CAPE

I asked Copilot "how are you more helpful than using Google". It basically told me it was a shill for Microsoft and it used Bing lol.

Just another mid summer, mid April day here. High of 82. No sign of any rain.

Soil has gotten dry here too. The seasonal wetland is shrinking some, so I can't complain about that.

Begins in April now. Wasps already building nests. Been catching carpenter bees in the traps for a week now. That used to be an early May thing.

Yeah this isn't new. Thank Elon.

Brutal pitching the first 2 games of this series. Hopefully Burnes is sharp against his old team, and the offense gets it going early.

The Orioles starting pitching looks shaky. Not too surprising. Additions will be needed at some point. Burnes needs to be the stopper today.

Os also need to get Kjerstad on the roster. It's kind of now or never- dude is killing the ball and he is 25.

Boring.

Important signing imo, especially after losing Clowney. Maybe Oweh and/or Ojabo develop into a legit pass rusher, but can't count on it at this point, and Van Noy is also a great teammate and mentor.

Brief line of uneventful showers just came through here, and now blue skies and sun! Seems like forever lol.

Surprised to see a tornado watch over here. With a temp of 50, socked in with clouds and light rain, clearly the warm front is still to the south. Remains to be seen if this marine airmass will budge. Up to 2.42" for the event. Ditches overflowing and lot of water lying around in low areas.

Been pouring in Easton and looking at radar, at my house too. Tapering off now. I was at 1.68" early this morning. Gotta be well over 2" now. A couple more rounds to go if the mesos are correct.

From Mount Holly AFD early this morning- Strong warm advection/isentropic lift and elevated instability will contribute to several rounds of showers, heavy at times, during the bulk of Wednesday as warm front moves northward aloft. That part is key...surface warm front, by contrast, looks likely to end up pretty stuck across the southern Delmarva through Wednesday. It may creep north slightly, but right now the I-95 corridor and points north still look most likely to stay in the relative cool sector, with highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Meanwhile, south of the front, highs surge into the 60s across southern Delaware and the lower eastern shore of Maryland. And this is what could make things more interesting in terms of severe potential as we get into the afternoon and early evening period as the triple-point low develops just to our southwest and tracks along the stalled front into the Delmarva and eventually far southern NJ.Depending on available instability, this could be a focal point for severe weather thanks to the enhanced shear along the warm front. SPC has placed a slight risk of severe weather across our extreme southernmost zones for Wednesday with the MARGINAL risk for severe weather extending a bit farther north through the remainder of Delmarva and then extending east through southern most NJ. Given the very strong shear, forcing, and "thick" CAPE values near 700 mb the set up could result in elevated supercells. Large hail and damaging winds look to be the biggest threats but we can`t rule out one or two tornadoes over southern Delmarva where there will be more in the way of surface instability.

0.84" today, mostly from the t-storms that moved through this morning. 1.66" total

0.82" from round one.

This is classic elevated convection associated with the stalled boundary, with warm air riding up and over the colder air at the surface(isentropic lift). If you look at the soundings you can see the temp inversion, which indicates the front in the vertical.

The front is draped across the region from NW to SE. I am almost too far north over here. Hell of a storm just to my south right now. Booming thunder.

Thunder and lightning and heavy rain. Temp 48. Welcome to April.

Initially the precip will be from disturbances riding along a west to east stalled boundary. By mid week a coastal low will develop. The result will be multiple rounds of rain and likely 2-3"+ across much of the region. Even the local desert climo areas should do pretty well. Hoping for an underperformer here.

The Os are pretty good.

6.52" for the month. With some shower chances late Saturday and rain in the forecast for Sunday night, pretty good chance of exceeding 7".

Rooting for little to no additional rain here. It looks like the heavier stuff will stay to the east at this point.

Another soaking rain. 0.88" since late afternoon yesterday. Looks like an additional 1/2 "+ today over here. Baltimore looks to be on the western fringe and precip should be moving out mid to late afternoon, so hopefully Os opening day won't be impacted much if at all.

Yes there is always a lot of interest and discussion around here when some sort of accident involving a merchant ship occurs.