CAPE

Looks like your yard is about to get juiced.

Latest 2-day from WPC

Days 1-3 will get it done if today fails!

In the gap in the line lol. Filled in as it moved east. Can't tell you how many times that's happened here over the last month or so.

Excessive Rainfall DiscussionNWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD731 PM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025Day 2Valid 12Z Tue Jul 08 2025 - 12Z Wed Jul 09 2025...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR THE EASTERNMID-ATLANTIC STATES AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND, AS WELL AS PARTS OFTHE SOUTHERN PLAINS......Mid-Atlantic and Northeast...Post-tropical cyclone Chantal will be exiting east of Cape Cod tostart the period as it continues to get caught up in increasingsouthwesterlies downstream of a trough approaching from the GreatLakes. This trough will continue to translate eastward through theday, but will be slow to advect due to downstream Bermuda-typeridging. Between these two features, SW flow will remain prevalentover the area, with 850-500mb winds being nearly unidirectionalfrom the W/SW at 15-20 kts. This will result in a continuedextremely moist environment with PWs likely eclipsing 2" fromeastern VA through southern New England Tuesday afternoon,coincident with a plume of SBCAPE exceeding 2000 J/kg.Into these impressive thermodynamics, a shortwave embedded withinthe mean flow will traverse northeast ahead of a cold front andalong a surface trough, providing additional ascent atop thealready impressive convergence on these boundaries. This suggestsshowers and thunderstorms will become widespread, which isadditionally supported by high-res CAM simulated reflectivity.Storms that develop will move very slowly, and Corfidi vectorscollapsed to just around 5 kts will support backbuilding andtraining echoes along the surface trough and front. With warm clouddepths potentially eclipsing 14,000 ft, this will support efficientwarm-rain processes and rain rates above 2"/hr at times. Wheretraining occurs, this could result in total rainfall in excess of3", with instances of flash flooding possible across much of theI-95 corridor from Richmond, VA to Portland, ME, and a slight riskhas been added for this area.

That's the total including 0.12" that fell yesterday late afternoon.

0.84"

Heavy rain and Thunder here at work in Easton.

84/75 Sultry

Tropical juice and lift.

You can feel the ramp up in the juice tonight here. Very tropical feel. This informal verbiage surely has weirdo ohleary perplexed.

Plenty of juice plus h5 shortwave energy should contribute to some impressive rainfall rates and possible flash flooding tomorrow afternoon/evening.

Long shot for a wildcard especially with mounting injuries. Sanchez now on the IL. They acquired Alex Jackson(who?) from the Yankees. Why not just call up Basallo? There would be no pressure on the kid because the Orioles aren't realistically in contention.

Latest QPF forecast from WPC has 2-4" for the region over the next 5 days.

.03" Dropped the temp 10 degrees. 88/72 before the shower.

Shower moving up from the south on the doorstep. Its weakening but might be enough to wet the ground.

12z HRRR, 3km NAM, and 6z Euro look interesting for eastern parts of the region as the remnant low tracks ENE.

Typical MA summer. At least it doesnt look boring. Nothing worse than brutal heat and humidity with no trigger for storms. Snippet from the latest Mount Holly AFD-

Currently 82 after a high of 84. Was a tad more humid this morning but the dews mixed out. So nice out right now.

Should be even nicer tomorrow.

1.45" total

Dover radar effed up again. I was looking at it this morning when it was pouring here and it had nothing over me- it was depicting reflectivity from sometime earlier. 062 NOUS61 KAKQ 020837 FTMDOX Message Date: Jul 02 2025 08:37:56 KDOX RADAR HAS BEEN PLACED IN STANDBY MODE DUE TO DEGRADED VELOCITY DATA.

The last half hour or so is the most impressive rainfall I have seen here in a month. Up to 1.3" for the event. That's a little more than half the total rainfall for June.