All Activity

The first of last years December cutters (power cutter iirc) was very memorable and wild. Hoping for that

Historic warmth in a Nina December, it’s a climate emergency

THV 46, LNS 52 Somerset with the highest - 63 CTP 59

This torch is very impressive and will result in many places in south where the anomalies have been ip to -8 so far to average near normal. The only place that will remain relatively average through end of the month is the northeast. Rest of US is in a big torch and the worst part is it doesn’t show signs of changing either. It will be impossible, mark my words, impossible, to get snow in this area with such warmth across CONUS. Any storm that comes into the west coast will be too warm like this past one, with snow confined to the far northern tier. And side from an occasional rain storm, most of the country will remain dry. Even reminiscent of Winter 2020 in that respect, where no one outside of the western 1/4th of country had much snow. And this season, even they don’t have any snow. This is also similar to mid December 2023 through early January 2024, where there was a coast to coast torch. One week into January 2024, that all changes though. However, this appears to be a very persistent pattern that will last into the forseeable future.

Maybe we lose power at school tomorrow morning…lol…we can only hope.

Typical day for kdxken

Lol…Kevin having an orgasm right now.

8 to 2 pm

What time are we thinking for the worst winds tomorrow?

All of the new AI NOAA global model products are using Graphcast. Tropical Tidbits is displaying the deterministic GFS, called the AIGFS. There is also an AIGEFS, but it's not yet displayed here. The HGEFS is the hybrid GEFS, which combines the 31 members of the "regular" GEFS with the 31 members of the AIGEFS. Note that the AIGEFS has been shown to be somewhat underdispersive, so treat high probabilities with caution. https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-deploys-new-generation-of-ai-driven-global-weather-models

My Facebook memories keep reminding me of snow ahead of my wedding.

When I'm wrong I'll admit it. I was not expecting this 10-14 days ago for Christmas week. Was expecting a relaxation of the cold but nothing like this nearly coast to coast torch. Euro EPS did well sniffing it out. GFS was was not even close to reality. I was expecting a relaxation of the cold Christmas week but then a return to significantly colder between Christmas and New Year's. Not happening.

Yeah if this was a meh event you’d be heavily CAD and so would the valley . The signs are there

Snowpack held strong until today. Now it’s all washing away with the rain

Us tomorrow? https://x.com/MyWeatherViewX/status/2001686271148572954?s=20

I still have snow from early Dec melting in my rain gauge.

The RFW now has a PDS attached to it. I don’t know if that has ever been done around here.

Okay - let's have some fun. I'll go 48 at THV, 51 at MDT and 55 at LNS.

HIghs: Max for the month (so far) TEB: 54 New Brnswck: 53 EWR: 51 LGA: 51 TTN: 51 JFK: 50 ISP: 50 NYC: 49

Negativity about this winter seems to be rising. There seems to be a growing focus on the time snow does not fall. I choose to focus on the positive. I savor every snowfall, even the small ones. Sunday's snowfall provided some scenes that can be used for some of the custom Holiday e-cards will share with colleagues at work. One example:

horrid decision making. that makes all too much sense.

His scale…”flying no reindeer” what does that mean? Lol.

Here’s a good sign . Dendy is not CAD. He’s been rising . It’s coming