CAPE

That usually ends up working out for places further north.

The vort max interactions are just a bit too discombobulated, and phase a little too late thus offshore low development. GFS is the still the closest to a good outcome among the deterministic guidance, and nothing is etched in stone at this juncture.

For some reason I'm not too worried about a complete whiff to the South or east. Temps are the main problem so we need a strong low with dynamics. A weak pos wont do it. Something about this looks different to me compared to recent fails.. maybe I am imagining things. Anyone want to take a stab at it? Other than the +PNA.

Broken fucking record. @stormtracker This turd needs to be limited to the Panic Room

You didn't lose anything. You never had it, and you don't have what's on this run. These are simulations. Yes I know you live for the digital snow. Instant gratification or disappointment.

Latest Natty Blend looks solid. And posting snow maps is now somewhat useful as we are within a week and the preponderance of guidance indicates a legit threat.

Yeah they got crushed with that deform band while I got dry slotted. Got half a storm here lol.

Damn I thought you moved to the desert too. Prevailing winds off of the higher terrain to the west into the valley...downsloping sucks. Otoh coastal storms or tropical storms with an easterly component do well there.

You left Leesburg?

Temps kinda suck at the end of the run on the mean, but plenty of time to correct that error.

End of the run-

Yeah he has told us that for decades lol

If we gonna do snow maps, do it right. Zoom out a bit. And THIS is the total.

I guess my technical thread is dead. I'm here now. Oh well. People love the snow maps and emotional pendulums. I'll deal with it.

There are at least 5 key pieces of energy in the western half of the US on this panel, and all of them will play a role in the ultimate outcome.

Not just spacing young lad. Timing and interactions. There are multiple pieces of energy-vorticity ribbons and balls of vorticity, on the playing field. No way to know exactly how the interplay will work out at this range.

You really are gonna move there? Good for you. I bet its bang for the buck.

Maybe just OD on Viagra? Seems like a better idea than injecting your junk.

Anybody see this? Maybe I haven't been paying attention but apparently if you pump up your willy for a bigger bulge you go further! Reports alleging that some ski jumpers are injecting their penises to make them larger stem from a strategy to gain an aerodynamic edge to achieve longer, more successful jumps. This phenomenon, often referred to in media as "penisgate," is believed to be an attempt to circumvent regulations regarding the sizing of ski jumping suits. Manipulating the Crotch Point: By artificially increasing the size of their genital area (using substances like hyaluronic acid), athletes can create a lower-hanging crotch. This allows them to wear a slightly larger suit with more fabric, which generates more lift. https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2026/feb/06/penisgate-winter-olympics-ski-jumpers-acid-penis-health-risks-explainer

This is very acceptable for a mean at this range. GEFS and CMC ens are decent too. Pretty strong signal.

If its meteorologically possible, we track it. Fuck an MJO. It isnt the master of the atmosphere.

The NAM did a remarkable(well not for the NAM) 180 from one run to the next near gametime. The ICON was better lol.

It seems to be the best opportunity for something, for now. Have to monitor the h5 look to see if it degrades in future runs. That's what has tended to happen recently.

6z GEFS has it.