CAPE

Its on the doorstep.

046 WUUS51 KPHI 260106 SVRPHI DEC001-005-MDC011-035-041-260200- /O.NEW.KPHI.SV.W.0196.250726T0106Z-250726T0200Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 906 PM EDT Fri Jul 25 2025 The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northwestern Sussex County in southern Delaware... Southwestern Kent County in central Delaware... Northeastern Talbot County in eastern Maryland... Central Queen Anne's County in northeastern Maryland... Caroline County in eastern Maryland... * Until 1000 PM EDT. * At 906 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Oakland, or 9 miles southeast of Centerville, moving southeast at 25 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is possible. * Locations impacted include... Centerville, Denton, Centreville, Harrington, Bridgeville, Greensboro, Oakland, Ridgely, Goldsboro, Queen Anne, Smithville, Starr, Jumptown, Griffin, Carville, Hope, Andrewsville, Agner, Greenwood, and Houston.

That outflow boundary that originated with the storms in SE PA and SNJ hours ago is initiating new storms on the upper eastern shore. A nice cell popped up around Chestertown and is heading in this general direction if it doesnt fall apart. With a 20-30% chance I didn't bother covering the mower. Maybe that was a good move lol.

Damn. 91/76 here with 103.4 HI and its incredibly oppressive. Hard to imagine it being worse.

That would be the front associated with the trough digging southeastward from Canada. Storms are likely along the front and there could be some surface low development. Remains to be seen if it's a quick line of scattered storms for our region with a cooler more refreshing airmass pushing in quickly behind it, or if SLP development along the front slows it a bit with a more prolonged period of rainfall. Still 5-6 days out.

91/75 Gross

Ens guidance continues the idea of h5 ridge building out west for early August. For now it looks like we see below avg temps the first few days of the month then probably moderating to around avg. Could be some storms in the Aug 5-7 period if the GFS has the right idea, with some energy digging southward as the western ridge amplifies.

This. I had one of the most incredible tornado dreams last night(these are recurring, where I think I am finally witnessing it, only to wake up and be like, dammit!) I hope that's what its like when a weather weenie passes. Perpetual dreams of witnessing amazing weather events. RIP Mr. Burns.

Limited OT should be brought back, with immediate bans(not from the weather threads) for anyone engaging in insults/personal attacks/doxing. Shouldn't be difficult for mods. Just use common sense. It's pretty obvious when you see it. Grown adults should be able to engage in civil discourse, and if someone triggers them that much, take a deep breath, and don't engage. Simply ignore. Just an opinion.

Drinking this Dragon's Milk Stout probably also contributes to my lack of complaining.

Mostly cloudy here. 78/66 No complaints.

Bx Engine just shared a post in the Banter thread written by Burns' son about his dad.

^Still looks like an h5 ridge develops in the central/western US in the LR, so it is debatable how much heat returns even after the cool shot associated with the digging eastern Canada trough lifts out.

After several dry days, a potential active period returns for Friday through Sunday. Latest AFD from Mount Holly- By Friday, with return flow fully in place ahead of an approaching cold front, temperatures and humidity values will continue to increase as thicknesses increase across the area. Heat Index values are forecast to be high enough for potential Heat Headlines. As a cold front approaches, there could be enough instability and disturbances aloft for showers and thunderstorms to develop later in the day and into the evening hours. This front may stall near the area over the weekend, leading to additional showers and thunderstorms Saturday into Sunday. Also, depending on where the front sets up, areas south of the boundary may keep enough heat and humidity in place for additional Heat Headlines on Saturday. With PW values near 2+ inches, heavy rainfall will become a threat with any showers or thunderstorms. There may also be a threat for strong winds as well with some storms.

High here was 85. Currently 78/62

Forecast highs were mid 80s for the lowlands. Pretty much verified.

Pretty nice outside now. 82/63 Might have a drink on the patio this evening.

I posted this in the Discobs thread, but it really belongs here. Ensemble guidance is still advertising a shift in the longwave pattern with the upper ridge retrograding into the central/western US for the end of the month into August. That should at least give us some drier air if not notably less hot. That pattern could also put our area in a position for impacts from mesoscale convective systems that develop on the periphery of the ridge and drop southeastward.

It was like that here too, but sun broke out in the last 30 mins. Still pretty humid but not awful. 80/66 Dews should lower through the afternoon with a breeze out of the north. This evening should feel fantastic. Tomorrow is going to be about the best weather we get in this area in late July, and Wed should also be very nice.

Ensemble guidance is still advertising a shift in the longwave pattern with the upper ridge retrograding into the central/western US for the end of the month into August. That should at least give us some drier air if not notably less hot. That pattern could also put our area in a position for mesoscale convective systems that develop on the periphery of the ridge and drop southeastward. Probably should have posted this in the other thread but whatever lol.

A few days ago the models had the front clearing the area late Sunday. Its going to be mid to late day, so delayed not denied. Dews will drop this afternoon, and tomorrow will be the nicest day. But yeah it will be short lived as the HP slides southeastward into the western Atlantic. Southerly flow on the backside- we know what that means, esp with the anomalously warm water off the east coast.

It's headed for your yard.

Its fine on COD. It is often broken for one reason or another, but not now. NWS radar is garbage, so if you are using that I am not surprised if it doesn't work right lol

The Orioles have been outscored 28-2 in their last 3 games. Football season can't come fast enough.

0.40" brings the monthly total to 5.5". Sunny now.