CAPE
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Yeah well that's what I said lol, and specifically that this time of year that setup is going to be rain for the coastal plain probably every time. Inland where you are, different story. I would expect precip to at least start as snow out there unless HH GFS scenario verifies. Probably snow/mix quickly to rain in your yard in that case.
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A fundamental problem that has been pretty persistent on all model simulations is HP to the north exiting stage right as the storm approaches. That's complete death for snow chances for lower elevations/coastal plain at our latitude esp in early Dec. Places well inland and further north should see some frozen initially depending on the amplitude of the shortwave trough and exact track of the surface low.
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12z Euro Ens has a favorable h5 look with hints of some energy taking the southern route. Prior to that it looks NS dominant but for this window maybe we can get a wave ejecting from the SW to slide underneath.
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lol he took blame for specifically THAT? Makes zero sense. How about taking the blame for his team constantly looking unprepared/flat against lesser opponents.
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I tuned out pretty early based on the pattern for my yard. A HP sliding off the NE coast in early Dec never works out well for the lowlands. Places NW at elevation might salvage something, otherwise head to the western highlands to see some snow.
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Bengals can make this a blowout real quick. I think they will.
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Just comical.
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NBC sucks. Lil Jon is performing at halftime but its like it isn't even happening- unless you pay for Peacock.
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They have fucked up in every way imaginable. Cant wait to see what they do in the second half! Defense has done pretty well though. Have a feeling they will get torched in the second half because the offense is completely inept.
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I think I we know which TE the Ravens should make a priority to sign in the offseason.
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If he can play Guard, it shouldn't matter. Even if playing RG isnt natural, still better than that turd.
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The Faalele gaslighting is just insane. Every single fan knows how awful he is, yet they keep telling us how good he is and improving.
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And who did Emery Jones come in to replace??? Vorhees!! Cant make this shit up. FIRE HARBAUGH.
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Justice Hill placed on IR. Maybe, just maybe, Keaton Mitchell will get his chance to shine, outside of a disjointed handful of plays per game.
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Nice to see Warner Brothers is onboard.
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Jack White should be in Baltimore performing at HT tho. Seven Nation Army live at M&T would be incredible.
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Holy shit this Halftime show in Detroit. Killer. Way better than some recent SB HT shows.
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Just an op run but 18z GFS is a much better H5 look for frozen on the 6th for the corridor and points east for early Dec. At the surface- broad area of HP to the north, instead of a High sliding off the NE coast for the Dec 2-3 storm. All subject to change ofc.
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Having one now. Bourbon + a little Fireball.
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About to get into one of these from First State Brewing Old Friends Dubai-Style Chocolate Stout | 12.9% | 10oz Notes: Rich Chocolate | Sweet Vanilla | + Adjuncts: Cocoa Nibs | Pistachio | Vanilla
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66. Sun finally broke out in the last hour. Attack of the ladybugs.
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Forecast accuracy beyond D10 is generally 50%, or the flip of a coin esp. on details like precip amounts. Likely worse for snow. Don't get too excited based on any sensible outcome it depicts outside of a week would be my advice. Personally I only use it at long leads for general longwave pattern looks, over at least a few runs.
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It continues with the same idea. All that matters on an op run at this range.
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Early Dec climo is a big hurdle for the lowlands. Not impossible because it does happen from time to time. Nice to have something to track however it goes.
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A well timed trailing wave with cold coming in behind the initial low is a pretty common and uncomplicated way to get some snow here. The advertised pattern is conducive.
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