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No moderate risk on the day 2 so I’ll probably be wrong. But I still see high risk potential in the Springfield area tomorrow. I’m willing to take the weenie penalty if I’m wrong but at the very least there should be a moderate there. I don’t know I’m just some fucking guy.

Low of 41 with .54” of rain.

.50 rain from the event, was expecting more.

Man that’s brutal . Maybe late May?

This weather sucks azz

Not close. Forsythia just bloomed though.

Sunny and 65-70 this afternoon abc Monday/ Tuesday . Couple of great fays coming

Have you leafed out yet?

Fri 4/24 0.47” Sat 4/25 0.39” April, 2026 thru 4/25: 1.62”

0.81 inches of rain. Some drizzle ongoing.

42 degrees this morning. .52” of rain, about half of what they was calling for.

Ummm... wasn't it susposed to rain lol. I got a few sprinkles that didn't even wet the driveway. I saw model runs for up to an inch lol

It mostly comes down to the warmest high temperatures staying closer to the interior rather than the coast. So even though Long Island is still having warmer highs than normal for this time of year, It’s around 10° cooler than the Philly to interior NJ corridor. Very strong onshore flow influence with the SSTs still cooler during the spring.

Jesus I’m coming back to hell.

We finally have a NESIS map and ranking for this major storm. #5 all time on NESIS https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-25-26-2026

Finally! I knew it would likely be a 3, not surprised its actually a 4. That Dec 2022 is strange on that list but if you look at RSI for Northeast it's only a 1 and Mar 1960 is only a 3. https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/maps/rsi/ So weird it took so long and they got the Feb blizzard out in just a couple days. https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/rsi/nesis No surprise its a bit conservative, especially in MA where there was a large area of 20+ from ORH to BOS. Here's one of the maps i did on top of the regular ones with NESIS color scheme and ranges. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-25-26-2026

Sure….we trolled with those images, but the dry models failed too. Anyway…looks decent the next couple of days.

0.33” overnight and 1.63” for April. I think we all need the midweek system to work out.

Well the point was the NAM soaker with 1”+ that folks posted and believed was never am option

Congrats on your 0.25” of steady “sprinkles” all night. Not sure why you were so afraid of it.

Finished with .77" yesterday. None since midnight.

Some people in Maine might need a boat.. Icon was similar yesterday

Looks like the morning convection absolutely tosses the environment two HRRR runs in a row.

Kind of a funny anecdote. I was doing yard work at my parents house and their cat Winston was outside too. A bolt from the blue hit somewhere close within 100 yards and that cat almost ran me down getting in the house through the cat door.

Best bet for the northern IL play to work out is for the morning convection to blast through quickly/faster than current model forecasts, and then the rapidly overspreading mid-level lapse rate plume could recharge that area pretty quickly by mid-afternoon. No question there's gonna be a large amount of morning convection, but if we can get it to blast out of the area by midday there may be enough time to recharge.