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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. You really don't understand how NWP works, and how to utilize model guidance as a tool for forecasting. Or maybe you do and just have an agenda. Probably the latter. Either way these posts are super fucking boring and dumb.
  2. Easterly flow has commenced. The warmth of a couple hours ago has been replaced by a flow off the ocean. Temp down to 59 after a high of 72.
  3. The overall h5 pattern could have been a lot worse than this, particularly in a weak Nina, which are among the crappiest winters historically for the MA. Luck plays a role. Good sensible weather outcomes for some and not so good for others in our sub forum this winter. Short and longer term trends wrt the indices play a role, among other things.
  4. 1.24" total Heard peepers when I walked outside this morning.
  5. Soaking rain overnight. 1.18" and still raining.
  6. Notably missing this Spring is the sound of peepers, which usually starts in late Feb. So dry.
  7. Local stations have recorded gusts in the 30s here, but looking at the treetops on my property gusts have to be 40+ just off the surface.
  8. Winds have been 20-25 with gusts of 30 since around noon here. Sun making an appearance now. 70/60 currently. Noticed this area is now in the marginal risk for severe. Nothing earlier. Little warmer/juicier than forecast perhaps.
  9. Warm wind today. Gusting pretty good. 71
  10. MA Spring/early Summer preview today. Feeling those higher dewpoints. Temp is 68. Legit sweating doing light yardwork.
  11. WPC qpf map has a min along/SE of I-95, but still looks like a half inch+. There will be the usual have nots that get less. My wetland is still dry which is crazy, so although I want some rain I would rather not have a deluge.
  12. Yes had an hour or so of sun but back to mostly cloudy now. Temp shot up to upper 50s
  13. Same here. Had some drizzle earlier. Currently 44. Might get to 60?
  14. Now looks like the only day with potential 70s is Sunday- maybe. Mid 60s with more clouds forecast for tomorrow now. Models often underestimate the back door front persistence this time of year. Temps underperformed all week here.
  15. High of 53. Nice once the sun finally broke out. 5 under the forecast high though.
  16. Eh I like March in general. Transitional month. Back and forth. Sometimes we get snow but not lately. In general I prefer March and April to be more on the cool side like Fall(my favorite season). Relentless warm/hot and humid will come soon enough, and typically lasts 5+ months.
  17. Finally the sun is making an appearance. See if it can warm up a bit. Still 50 here.
  18. I remember liking the Feb 10-12 window 8-10 days out, and also something around PD. That storm happened a couple days later and ofc was a close miss to the south. Like Psu I did think there would be a chance or 2 beyond that, but I never saw it as some great window, not with the forecast +AO/NAO and uncertainty in the Pacific.
  19. There was potential, but it didn't work out. Feb 19 was really the one shot and that didn't come together for our area. The epic projections for late Feb to mid March were just a little off lol. Similar to last winter.
  20. Mostly cloudy is the forecast here. Even if it was clear, 2-3am
  21. Temp made it up to 53 with the afternoon sun. It was 47 at noon.
  22. Looks like generally around an inch of rain, maybe a bit more in some spots. Another small dent in the drought.
  23. Yeah it radiates very well here. No UHI anything, just lots of farm fields separated by some wooded areas.
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