CAPE

Not sure about top 10, but a great storm for our current times. Probably top 20.

Picked up 0.15" from the showers that spun in from the southeast. I don't think there was anything in the forecast for here today.

They might go 9-8 instead of 8-9. They need a QB and next years draft class is promising. They needed to tank this year, but Tomlin would never allow that. So they will probably be just good enough to not get one of the better QB prospects lol. Love to see it as a Ravens fan.

How bout dem Os! Back to back for another one run win. Got some mojo going now.

Sitting in the AC, and I am a year round high gravity stout drinker. Or high gravity anything lol. The 120 min IPAs are more 'summery', and are great, but twice the price though- so once in awhile.

Source: Ravens give WR Rashod Bateman 3-year, $36.75M extension https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/45456848/source-ravens-give-wr-rashod-bateman-3-year-3675m-extension I like it.. mostly. Good deal IF he stays healthy, and produces like he did last year(or better). Probably a bargain then.

KBS Double Oaked Bourbon Barrel aged Stout for HH. Never had this variant. Pretty good stuff.

That's not the 3km NAM, although at hour 60(end of its run) it does suggest a glancing blow in the hours just beyond. All other guidance keeps it pretty far to the south.

Os finally found a team they can beat without even looking very impressive. The historically bad Whitesox. Going for the sweep tomorrow!

GFS fantasyland is almost always entertaining, and usually wrong, regardless of the season.

Why do y'all bother to engage this anti-science MAGAt? Futile. These people are unfixable. Ignore and move on.

I bet. My nephew had one square on his asshole when he was about that age lol. These were definitely seeds. I knew something was there because of the itch. Took a magnifying glass to to confirm.

For those who have been jonesing for some summertime heat, it's on the way this week. Favorable upper level ridge position with a surface High in the western Atlantic will bring a taste. Hopefully it doesnt last too long.

Fucking ticks. In all the years I have lived here I never had one actually attach- they have always been big enough that I felt them crawling and got em before they bit. Now twice in 3 weeks I have pulled tiny ones(probably larvae) off my scrotum. Not been in the deep woods, just outside in the yard doing typical garden stuff. My concern was always eradicating mosquito larvae. Never worried much about ticks. Might have to do something this year.

Some pretty good thunder and wind as this line in rolling in. Doesnt look like much rain on radar but maybe a quick downpour.

Could add a little today with scattered showers/storms in the forecast.

5.2" for the month per my station. That's a little more than average for May.

0.82"

SPC expanded the slight risk area northward. Now covers almost all VA and MD east of the mountains.

Looks like some scattered storms may fire late tonight/early AM tomorrow along and east of I-95 from SW to NE. Most guidance depicts this.

Excessive Rainfall Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 333 PM EDT Thu May 29 2025 Day 2 Valid 12Z Fri May 30 2025 - 12Z Sat May 31 2025 ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR PORTIONS OF THE OHIO VALLEY AND MID ATLANTIC... ...20Z Update... Continued increases in the forecast rainfall from the 12Z guidance suite, sufficient instability for storms, ample upper level forcing from a strong shortwave that rapidly turns negatively tilted, and soil sensitivity due to recent heavy rainfall have all worked to increase the concern for flash flooding across portions of the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic Friday and Friday night. Generally, the convection will track from west to east...so the portion of the Slight in Kentucky really focuses on Friday morning, whereas the portion in northern New Jersey is primarily focused on after midnight Friday night. Soil sensitivity to flash flooding is high as soil moisture levels remain well above the normal for this time of year due to rain as recently as yesterday, and not including any shower and isolated thunderstorm activity probable around the DMV region the afternoon and this evening. Further, possible repeating rounds of heavy rain on Friday interacting with the terrain and full rivers should cause onset of flash flooding to occur sooner...closer to the rainfall start time...in these areas, making any potential flooding more hazardous in West Virginia. Further east, urban concerns will increase the potential impacts from flash flooding. The storms will also occur in the afternoon and evening, during the diurnal warmest time of day, which will add more instability for the storms to feed on. Given all of the above, have introduced a higher end Slight from eastern Kentucky to the Baltimore metro. The 12Z HREF suite shows an over 50% chance of exceeding 6-hour FFGs across the DMV. The Slight Risk area was expanded northeast across the Philadelphia Metro and much of northern New Jersey with this update. While the storms will impact this region Friday evening and into the overnight, here too recent heavy rainfall will make flash flooding more common compared to if the soils were dry. By Friday evening a coastal low will be rapidly forming, and so instability will be waning as the precipitation shield evolves into more of a comma shape, with the heaviest rains along the Delaware River on the cold/more stable side of the low. Nevertheless, remnant instability and long duration of rainfall will still cause widely scattered instances of flash flooding.

Check out the HRDPS. Looks like a Derecho lol.

Based on the 6z GFS and 6z HRRR, the 6z NAM may have shit the bed. Clean up by 12z.

Yeah the light rain has added up a bit. Up to 1.42" here.

Per WPC much of the region is marginal for excessive rainfall.