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A tale of two nations

18z suite commentary...I will just update this post. 18z GFS: At 162, it looks like it is about to unload some cold air into the Lower 48. The trough in the PNW is less, and the BN heights over northern Canada look to be rotating southward.

Road crews were working today anyway. If you wait until tomorrow, you're paying overtime.

Getting RRFS’d doesn’t have as good a ring as getting NAM’d.

Front blasted through. Winds howling, snapped this photo at work right before all the snow was blown off the trees.

"GFS, your failure is complete." Spoken in the voice of Darth Vader. As an aside, the system told me I couldn't post a GIF showing these 3 images as it was too large, but I was able to paste the 3 images in separately. Seems a bit odd.

Aside from the 18z HRRR and 12km NAM, all models in the evening suite have either held serve or gotten a little more amplified. Also, 21z RAP now gets 2” nearly to Scranton while the I-95 corridor sees 4-6”. Wonder what this means for the 0z runs…will we see a more robust system?

18z GFS obliterates Kamu

I think I heard that in an Elvis song

and I just looked at the ICON and it says YEP also,,,,,,,,ps I literally just looked th these 4 models for the first time in days,,,,,,thoughts for Saturday into Sunday ?

Trouble? You’ve come to the right place. .

Same in AA Co. not sure why.

Canadian says hi also ,,,,,,

While we are at it = GFS also

I'm not looking to start any trouble but it's less than 48 hours away and the Euro is still showing some snow for the area ? Just sayin

Another bump like that on the gfs at 00z and someone could get a good event

Yeah I'm slightly concerned--in part because in ninas NS waves favor E/NE of here more, it seems...so if we saw a slow bleed that way I would not be shocked. But hopefully not

Even away from the mountains it’s been a pretty snowy period. Not necessarily in terms of total accumulation but just a constant light snow. I think I’ve got 5”-6” this week.

This is probably a little bit over done, but wow. The 18z GFS puts down 2-3" on Sunday for TRI and the foothills. I would not be surprised to see more areas which see at least some snow in the air - maybe not even seen on radar.

Pretty clear trend for 4+ amounts to occur from NE MD to N DE into SNJ, maybe as far north as Philly.

What ratio should I expect? On .00 QPF

Same with AA county .

Latest blend. The 4" over my yard is from some of the CAMs, like the FV3. Not buying that. All other guidance indicates 2-3.

These are the lifetime experiences and memories we seek

Is this ant different from other clippers? Are we just lucky in the positioning?