CAPE

18z 3km NAM looks intriguing.

SPC AC 281926 Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0226 PM CDT Wed May 28 2025 Valid 301200Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe storms with wind damage, large hail, and a few tornadoes will be possible Friday afternoon through late Friday evening across parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast. ...Mid-Atlantic and Southeast... Pattern amplification will occur Friday as one shortwave trough progresses from the Mid-South to the southeast Atlantic/Mid-Atlantic coast, in advance of another wave digging southward over the Great Lakes. An associated surface cyclone will develop east-northeastward across the Mid-Atlantic late Friday and to the southern New England coast by Saturday morning, while a trailing cold front crosses the Gulf coast, north FL and the southeast Atlantic coast. Within cloud breaks the warm sector will consist of afternoon temperatures near or above 80 F and boundary-layer dewpoints in the 60s, which will drive MLCAPE of 1000-2000+ J/kg and minimal convective inhibition by early-mid afternoon. Increasing midlevel flow with time and forcing for ascent along and just ahead of the front will support storm initiation with the potential for storm clusters and some supercells capable of producing damaging winds, large hail and a few tornadoes. If wave timing and thermodynamic profiles remain favorable, some portion of this area may warrant an upgrade in later updates.

And the next one-

1.3" Just light interment rain after the heavier stuff this morning. Nice event. Plants look happy.

1.15" Almost all of that fell since 5am. Looks like lighter/more showery rain for the rest of the afternoon.

The coastal is getting going now. Heavier rain moving up from the S/SW in the next few hours. 0.62" so far.

Only a tenth here overnight but steady rain the last couple hours. Looks like a soaker with 1-2" forecast for today.

Dandelions and Wild Violets for me. The latter spreads like crazy and hard to kill.

Here they come!! Only 9 games out of the final wildcard spot ( I think) with over 100 games to go.

Looks like warmer times may lie ahead with a shift in the longwave pattern showing up on the ensembles.

Low of 49. Currently 65 heading into the noon hour. Simply spectacular.

57 here currently after a high of 68. Perfect day imo. The wind is a nitpick. Felt great outside.

Yeah I have plenty of moss. Where it grows, I leave it, but weeds grow through it. One side of my back yard(the area over the septic drain field) gets a lot of sun in the summer, and it wont grow there.

That's exactly where I got the wildflower seed mix I planted in the Spring. Great website. For the rest of the back garden area, I want a clover field lawn with wildflowers mixed in. I will probably just buy white clover seeds and the flower seeds from American meadows and mix it in. That link in my other post was for the picture- showing the look I want(minus the grass).

Back in early Spring I planted a bunch of native wildflower seeds at the back part of the yard near the edge of the woods. Lots of growth there now and starting to see beginnings of some blooms. I was thinking of making most of my back yard clover + wildflowers. Tired of dealing with the grass that never survives the Summer and constant reseeding process. White clover naturally takes over in those areas anyway, so why not just plant the stuff. Low maintenance drought tolerant ground cover. Something like this from The Vermont Wildflower Farm, although this seed mix also has some grass mixed in- https://www.vermontwildflowerfarm.com/products/magic-carpet-mix?variant=46441269920051&gad_source=1&gad_campaignid=209329693&gbraid=0AAAAAD-xHrEgHFgrwptzJzqv-zz5ffLaA&gclid=CjwKCAjw3MXBBhAzEiwA0vLXQQSxPeRduIIZfvkIVk0P13QBd_cZ8nhsqIvaqhVr8ceckp02xKXd2hoCHWIQAvD_BwE

I have a wild turkey who has become a regular visitor, eating the bird seed that falls from the feeder onto the ground. Makes a mess of the mulch though. They also will eat flowers, so I have been chasing it away lately. It's hard enough dealing with the deer, but Irish Spring seems to do it for the most part.

There is some evidence that atmospheric pressure gradients are becoming stronger, but I will decline to expound on that in this thread for obvious reasons.

He was a good assistant GM for the Astros, where his focus was scouting and player development at the minor league level. Unfortunately he seems to think that is the sole purpose of an actual GM as well. He is a failure.

Sipping on a Limited Release 120 min IPA to start the long weekend. Glorious weather the next few days. Probably wont have this again until early October lol.

Well, that tends to happen this time of year with the long days and plants/trees all active. And ofc the perpetual wind.

As of the latest update(yesterday) a small area in north central MD- much of Baltimore county and parts of Carroll and Harford- are still in a severe drought. Areas surrounding that are Moderate. Better further east- my yard is on the edge of abnormally dry, and nothing points S and E from there. But yeah there has been marked improvement in the past couple weeks. Not sure why he wouldn't be discussing that rather than being a hypester.

Caught the edge of another one. One crack of thunder and a couple minutes of rain. Pushed the total just over an inch.

Mostly missed the heavier showers today, but picked up a little here and there. Looks like 0.93" will be the grand total.

This batch of rain saved the day here. Made the forecast respectable. 0.82".

Yes that worked out pretty well. 0.73" here now. Steady moderate rain.