CAPE
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The GFS really accentuates the downsloping 'dryness' for places east of the western highlands. That seems way overdone.
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Fun ass run for a Friday HH. It will all change ofc but a clearly strong signal is there for the last week of the month.
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fuck gotta do kuchera
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Too zoomed in. Cant leave out the S DE jackpot
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Yeah I got it now. That's Chuck's baby btw Until he makes a -PNA post then it becomes N Arlington's
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Can't see precip. effin WB lol that low location looks good tho
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LOL WB is so fucking slow. I'm always behind. I'll shut up.
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Here we go
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Lets see how much energy ejects eastward from the SW. I think that's what did it on the previous run for around the 26-27th
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Shortwave coming in overtop caused it to dampen. Crushed it so to speak.
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Good year round crab house there.. oh fuck.. I'm talkin bout blue crabs! Costas Inn
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18z GFS a bit of a step back, depending on location. A little worse for me, but still close to 2 inches, but better for S DE, damn near 4". I might consider a trip to Rehoboth since I'm off for MLK day.
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You're in on it for Sunday on the AI guidance. Hopefully the op runs keep ticking NW/expanding the precip field the next few cycles.
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Maybe in retrospect a separate thread might have been better- we have 2 camps of folks in here talking past each other lol
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I mentioned this in my earlier post wrt the GFS- it has had this general area situated under that region-also a more impressive jet streak than the Euro.
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And now we have the latest Euro and CMC runs showing some movement NW, aligning more with the general GFS idea of 1-3". CMC especially.
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Cold powder.
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And all the sleet That storm was annoying even as it turned out to be great. Hours of sleet in the middle. Could have been damn near 3 feet here instead of 20" or so. Can't recall the exact total.
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Think small. If I get 2" out of this its the biggest event of winter. WPC had my yard at about 30% as of this morning, and 70% of >= 1".
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Might add a bit of intrigue to HH anyway
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The next few model cycles might be interesting.
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So what you are saying is- both the 12z CMC op and EURO op are now more like the GFS op, with some snow for I-95 and east. Seems like a favorable trend. eta- I should say- the 12z EURO has joined the 12z CMC and now both are more like the GFS
