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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    I slept like a baby and I'm headed out to chisel my jeep out of its encasement and try to get to wok lol. This may have been posted but no time to browse 20 pages. This is pretty tasty and close enough for a mean at this range. Like I said last night there is plenty of time for guidance to correct any possible errors with the key features, and we all know nothing is ever nailed 5+ days out. More changes likely to come.
  2. CAPE
    So I see some excitement has returned for Feb 1st. Y'all left it for dead.
  3. CAPE
    You might be right, but I think most of the region is still in the game. Just look at the current storm and what was advertised on guidance 5-6 days ago. Didn't quite work out that way lol. Plenty of time for possible errors upstream to be revealed and corrected.
  4. CAPE
    The ridge axis/orientation has been the primary issue on recent runs compared to what was advertised a few days ago. But yes, still time for the models to show us they don't usually get key features quite right 5+ days out.
  5. CAPE
    It is a great look. The problem(as you know) is these advertised 'big potential' h5 patterns at this range tend to end up somewhat different the closer we get. This coming weekend looked full of potential 5-6 days ago on the ensembles. The the analogs reflected the potential. So as always, we keep checking run-by-run, day-by day, and see how the guidance evolves. It would be nice to get some snow in the next 10 days. Early Feb still holds some potential imo. Still a week out.
  6. CAPE
    Too bad the Broncos have no QB.
  7. CAPE
    This game in Denver is wild. Conditions deteriorated rapidly. Just a cold day in the first quartet to a snowstorm and damn near whiteout in the 4th.
  8. CAPE
    A legit glacier here with the freezing rain on top of the sleet on top of the snow. This wont be going anywhere for awhile.
  9. CAPE
    3Km NAM has a high of 31 before it starts to fall. Its done the best with thermals today.
  10. CAPE
    Temp seems to be holding pretty steady at 29 now.
  11. CAPE
    I was just outside cleaning/chiseling off the jeep and put a tarp over the front half. I need to be out early tomorrow morning. I really do hate freezing rain. We will have a glacier that will be around for a month lol.
  12. CAPE
    It was mostly the sleet that caused that.
  13. CAPE
    Mount Holly lowered the high temp here to 31, which aligns with guidance, which has the high between 30-32. Been rising fairly quick though the last hour or so. 28 now.
  14. CAPE
    Well since the sleet is done, unless it flips back at the end, looks like my total will be 6.8" (combo of snow and sleet)
  15. CAPE
    Ofc as soon as it flips to freezing rain it gets heavier.
  16. CAPE
    If I lose power this is my freezer lol
  17. CAPE
    Same here. Looks like we stay below freezing per guidance and updated forecast from Mount Holly. They are thinking up to a quarter inch of ice...Nam suggests closer to a half, but not sure I by that.
  18. CAPE
    Not too thrilled about this. 3km NAM has been better with thermals all day- most other guidance has been too warm- and has pretty significant freezing rain here. Currently 25 with light sleet and freezing rain- in a bit of a lull again.
  19. CAPE
    25 here and whatever is falling is very light but might be freezing rain. I8z 3km NAM keeps us below freezing(other models have been to warm to this point) with pretty significant icing.
  20. CAPE
    21 at 1pm Most guidance has my yard 27 at this point Late afternoon into evening 32-33.
  21. CAPE
    Went outside to measure and currently there is more tiny flakes/needles falling than sleet. Can see it clearly on my navy blue jacket. Anyway 3/4" of sleet/whatever else is falling.
  22. CAPE
    Same thing happening here. After a lull earlier its been sleeting hard and definitely some needles mixed in. Visibility almost as low as it was earlier when it was all snow.
  23. CAPE
    Looks like we get to 32-33 on the Meso models for a few hours late afternoon/evening.
  24. CAPE
    Yeah been in a hole here.
  25. CAPE
    Been boring here for about an hour. Just light sleet/needles in this precip hole. Most notable thing is snow blowing off the roof lol.
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