pretty good, as @JakkelWx described.
  12. CAPE
    I like the advertised surface look leading in with HP over the GLs into SE Canada and low pressure off the Maritimes. No real block though so everything is on the move.
  13. CAPE
    For the upcoming weekend threat, the majority of the members on the GEFS have a low tracking into the OV, then coastal transfer- but exactly where is a crapshoot. Some right over us, some further north, some along the NC coast. Plenty of spread. All the snow maps tell you at this point is that it is possible for it to snow somewhere in the region. Mixed bag on the EPS but a low moving across the south and off the SE coast is most prominent.
  14. CAPE
    Nah just need to be willing to enthusiastically discuss the upper levels(where it all happens), rather than focusing on the surface, as if it all happens there.. and geeking out/freaking out over run to run snow maps 10 days out.
  15. CAPE
    Still exist? We could morph that into our members only techie thread. Weenies can read only.
  16. CAPE
    Spacing!!
  17. CAPE
    Just what we needed. NS vortex somewhat weaker and more in the 50-50 low position instead of southward killing our shortwave
  18. CAPE
    Not sure I have ever seen gusts to 60 mph in a forecast during winter over here. Crazy. No leaves on the trees but still likely to be some branches down with possible power outages. Also what a goddamn shame we were unable to add a few inches of fluffy snow on top of the glacier given how cold it has been for the last 10+ days since.
  19. CAPE
    Goddamn this is good. Complex as expected. Lots going on and it all works. These types of beers put you in a good place pretty quickly. A sipper but I am struggling with that lol. Going down too fast.
  20. CAPE
    Its easier to get over my way I guess because DFH is located in Delaware. Take a trip across the bridge- see the ice on the bay, and just on the other side you can get the high gravity good stuff with the yellow warning cap and not pay a premium.
  21. CAPE
    For those seeking the 120 min IPA, the one to get is the Limited release- that one is dry hopped for the first time and is excellent. The Utopias version is ok but the aging in those barrels changes the characteristics too much in my opinion. The sherry is too prominent. 2 places on Kent Island to get the 120s or the WWS for $40 a 4 pack is Love Point and the Winery.
  22. CAPE
    Go to DFH website and use the fish finder tool.
  23. CAPE
    Well, this is exactly what I was thinking about when I mentioned making a new thread. More technical in nature, set some rules- only analysis at mid-upper levels 850-500-250 mb, surface pressure, temp anomalies, and general precip for potential threats at range. The snowfall dweebs don't much care about what makes sensible weather happen. That shits up threads and at times makes it unreadable because " I'm not in the blue " and I was before so I'm gonna moan about how shitty the models are. lol unbearable.
  24. CAPE
    Nah he's cool. Its just something I notice a lot here in general reading through the threads. And too much geeking out over snow maps 8-10 days out lol. Its what largely sets in motion the weenie mood swing pendulum. Can we get a persistent threat across guidance before posting snow maps every run?
  25. CAPE
    Finally got my hands on a 4 pack of this. About to pop one open.
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