CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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The snowfall maps still exist even when they show nothing for a given region. You aren't this dumb. See WW's post.
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I still think there is a good chance we see snow mid month.
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Can we please ban all snowfall map posts in the medium-long range thread. Those who post them have no clue how this works lol. They should immediately be sent to banter or the digital snow thread.
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Ofc there is no chance of snow for the next week- we are moving into a well advertised mild pattern with temps in the 50s and maybe low 60s lol. This is in the shorter range when the ens members will naturally exhibit less spread- when we expect each of them to more accurately depict the actual outcome.
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You know how it goes at longer range on guidance- always spread/uncertainty, so don't expect to see the snow maps lit up on the mean. Since we aren't going to be in a 'good pattern' for another week or so, maybe stop looking at snow maps at D10+ and expecting to see digital blue over us, then having a hissy fit when you don't. At least keep it out of the discussion thread.
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Fucking hell
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Its early January lol.
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Nice gradient look. Just need a significant wave to ride along it and snow on us.
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Oh that's not happening
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Impressive h5 look tho
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LOL Mitchnick ninja'd me by like 10 seconds
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Hella impressive HL look. That EPO ridge though. Bring the cold and hopefully we get some moisture.
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Ens support for a little something on the 12th
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Southwest Flow Event. More of a New England thing. They get that setup a lot.
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More energy about to eject northeastward from the SW.
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Yeah baby
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The interplay between the shortwaves is off and what we end up with is more of a broad lobe with no real sharpness to it. What I do like is the surface set up- HP to the NW and LP to the NE. Fuck the GL Low bullshit. That's a fail almost always for our region.
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Like I said yesterday, I think there is a pretty good chance for a winter storm mid month period. I didn't pore over successive ens runs like I did yesterday, but just looking at h5 on the latest runs it still looks reasonable.
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What's going to show up over the next 3 days is a significant warming trend. Looking forward to it. Need a break from the cold with not much to show for it.
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Another cold cloudy day with a high temp around freezing. We are wasting a lot of cold with no significant snow lol.
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Ofc. But Ralph hailed me about it lol.
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I don't know what this even means lol. Btw a SWFE involves overrunning with cold HP anchored to the north. This ain't that.
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This setup would end up mostly rain for the majority of our region.
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Well, not exactly. What I want is a shortwave riding the thermal boundary with cold HP to the NW pressing southward, not a goddamn 998 LP over the Great lakes lol. This-
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All 3 models have moved away from a SER at d15/16. That's why I don't get why anyone worries about the pattern depiction that far out, esp given how this has gone for months now. Any suggestion of protracted warmth is muted/ doesnt materialize.
