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You never disprove the raw data you just say there must be some "kind of data issue" - or hey let's look instead at the COOP data since 2000 ... just moving the goalposts. Sure you can find altered adjusted data or conduct more faulty analysis that says otherwise, but that doesn't negate the findings from the high quality actual raw data.

oof check out how clueless the NAMs were on that midwest MCS lol. 6z run had his thing in Minnesota

I head we will lose on average about 2.5 minutes of daylight every day this month. .

Will be interesting to see if we get showers overspreading the region tonight. The 3km has been pretty consistent with this. It also I think kind of overdoes light precip but it (along with the HRRR) have that slug of precip. off NJ

Bit but The models won't be able to sniff it out until it's right in our backyard. You need to use the Moregarbage model to get ahead of it

Central Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave over the eastern tropical Atlantic continues to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form late this week or over the weekend as the system moves generally west-northwestward to northwestward across the central tropical and subtropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. Forecaster Patel

Lol, I’ve been enjoying Summer with the family, but I’m really looking forward to Winter Storm tracking season!

Euro is hot. Oh boy oh boy oh boy oh boy.

Dam voice over

I played both a million years ago. If I remember correctly you don't want to be off the fairway. Lots of bad lies. Especially if it's wet. Doesn't look like it it's going to be.

Finally getting a soaking rain. 1” and counting

Had a passing shower in the wee hours this morning, was not expecting that. Might be the only rain we see for a while. 70F/DP 66F

Let’s see how the next two waves preform. If they develop and help moisten the mdr its game time. Until then it’s follow the vertical instability to the subtropics.

+6 78 Right around the cut line headed into round 2.

You can avoid that by being insufferably whiny all the time like me. Beats the unpredictability of sudden mood changes.

The ones at Ohare?

The fact people keep posting his tweets here gives him more clicks and folks talking about him . He thanks you

The great cold front of Mid August 2025 looks impressive.

The irony is that he’s telling us about all this cool air over the northeast and that map shows exactly the opposite. I don’t think anyone was disputing a weak cool front over the planes.

If it’s still hot and humid with no end in sight by the time I get back from the beach in 10 days, I am going to be insufferably whiny.

The story of this summer and much of the last decade has been the models underestimating the WAR or SE Ridge beyond 5 days. So this has been a repeating model forecast error. Around August 1st the forecast for August 11-18 had a modest warm up into the 90s. Definately a rebound from the less warm pattern this week. But now much of the guidance brings back 100° potential again. So you can see this big shift in the models in just 5 days of runs. New run August 11-18 Old run

60 degrees for the low this morning, Fishing league yesterday morning 18 boats fished it. 2.35lb one fish,won it. I had .96 lb probably 10th place yesterday. Weeds are really growing in the river, water temperature 79 degrees.

Don, I am thinking December-January and then again in March.

Maybe cuz it's not there? He's in for some trolling next week.

Not going to get better anytime soon. If you missed the last rain it's going to be quite a stretch.