All Activity

Glad I went to S NJ beaches last week-this week is not nice there with the stalled front and windy conditions

We added a granddaughter to the clan this morning!

Remembered this post and made me find this. Learned something new outta this. Worms are not good for our native forests. Great YT channel if you’re into geeking out on our ecosystem.

62/50. Pretty chilly for Aug stds.

unlikely to see that much but it does hint that someone may see some excessive rains

Stop killing my insects

12z NAM has a lighter more north version:

Oh man! Go get your certificate. Good thing you caught it early.

I'm sure that's the crazy HRRR making an error. Some areas will get heavy rain but I don't think anyone is getting a foot of rain out of this lol.

The GFS showing a Sandy-like storm at the end of the month:

I hope we get a "beach day" or two Fri/Sat. We'll have 4 kids under 12 so no one is going to be going in the water much past their knees, if that.

There's the pro version and weenie version right there! Lol

Assuming it is, they're never exactly the same and small variations can make a big difference with the final results.

Yeah, that’ll teach those fukkers to mess with you. Welcome to the new norm. Diseases coming at you in every direction 24/7 365 days a year. Can’t escape it.

Even if 22-23 is a good analog winter, that’s only one analog, which has little statistical weight on its own.

We'll remeber the weenie back broken calls when it's 65 on 2/19. Will happily declare back broken then.

Sections of rural Lee and Dekalb counties had 7"+ totals. Drop that in the metro and that's a huge problem.

I'd like to see less than 3/4ths of the mid latitude continent actually below 90F before I'd declare summer's "back broken" - whatever that purely subjective expression really means.. We had a cool week back in July, too - just bear that in mind.

And euro has the band it just moved it south about 50 miles

HRRR a bit out of range but has big rains in Central NJ

Yeah a nice swath from within NJ across Long Island. Maybe even potential for a brief tornado across southern NJ and some waterspouts off the coast.

Bit of false fall this week Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

How much will the upwelling from Erin inhibit this invest along with the other disturbance out in the Atlantic.

Looks like there has been upwelling from Erin. How much will this impact this disturbance and the other one out in the Atlantic.

yeah, things are really dry despite some localized flooding last week. I think we are under half an inch this month here and the Pomperaug river is really low right now, lowest I have see it in quite some time. Trees locally have browning leaves, with the chilly morning it almost looked and felt like late September/early October