CAPE
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I posted this in the Discobs thread, but it really belongs here. Ensemble guidance is still advertising a shift in the longwave pattern with the upper ridge retrograding into the central/western US for the end of the month into August. That should at least give us some drier air if not notably less hot. That pattern could also put our area in a position for impacts from mesoscale convective systems that develop on the periphery of the ridge and drop southeastward.
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It was like that here too, but sun broke out in the last 30 mins. Still pretty humid but not awful. 80/66 Dews should lower through the afternoon with a breeze out of the north. This evening should feel fantastic. Tomorrow is going to be about the best weather we get in this area in late July, and Wed should also be very nice.
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Ensemble guidance is still advertising a shift in the longwave pattern with the upper ridge retrograding into the central/western US for the end of the month into August. That should at least give us some drier air if not notably less hot. That pattern could also put our area in a position for mesoscale convective systems that develop on the periphery of the ridge and drop southeastward. Probably should have posted this in the other thread but whatever lol.
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A few days ago the models had the front clearing the area late Sunday. Its going to be mid to late day, so delayed not denied. Dews will drop this afternoon, and tomorrow will be the nicest day. But yeah it will be short lived as the HP slides southeastward into the western Atlantic. Southerly flow on the backside- we know what that means, esp with the anomalously warm water off the east coast.
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It's headed for your yard.
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Its fine on COD. It is often broken for one reason or another, but not now. NWS radar is garbage, so if you are using that I am not surprised if it doesn't work right lol
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The Orioles have been outscored 28-2 in their last 3 games. Football season can't come fast enough.
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0.40" brings the monthly total to 5.5". Sunny now.
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Getting some decent rain with this batch of showers rolling through this morning. 0.37"
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"We" lol Literally no one likes you here. You contribute nothing of value. And you were whining. OMG it's not raining in my yard...........................!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! You have little understanding of the complex nature of the atmosphere, which is fine. Read more, post less. And don't make stupid, snarky replies to a met, moaning when it isn't raining on your little yard when you think it should be.
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If you want to make a whiny ass post, have at it. But don't do it as a snarky reply to a well respected, well liked Met in our sub forum. Who the hell are you to question his assessment of the situation?
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Upper ridge builds out west for the last week of July and looks to persist into early August. We will still see some hot weather ofc, but not the oppressively high dewpoints.
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GEFS concurs (as does the EPS). Canadian HP. Yeah baby! I took Monday off. Gonna explore Conquest Preserve NW of Centreville. Never been.
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5.1" for the month after last night. More than double the June total. Needed July to deliver and so far so good.
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Guidance suggests early to mid next week(maybe beyond) will be very nice for mid-late July. After the front moves through over the weekend, Canadian HP builds southeastward into a position over NE. Low to mid 80s with reasonable dewpoints will feel like early Fall compared to what we have been dealing with lately.
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Ok that was a pretty impressive storm and better than I expected. Nothing severe but entertaining with a decent amount of rain. 0.76" with some lighter rain continuing.
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Impressive T&L right now. Pouring rain.
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Not much here so far- .03". Hearing some persistent thunder with weakening storms on the doorstep per radar. Hopefully it holds together. A half inch would be nice.
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What brand do you use? I buy Sawyer on Amazon. Good Stuff but crappy pump spray dispenser. Super annoying.
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I'll take a walk on the treadmill in the AC. Right after I finish this 90 min IPA.
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After getting chiggers on my ankles and multiple seed ticks in a place no man wants them, I always immediately shower or at least take a damp towel and brush down my legs and feet. Worse than normal this Summer. This morning I put knee boots on to pull some weeds lol. Skeeters aren't bad but the Asian Tigers usually show up for the last third of Summer and into early Fall(second summer).
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All that digging and playing in the dirt you do, have you managed to avoid chiggers? I do a lot of the same stuff here(to a lesser degree now) and every time I have been lazy and not sprayed myself, I have paid for it lol. I try to do my 'playing in the dirt projects' in early Spring and later in the Fall for the most part.
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Seems like they let all the good people go so they can afford the contract with Pat McAffee. He is in on everything. Talk about overexposed.
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Yeah when I drove by yesterday and saw the clouds and the way the sun was highlighting everything I was like I have to turn around and get that shot lol.
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I literally just noticed this beautiful meadow of sunflowers a couple days ago just a half mile down the road from my house. Only a small opening where its visible from the road.
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