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This actually got me thinking a bit, I was reading an interesting article recently talking about how the Gulf Stream helps keep Europe warm and highlighting concerns about a weakening Gulf Stream. Conversely, I assume that if the Gulf Stream weakened significantly and ocean temperature were not made hotter as a result of other climatological changes, that this would actually reduce the number of very powerful storms hitting North America? Is the logic sound here? .

Going to be a pretty one - enjoy. I will if UT wins, if not it'll suck ha

Besides the south shore blizzard, what memorable storms? mild winters, heat and drought have been headlines.

This is a pretty incredible story. The wx out west is nothing to play with. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/08/27/weather/lake-tahoe-storm.html?unlocked_article_code=1.hk8.AL5L.IIiQurcDmo5X&smid=url-share

no bias at all with that guy.

Happy long Labor Day weekend all. Chat next week.

Where's the love button....... Don't answer that

Markymark trying to take the last remaining scraps of Scoot’s degree away from him

Global Warming.

Forecast to be a terrible day of rain and cold temps (16C/61F), it just rained in the morning then the sun started coming out around noon slowly. Blew right past peg high and flirts with 21C/70F! Pavement even dried up.

Clouds in the way today

dry conditions will aid higher temps

Through yesterday, we are now at .4 above average for the month around here. Tomorrow will be well below average and the lows around here for sure will be below average the rest of the month. The highs might be too but Sunday might be close. I think we’re going to end the month slightly below average with the low temperatures leading the way which has become quite unusual in recent times.

It sure looks like our Fall weather will continue into mid September. The models are suggesting multiple potentially strong cold fronts pushing in with the next reinforcing shot arriving later next week. I believe it is safe to say summer is over as the daylight gets shorter!

Well reviewed. I can’t quibble. Main thing for favorable decent event is a southern short wave separation from northern Jet, eventually shoving northeast. That option is still there if it’s weak then not so good for rain. WPC starting to show rainfall D7 and CPC with new 6-10 D outlooks etc around 3-4p

I can't remember the last time I had my windows open for four or five days in a row in August in the mid Atlantic... ever. The last time was probably when I lived in NW NJ in the 1990s (where a typical summer day would be like this and I lived largely without A/C).

We're going to get a lot of snow soon. Maybe it'll be this winter. Maybe it'll be the next. I don't know how we're going to get it. I don't know when we're going to get it. But I'm sure of two things--we're going to get hammered sometime soon. And we're going to love it.

Walt (or others) - would be interested in your take on 9/6 in the SNJ area adjacent to Philly, as our son is getting married there that day and hoping to do an outdoor ceremony (it's at a working farm) followed by an "upscale barn" reception. Not too worried about rain, as there is an enclosed space next to the barn if it rains, but would love it to not be hot and humid. Right now the 6-10 day and 8-14 day CPC forecasts look like normal to maybe a bit below normal in temps, but normal to above normal in precip. Obviously, those aren't predictions for a specific day, but I am happy to see no major heatwaves on the horizon and the last few deterministic model runs (GFS/Euor/CMC at least) show some significant rainfall on 9/4-5 clearing out for 9/6 with seasonable or below temps, but 9 days out we all know that that timing can change, but all things being equal, I'll take it for now. TIA.

made a poll

Oh great! RIP October lol. I can almost see the heat dome building from here. It's so beyond nice outside that it's ridiculous. My cannabis plants look like they are flowing in a controlled environment. Normally they are fighting rain and humidity. This weather is also great for my business. I hope it holds for another 4 weeks.

National low was 31 near Davis, WV........Bradford hit 35. Damn.

One of mine has bad blight at the base. I need to mudpack it or cut it down. I posted some pics in this thread. Have you had flowers yet?

I'm not so sure I'd be looking at solar at this point. True, there's been a big jump in activity the last day or 2, but that's after a big drop. The overall trend is down looking at everything at the link below. Plus, it's too early. If we're rolling ahead hot and heavy come November, imho, then we take a 2nd look at possible curveballs to the forecast. https://solen.info/solar/index.html

I would prefer to run it back with a more neutral WPO.