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CAPE

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  1. CAPE
    Public Information Statement National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 520 PM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026 ...Storm Surveys Ongoing in portions of Delaware, northeast Maryland, and southeast Pennsylvania... The National Weather Service office in Mount Holly NJ is currently conducting storm surveys for the areas near Dover in Kent County, DE, Barclay and Marydel in Queen Anne's County, MD, and Downingtown in Chester County, PA. The survey is in relation to the severe thunderstorms that moved through the area on Thursday, August 20th, 2026. We have confirmed that at least EF-1 tornado damage, with estimated peak winds up to 105 mph, occurred with the tornado that impacted the Dover, DE area.
  2. CAPE
    Well it is true that droughts can tend to be self sustaining(positive feedback loop) due to multiple factors. As for the models, I would think the physics are capable of resolving that to some degree. In places where general/long term dryness is a feature due to topography(downsloping for example) the models certainly can 'see' that- often depicting a precip min in those locales. Just ask @EastCoast NPZ
  3. CAPE
    Was that his way of saying 'drought begets drought'?
  4. CAPE
    As in that this team could actually contend this year? Fuck no. But the reality is at least one awful team is going to make the playoffs, which is complete crap, and one issue MLB faces right now. Stop being the NBA(making the long regular season largely meaningless), and figure out how to come up with a cap/floor to achieve some semblance of competitive balance.
  5. CAPE
    Why are you here? Shocking. This isn't your thing. No digital blue showing up in the long range yet?
  6. CAPE
    After last night, they are pretty much done. Sniffed 500, now lost 4 straight. 9.4% chance of making the playoffs(which is pointless anyway). They are who we thought they were.
  7. CAPE
  8. CAPE
    lol any discussion of a SSW event in August for the upcoming Fall probably means we are totally fucked.
  9. CAPE
    Closing in on an inch, but about done. Just about 2" in the last few days.
  10. CAPE
    0.93" and still raining moderately, but on the back edge. Just about 2" since Monday.
  11. CAPE
    A few photos of the line approaching. This was right about the time Dover was potentially getting rocked by a tornado. Also nudged this guy off the road.
  12. CAPE
  13. CAPE
    Very impressive thunder, but sort of in between the main line and another developing cell congealing just to my SE for now. 0.40" so far Glad I got that unexpected storm on Monday that produced just under an inch.
  14. CAPE
    That's probably gonna be an EF2, hopefully not a 3
  15. CAPE
    Pouring here now. Just give me the rain. Don't need the rest.
  16. CAPE
    Damn that doesnt sound good.
  17. CAPE
    Might get in on this. Seems to be sagging south a bit. Just got some cools shots
  18. CAPE
    Tornado warning just to my NW in Queen Annes County. Just got the alert.
  19. CAPE
    Not fucking good. He was likely going to be the starter.
  20. CAPE
    The initial(very impressive looking) line looks to miss just to the north. What else is new lol.
  21. CAPE
    Out on the deck with a HH bourbon. Not sure what this is gonna give but the thunder in the distance is relentless. Got yourself a j?
  22. CAPE
    Hearing continuous thunder from that line to the west and it isnt even very close yet.
  23. CAPE
    NE MD/N DE, and SE PA getting crushed again. No drought up that way.
  24. CAPE
    mm?
  25. CAPE
    Looks like a bowing segment over this way on the 18z 3km NAM.
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