CAPE
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Snow potential will be this afternoon and evening for the lowlands with the precip on the back side of the coastal low as temps cool. Question is how far west the precip will get- looks like by the time its cold enough it might be on the light side/moving out. Best shot at an inch or 2 at that point will probably be east/southeast of my yard where models indicate a better chance of getting in on some heavier precip as the coastal low passes/pulls out.
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Nice setup for the storm potential in the 25-26th window, with a shortwave dropping southward over the western ridge and some of the energy in the southwest possibly getting involved. Big coastal storm potential here followed by another wave around Feb 1st. EPS advertising a very cold and active period upcoming.
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Everybody who isnt 12 or Ji knows this.
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This h5 look is Nino-ish
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Nice. Where?
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why bother? we are about 10 days out from the next legit chance and the outcome will change a hundred times on the op runs between now and then.
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If its gonna snow, it will probably be in this window here. Possibly another chance a few days later, although suppression depression might be a thing at that point. That's all I have to say at this juncture.
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I see we are back to dumpster fire mode lol. I'll show myself out.
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He had 20 turnovers this season lol. They overcome it with their great defense, and designing simple and efficient plays where he can get the ball out and limit his poor decisions. That's why Klint Kubiak is a genius and we need to hire him lol.
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He is the same as he ever was. A mistake waiting to happen.
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wow he really did go down awkwardly, just trying to center the ball for the kicker https://www.instagram.com/reel/DToqmkSDCUp/
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Last time Denver won a SB they didn't have a real QB. Their defense carried them. Payton Manning had a noodle arm and could barely throw at that point.
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Damn. Watched that whole game and didn't really see how it happened.
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This really is comical. Imagine if this was an actual real storm. Hopefully not a preview.
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I guess when every model has a different flavor you just go with the blend lol
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The 12z Euro had a tenth more for you than 18z.
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Great call! The latest model runs all support this.
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Aren't you out near Winchester? Even if you are anywhere east of there it isnt better lol.
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Also cut the precip in half. Getting accum snow was dependent on getting some actual rates to overcome the warmish air in the lower levels. Looks like very light snow now- probably will be snow tv after some rain.
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Euro never looked great, but now its even more crappy for much of the region like many of the latest meso runs.
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Now watch the Euro go nuts at 18z lol.
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Go back and look at 0z and 6z runs for the Euro and the 3km NAM and try to make a case that one was better than the other lol. They basically flip flopped.. but we are talking an inch of snow +- a couple tenths. It's splitting hairs lol.
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Good thing is, its a weak little event for our region, so we talking something like a range of a coating to a half inch to maybe 2" someplace. Bigger fish to fry going forward.. hopefully. The one red flag is the Euro was pretty persistently never really into this one. Most of the recent runs it had an inch or so max, and before that not much of anything. GFS is the worst again lol.
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Not sure if this was posted- I didn't see it so here is the Euro AI. Better than the last 2 runs
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Ended up with mostly sleet here mixed with rain. Actually can see a coating in the mulch, on the deck, and the roof. Temp is 35.
