CAPE

His initial prognosis was 2-5 years to live. He lived for almost 20 years with this awful disease. He played like a Raven. What a fighter. RIP.

I have seen this too many times a few days out, and the NWS(Mount Holly) seems to forget the HREF tool is pretty useful when making their forecasts in the short term this time of year where the haves/have nots are difficult to pin down. Somewhat interesting the WPC is including areas in the potential heavy rain area that have been consistently missed in the last 3 weeks. I will believe it when I see it.

Hate to see it. Os are in the playoffs if the season ended today lol. American league is a disaster outside of 3 teams.

Pretty embarrassing. Seems his mom should maybe stay out of his business. Its a fucking number ffs. This is petty, and not a good look. https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/jayden-daniels-learned-valuable-costly-134824975.html

0.01 here Surprised the rain gauge registered anything

And the RRFS that WW is constantly posting is the next generation? That fucking thing is terrible too.

Impressive how often there has been heavy rain wording in the AFDs with inch+ amounts in the forecast that literally yield nothing. All summer long. They must be just using AI or guessing because the globals are awful with resolving convection(not their forte) and all the mesos suck and are always all over the place. Today is a classic example. Need better hi-res models I guess. When they all depict different outcomes run to run something isn't working right. Too many forecast busts tell the story.

Yet another turd here lol S MD and down towards Richmond looking pretty good.

Bold prediction: The Os never get above .500 and miss out on the final WC spot by one game

Still a quarter to half inch in the forecast for tonight. Only meso model that has anything close to that is the latest run of the HRRR, which will be completely different in an hour. Can't wait for the atmospheric response to the Nino to fully kick in. Actually looking foreword to a dreary Fall with lots of rain lol.

Slightly wet ground. Is this it? Yesterday's forecast was for a half inch today and up to an inch tonight. LOL This has been a recurring trend with the forecasts here for months.

Typically Fall. Probably not until October.

The meso guidance looks awful for today/tonight. It's going dry again after finally getting an above normal month in July. Still in a severe drought.

I'm on the schedule to get the deck boards replaced in early October it looks like at this point. See how it goes. Could put off the finish until Spring if necessary, NBD. But yeah lets schedule an estimate sometime before you go off on your winter snow chase. Jealous!

No work in winter? I figured you could put a finish on my deck in Dec when its in the 70s here.

You aren't planning to be there the whole winter are you?

Yeah coastal NE could be a cool chase. Esp Maine, where it's almost always cold enough for a bombing coastal low as it moves towards the Canadian Maritimes.

Probably not, but not like it's feet of snow off or something. This is from NWS Buffalo.. clearly not a banner year for snowfall in that area. https://www.weather.gov/media/buf/obs/COOPSNOW_2015-2016.pdf

A juiced up inland runner with just enough cold in place could produce a big snowstorm there. Otherwise its mostly LES. Still a pretty good place to be in the eastern US even if snowfall is below normal there. All relative.

Same here. Hard to avoid the cesspool.

Well after digging a bit more using AI, that winter seems to have been more suckass than I thought for the Tug hill region lol. Because of the exceptionally powerful 2015–16 El Niño event, the lake-effect snow season started late and lacked its typical persistence. [1] Estimated Snowfall Totals While Montague can average between 200 and 300+ inches annually, estimates and nearby cooperative tracking stations put the broader town area's total roughly between 110 and 140 inches for the entire 2015–16 season: [1] Hooker (Hamlet within Montague): While Hooker holds legendary status for massive winters (and logged a whopping 339.3 inches much later during the 2024–25 season), it barely crossed the low triple-digits during the tracking span of this El Niño winter. [1, 2] Constableville 1.2 NW Station: Located just outside the Montague town line on the plateau, this official GHCN daily climate station wrapped up its main core monitoring period (Dec 1, 2015 – Feb 29, 2016) with just 96.97 inches of recorded snow. [1]

Yeah same with Syracuse. I think that area is generally drier during a Nino wrt synoptic storms.

I think the Tug Hill area received somewhat less to right about average snowfall for 2015-16 depending on the exact area, and that winter seems to be a good comp for this upcoming Nino. I would guess there will be more mild/snowless periods than typical for that area in between big snow events. PSU can dig into the other analogs. eta- Nov into Dec was quite warm relative to avg even up there, so the lack of snow during that period would have had some impact on seasonal totals.

I like Alt rock. One of my fave female rock vocalists has her share of haters, much of it conspiracy driven crap.

X is toxic. Full of bots and trolls. 90% garbage. Unfortunately many of the sports insiders and weather geeks primarily post there.