CAPE

No. It sucks on WB, as each update is a single run. On TT its the avg of the last 12 runs.

Soo nice out. And no worries about the shorter days in the offing- we will still likely be warm and humid well into October. I'm sure you will get sick of it too.

Latest CFS for mid/late winter, Fwiw. Very Nino, and has a general look that could produce a big snowstorm or two even if the overall winter is on the mild side.

Six days until the Summer Solstice. Shorter days/lower sun after that as we move towards Fall/winter. Love the thought of that, plus NFL training camp is about a month away.

0.00" yesterday. Major fail given the forecast. About a half inch for the month so far, on top of half/less than half of normal rainfall the last 3 months. Drought status may be upped here this week. Was already pretty close to Extreme. I'll keep running the sprinklers for the plants. Grass is toast, clover hanging in there.

"Nothing we root for here ever works" This is pure silliness. Some of us have had above avg snow several times since 2016. Some haven't. That's the way winters go here in MA, outside of the highlands. It will even out over time. The Ravens have been a perennial playoff team. How can you disappointed in that? Ok so they haven't made it to a SB in the LJ era. Look at all the other (good) teams that haven't either. Spoiled. Imagine being a Jets fan.

Orioles suck. That's abundantly clear. The manager is a loser. Why bring the Ravens into this? Harbaugh is finally gone. We have an all new and young coaching staff, plenty of talent, and the vibes have been great so far. I'm excited to see what this team can do. And snow? lol. How the fuck does that fit in here?

90/66 Need rain, like 1-2". Another quarter to a half inch won't do anything.

As for SA, they are young and talented, and will probably win a few championships. Wemby is very good, but needs to bulk up a bit, and MUST develop a game in the low post with his size. Hate seeing him shooting threes all the time.

He doesnt look like the quintessential NBA superstar- not flashy, but the dude just gets it done. Humble and a class act too. I hate seeing any NY team win, but just can't root against that guy.

So drought is ok because you loathe mowing, but you miss the rain because the grass is brown. I think this is a 'you cant have it both ways' deal.

High of 95 here. Currently 92.

The broken line died just to the west of me, but had a nice outflow with some wind to dry things up a bit more.

Yep.

Yet south of there- eastern MD and DE- have done very well with snowfall wrt to avg since 2017. Rehoboth has had 3 or 4 blizzards between 2017 and last year. Pretty anomalous.

The PDO has been negative for years and we have still managed to snow. Most of those years have been Ninas(correlates to -PDO) so we shall see how it goes with a strong Nino. I would expect it to trend positive as we head into Fall.

SA is very talented, but young. They aren't going anywhere. If the Knicks blow this their window to win a championship is probably closed. Now or never.

lol Knicks

0.43" Not bad. Need a lot more.

49 this morning

Microclimates due to terrain effects, mostly in the western areas(orographic lift/rain shadow) largely determine winners and losers. In areas at lower elevations it is random in a lot of cases, but there are localized boundaries that can help trigger storms due to bay/sea breezes enhancing lift in some cases. When a legit cold front runs into a warm, unstable airmass the chances for more widespread coverage of storms is increased, but there will still be locales that maximize more than others. Again over time, that seems to even out. A linear/elongated line of storms(QLCS) probably gives the best chance for all in the affected area to be impacted in a similar way.

Yeah there was another downpour here around midnight. Ended up with 0.15" for the day. Was expecting nothing ofc.

Wow a brief downpour with a gust of wind, then a bit of lighter rain. Didn't amount to much ofc but nice to know its still possible lol. 0.07" !!

Agree. Just got to keep watering the plants. See how drought tolerant the clover is. Grass is going quick.