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2026-2027 El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That is one funky looking standout of blue. Jokes aside, I know you know it, but remember its all relative. The coldest winter ever recorded in Anniston, AL is warmer than the warmest winter ever recorded here. I feel like when we are so far out from the next winter, its easy to focus too much on temps. -
We aren't going to stay dry forever. This notion that we are the desert SW all of a sudden is hilarious.
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Nice day with cumulus
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Maybe I'm squinting at it too hard but it looks like the passage of the evening QLCS is bumping earlier instead of later, which I'd love to see it with even half a lux of sunlight left. Also: .UPDATE... Issued at 1015 AM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026 There is a trailing boundary extending south from ongoing convection across the Minneapolis area. This boundary may be an initial source for forcing as it spreads towards northern Illinois in the mid afternoon time frame. The airmass is still stable per the extensive area of billow clouds across Iowa, however we have noted a significant uptick in the dewpoints out ahead of this feature. Instability progs would suggest by the time this boundary arrives northern Illinois should destabilize, and thus there at least some concerns for a leading round of convection, which could be in the form of supercells with an all hazard threat. Some questions still exists as to whether this will just graze the local area or continue to push closer to the Chicago metro area. There is a shortwave across Missouri that also slide through the area ahead of the cold front which could be a mechanism to keep convection farther east, so this will be a mesoanalysis focus in the coming hours. Limiting factors for this first round convection having a larger footprint would be that the forcing is a bit more subtle, and we still have a fairly deep dry layer ahead of this boundary. Regardless of this, low level flow will reintensify ahead of the cold front which should help to keep instability up into the evening hours, where a damaging wind threat would be the highest concern, along with a QLCS tornado threat. Thoughts from the morning AFD still tell the story quite well. KMD
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I stand by it that low 60s dews in April is humid. Imperial (Metric) Date Time (edt) Wind (mph) Vis. (mi.) Weather Sky Cond. Temperature (ºF) Relative Humidity Wind Chill (°F) Heat Index (°F) Pressure Precipitation (in) Air Dwpt 6 hour altimeter (in) sea level (mb) 1 hr 3 hr 6 hr Max. Min. 17 11:53 N 6 10.00 Fair CLR 75.9 57 52% 78 29.84 1010.5 17 10:53 S 3 10.00 Mostly Cloudy BKN035 73.9 60.1 62% 29.84 1010.5 17 09:53 Calm 10.00 Mostly Cloudy SCT042 BKN060 72 61 68% 29.85 1010.6 17 08:53 Calm 10.00 A Few Clouds FEW043 70 61 73% 29.84 1010.3 17 07:53 N 3 10.00 Mostly Cloudy BKN110 66 61 66 57 84% 29.83 1010.0
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It's humid, just go with it.
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the pollen ratios are 100:1
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yes, as of 12. the 11 am reading was 61
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frg dewpoint is 57 according to nws.
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I'll believe that when I see it. Fingers crossed though
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yea we had windows open so I was monitoring so wind-driven rain wouldn’t come in. Wasn’t an issue lol -
I'd also say it depends on the time of year. Low 60 DPs in April is pretty muggy. Mid-summer, it's refreshing.
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Yea i mean FRG is 61, the closest airport. Wind just shifted north about 15 min ago. Also, Gemini doesn't lie A dew point of 60°F–65°F (16°C–18°C) is typically when air begins to feel "sticky" or humid. When dew points reach 65°F–70°F ( – ), it becomes noticeably muggy and oppressive, while values above 70°F ( ) feel uncomfortable and very humid to most people. National Weather Service (.gov) +2
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Just took the pup out for a walk and I wouldn't say it's terrible out. I'll take today over the 49* and sheet drizzle you can get this time of the year.
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65+ is humid IMO. My DP is 53 in Muttontown/62 in Syosset (always high DP) and winds are Northerly component all over the place.
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Td of 62 here and 61 at FRG. That's humid...
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End of April and early May looks like ass
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Yeah it'll be very warm actually
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
TheDreamTraveler replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
We got a little rain here but not much. Was mainly just a ton of wind. The storm was just drying up as it drove into the area around Harrisburg -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
TheDreamTraveler replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Already feels so much better today than it did the past 3 days. What a difference -
Some showers popping up
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NNE wind
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King James started following 4/17-4/18 Severe Storms Threat
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“Best in Maine” FTW
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76 & not humid
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75 and humid.
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