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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
Dark Star replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Disintegrated. Any wreckage either wound up in a nearby marina, or was washed into the Barnegat Bay. What I find unbelievable is that they said that there were not any underwater obstructions after Sandy. My boat, mounted on the trailer, snapped off and settled in a nearby federal wetlands. Sea Tow insurance would not take it, and they said it would be a few thousand to rescue it. Luckily, I declared it lost and the insurance took claim of it. Later, the federal government said I had to move it, but I told them the insurance company now "owns" it. The area, Good Luck Pont in Bayville NJ was a total war zone. I had thought I would never see so much damage in person... -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
psv88 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yea cars are death traps in windstorms. When we had a down burst a few weeks ago I pulled over into a parking lot with no trees. Didn’t want to risk a tree coming down -
Invest 92L--70% Two Day & 70% Seven Day Odds
WxWatcher007 replied to WxWatcher007's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Plenty of westerlies and early hints of FL and SFMR over 34kt. Not enough sampling yet to confirm a closed circulation but it’s probably there. -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Greater variance....same with snowfall. -
After topping 89 at 1pm, temps crashed down to 86 the next hour. Too early in the day for that to happen already.
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
Torch Tiger replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Top 20 is memorable to me, given it's the hottest time of year. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
psv88 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
83/58 now. Beautiful -
84 here with a dew point of 56, feels so much better than yesterday. Low tonight is forecasted to be 61 .
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Exactly. The corrections applied to nClimDiv (USHCN) still aren't fully offsetting the biases and errors.
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
ineedsnow replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Well atleast top 5.. if not meh -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
weatherwiz replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Good call, you sniffed this out several days ago -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
weatherwiz replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
That was at Big Y in Wilbraham, MA! Sorry for late response -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
And interestingly the one street that's lined with sycamore had almost no damage. It's those damn old oaks I guess -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
Stormlover74 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Glad you made out better than we did. They haven't even started cleanup yet. I'm estimating 7 to 10 days before we have power again. Thankfully no damage to my house but many houses had trees crush them and yeah 3 deaths from trees falling on cars -
Invest 92L--70% Two Day & 70% Seven Day Odds
WxWatcher007 replied to WxWatcher007's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Recon descending now -
2025-2026 ENSO
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yeah, it's been a +WPO pattern - Today
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
Torch Tiger replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
memorable = hottest July ever. got it -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
ForestHillWx replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
3 dead in your area; crushed in their cars from tree falls. -
Invest 92L--70% Two Day & 70% Seven Day Odds
GaWx replied to WxWatcher007's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Recon will be in it shortly. They released this 2PM EDT TWO quite early: Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL200 PM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:1. Near the Southeastern United States (AL92):Satellite wind data indicate that the system located about 150 miles off the northeast Florida coast has become better defined today with an area of strong winds located on its east side. Showers and thunderstorms are also persisting near and to the east of the center. A short-lived subtropical or tropical depression could form later today or on Saturday while the system drifts generally north-northwestward. This low is expected to move inland over the southeastern U.S. by early Sunday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently en route, and the data they collect should provide more details on the system's structure. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible across portions of west-central and southwestern Florida through early Saturday, and across coastal sections of the Carolinas beginning later on Saturday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.Forecaster Cangialosi/Beven -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
HoarfrostHubb replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
512high replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
73F/ my thoughts are this is a top 10 day........Happy 4th everyone, be safe and enjoy! -
We really need an almost perfect setup to beat that 2012 record. The cool June and continued strong +AO and cool isn't going to cut it regardless of the May melt pond data IMO.
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
winterwx21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Hey Stormlover! I'm glad you're ok. I lost power a few seconds after my last response to you. The power just came back on now -- over 18 hours of no power here. By far the longest power outage I've ever experienced. We didn't even lose power for long here during Sandy. I agree with you -- this was the worst storm I've ever seen. Wind gusts were easily over 70mph here. Projectiles flying through the air like I've never seen before and the biggest amount of trees down that I've ever seen. Couldn't cook dinner last night with the power out, so we decided to go to Longhorn Steakhouse (they didn't lose power there). Usually it takes 8 or 9 minutes to get there, but it took over a half hour because so many roads were closed. Was starting to think I couldn't get there but I found a way. It was amazing driving around and seeing the huge amount of damage. Definitely the worst t-storm damage ever since I've lived here. Since the power was out so long, I decided to cancel our 4th of July cookout today. Not enough time to get things ready now. A shame because of the perfect weather, but we're gonna have the cookout tomorrow and Sunday instead. I will still light off some fireworks tonight though. -
I am frackin jealous. What's that bright object in the sky?