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CAPE

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  1. CAPE
    Microclimates due to terrain effects, mostly in the western areas(orographic lift/rain shadow) largely determine winners and losers. In areas at lower elevations it is random in a lot of cases, but there are localized boundaries that can help trigger storms due to bay/sea breezes enhancing lift in some cases. When a legit cold front runs into a warm, unstable airmass the chances for more widespread coverage of storms is increased, but there will still be locales that maximize more than others. Again over time, that seems to even out. A linear/elongated line of storms(QLCS) probably gives the best chance for all in the affected area to be impacted in a similar way.
  2. CAPE
    Yeah there was another downpour here around midnight. Ended up with 0.15" for the day. Was expecting nothing ofc.
  3. CAPE
    Wow a brief downpour with a gust of wind, then a bit of lighter rain. Didn't amount to much ofc but nice to know its still possible lol. 0.07" !!
  4. CAPE
    Agree. Just got to keep watering the plants. See how drought tolerant the clover is. Grass is going quick.
  5. CAPE
    Just over 6" total here for MAM. Something needs to change.
  6. CAPE
    you rang?
  7. CAPE
    That's a Nino-ish look. The general idea is pretty good for a seasonal tool at this range. It would probably look even better for Jan-Feb.
  8. CAPE
    He made the thread ahead of the last rain event, but there was already a Med/LR discussion thread. This one got pinned after that, which really didn't make sense as there was no hint of heavy rain going forward, and there still isnt.
  9. CAPE
    @WxUSAF Please change the title of this thread. Its ridiculous- the antithesis of the reality of the situation going forward. Maybe just delete the first part and make it "June 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion".
  10. CAPE
    No changes in the drought status for the area with today's update. If some of the LR forecasts come to fruition there will probably be some parts of the area(probably SE) that will be in extreme drought category.
  11. CAPE
    You didn't post h5 for Feb. The time for an east coast historic blizzard. +PNA, -EPO and -NAO.
  12. CAPE
    Dry AF here. Watering does next to nothing. Where's Noah? Gonna need that boat (Ark) soon. The Biblical rains are surely coming.
  13. CAPE
    Yeah half of the area is in a severe drought with no rain in sight.
  14. CAPE
    The title of this thread is terrible. The first sentence should be deleted.
  15. CAPE
    Well's role is a bit unclear. He certainly did suck today.
  16. CAPE
    low of 46
  17. CAPE
    Not sure about that dude. And he used the word 'risk' twice in one sentence.
  18. CAPE
    Yeah the inverse lol.
  19. CAPE
    Eff baseball lol. NFL minicamp in June, then training camp starts mid July. Only 6 weeks away!!!!
  20. CAPE
    I mean, Brandon Hyde could/should still be here. It wasn't his fault either. Look upstairs.
  21. CAPE
    Just gotta ride it out now. This team has major flaws, so not sure another manager would make much of a difference.
  22. CAPE
    Same here. Soon as the sun lowers a bit, the sprinkler(and well pump) is gonna do some work.
  23. CAPE
    It will probably take a few months before coupling to the atmosphere has a meaningful impact on midlatitude weather patterns. Late Summer, early Fall maybe?
  24. CAPE
    68/46 Glorious. Only complaint is the wind, which is really not helping things given the lack of rainfall here. VWC at 4" is about a tenth here
  25. CAPE
    LOL Orioles. They just cant get anything going for more than a few games.
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