CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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Might add a bit of intrigue to HH anyway
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The next few model cycles might be interesting.
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So what you are saying is- both the 12z CMC op and EURO op are now more like the GFS op, with some snow for I-95 and east. Seems like a favorable trend. eta- I should say- the 12z EURO has joined the 12z CMC and now both are more like the GFS
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Yes the wonderful UKMET and its mysterious 'great scores' Rarely see it mentioned in a NWS forecast discussion. I gotta keep promoting my storm just in case...otherwise if it does produce, unlikely as that may be, the peeps will say I gave up on it.
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..many up in SE PA that also works lol
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Just posting what the CMC depicts. We got the UKMET and the RAP up in here ffs.
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12z Canadian looks as good as it ever has for Sunday-Monday am. Better than the GFS now lol
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Its not a miss for eastern areas. Has 2.5" here verbatim. Now do I believe its correct?
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Just looked further upstairs on the GFS and I think the snow its developing over eastern parts of our region is driven by the upper jet- right entrance region of a pretty impressive jet streak aligns with the location where the snow falls. Euro is weaker with that feature. That might explain the persistence on the GFS despite the low position being pretty far offshore.
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The models know lol
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The way it looks on the GEFS we could initially have some rain/ice and then as the deeper cold comes in we end up getting some snow. Pretty loaded look though with all that moisture. Verbatim this would be snow on the mean for the region with the colder air in place.
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0z UKMET is wetter than the GFS. Has about a half inch of precip for my yard.
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Difficult pattern with a lot of NS chaos. Probably more error associated with initial conditions, and maybe not enough data in some cases.
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I guess technically there should be a separate thread for 'my' storm which was Sunday into Monday, but I wouldn't bother- both of these 'events' look severely underwhelming lol. Tomorrow looks better for along and NW of I-95 and Sunday for the coastal regions. My forecast has an inch or less for Sunday, and only the GFS and the AIs support that. The beach areas have the best shot at a couple inches.
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Hey it is what it is. GFS is on crack. My storm is on life support. On to the Chuck storm.
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About right. Didn't budge.
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Dude. Always doing the Eeyore thing. Give it a rest lol. Why ask that shit? We need positivity in this thread.
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Fresh fish shouldn't smell like much of anything. Have you never eaten fish and chips? Almost always cod. Alaskan Pollack is good too. My fav fish is Tuna- bluefin if I can get it. Seared about 45 seconds a side. Fuck yeah.
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Bourbon in hand. Lets go. If it sucks, there is more bourbon.
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HH Euro is gonna be the biggest run of our- lol no it isnt. But it will be telling. Need it to make at least a modest move in the right direction- like a little snow close to DC.
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No mention.
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Imma read the latest AFD from Mount Holly- I'm positive they are going to mention the RRFS experimental model. Oh and the RGEM.
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It's the GFS though. Always a tease even as the preponderance of guidance suggests this is an outright miss. Gotta see something from the Euro.
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Chuck was high on this period I think before you, me, and PSU. I think a Chuck storm might be exactly what we need. But if he makes a single post about a negative fucking PNA it automatically gets transferred to someone else.
