CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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Just catching up now. I'm not a digital snow freak like Ji. These amounts are ridiculous, but fun to laugh at. The ratios here will probably be 6, or 5-1 tops I'm thinking 6-10" is reasonable.
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Eh, only 26" on the GFS.
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Ive been NAM'd? LOL 3 feet
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1.22" total Super nice out there now. Feels like Spring.
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Natty Blend
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lol pretty messy. I have a lot of stuff in there.
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The EPS and CMC ens are very similar with snow amounts across the region. Have the heavier precip just off/along the coast to the NE.
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When I left for work it wasn't doing anything and around a quarter inch fell overnight. Looking at radar its been pouring at my house. Actually training. I'm guessing the warm front is triggering it to some degree.
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It wasn't quite done..
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Drunk PbP should be fun.
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Not sure if this has been posted- probably has but I'm a little drunk and just noticed it. Damn bourbon. King GFS? LOL
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Yeah but this isnt the GFS- Its a blend, and more in touch with reality
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They are a a north of Philly thing. We are losing if we depend on that shit.
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Latest Blend
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Its a great Imperial IPA. Enjoy! I'll be picking up a few of the Limited Release 120s tomorrow. $8.90 a bottle! So fucking good.
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Makes sense since the physics based Euro model just semi-caved to the GFS.
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We don't want to depend on that feature. There will be a narrow area of heavier precip, and more have nots than haves. We want.. fucking need, something close to what the GFS is advertising.
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You are doing fine with the analysis. The improvements have not gone unnoticed.
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That's not all it did though. As I said in my reply to your post earlier, that ball of vorticity that comes from the tail end of that vorticity ribbon(that previously was unique to the GFS) then phases back into the ribbon! IMO that impacts the character of the trough and the strength and proximity of the low to the coast.. Euro is not there quite yet so the next few runs will be very interesting.
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Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
CAPE replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looking at the changes at h5 that the Euro just made- towards the GFS- IMO we should see the Euro trend more to the GFS idea the next few runs. Should be interesting -
Yeah I didn't really mean nobody- more like few That's why I made the other thread.
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Work in progress. Now that it has figured out the key upper level features that the GFS has had for many runs now(that no other model has depicted) it should get better. We shall see.
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Eh, you might have forgotten someone on the great analysis
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I literally identified the differences aloft less than an hour ago, and the Euro has made a BIG step towards the GFS. I might go back to my technical thread now lol.
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Nobody here cares about the reason why though lol.. its all about the goddamn snow maps.
