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Wow. Nice storm gorgeous out, can’t wait for sunrise

Magnolia Delaware long range has snow in the forecast for 28th.

Next weekend. GEFS is a work in progress.

Better than the 1050H, while it will take days for models to home in, it will be interesting to see if that shows back up or if the models are over doing it.

I will go with 12 hours before the storm.

AI guidance im told have good verification scores at this range. This is right now at day 6 considered their wheelhouse. I am still concerned about suppression in this pattern but having some reliable guidance continue to move North makes me feel a little bit better. I will say im my experience, 90% or more of the time, these high pressures or extreme cold tend to be overdone and things in general come North as we approach game time. This may be the 1 out of the 10 times though...so Im playing it cautious wrt my expectations.

WB 6Z EURO AI upcoming weekend; week from Th.; Total run!!!!!

31 with heavy frost on the car and grass here in Palm Coast FL.

That would be devastating, most of the precip falls between 21-26 degrees. Pull for sleet if that's the case.

What the!?!

Euro AI brings in another Winter Storm mid next week.

Euro ai 6z is a weenie run. Smokes us this coming weekend then another hammer a few days later.

6z Euro AI is just to far north for snow on most of this board. Plenty of ice though taken literally

I think at this point we still put 100% stock in ensembles and EPS and GEFS is keeping everything south. I'd like to see individual members if anyone has them.

In your experience and with the AI scores do you expect the GFS to follow them? I actually keep meaning to tag you because you did a great job mentioning possible suppression a few days ago

6z GEFS, 6hr precip. This gives you a good idea of precip location and movement.

This post stuck with me considering the AIs are being so consistent

Explains the fresh dab and hoth aura out there this morning

Ensembles are North and the AI models are way North. AIFS is a massive hit here and the AIGFS is a crippling ice storm respectively:

Just measured 5.5"

Love to see a snow map for that. Looks juiced up!!!

Has a second major snow mid next week. What a weenie run.

6z GEFS temps through out the heart of the storm.

With a 1040mb High to the north as it starts.. close to blizzard

6z GFSAI has a big hit