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Sun angle doing Sun angle stuff. Snow on the cars outside my work window has mostly melted after the heaviest snow passed.

I think most people assume the normals are simply smoothed averages, but they actually use statistical techniques like pairwise homogenization that are supposed to correct for biases, but unfortunately can introduce biases if bad data is being incorporated at the time the normals are being calculated.

HOLY SHIT MY DAD JUST TEXTED ME THAT IT WAS SNOWING HARD I'M SAVED HALELUJAH

how much snow do you got on the ground Randy?

It's mostly an overrunning type scenario.. so don't look for coastal machinery per se.

My son is at outdoor baseball tryouts right now lol

Going to hike Seneca state park

The far north of the city got it pretty good.

Looks like models bumping up qpf late in the game for tues night.

he called the event a disaster and a non event because of one run of the HRRR despite all the other models beefing up the snow

time 2 torch

Some pretty big fatties up here. But its amazing how the city seems to always find a way to get shafted. Nice snow to the north and now the south of us is pretty damn beefed up.

I'm depressed reading Dr. Arlington's posts. I'm cooked

Impressive how sharp that northern edge of precipitation is. It's absolutely hugging Mason-Dixon Line like a life raft.

That's gotta chance at being a legit moderate impact winter storm if this sets up like this (GFS) on Friday

Yeah - this was well modeled as far as that dynamic band went. Was gonna be a pretty decent screw job just south of it and... oh well. Stuff to the south looks much beefier than modeled though. Just need it to climb. Not sure it will.

Shorts weather starting Friday for quite a few days in a row.

What is the latest on the mixed bag tomorrow morning? Should i be looking at the hrrr model? Still looking like freezing rain that will impact am commute? Ending around 8am and changing to rain? .

From flurries to moderate snow in a flash. Wow!

Sorry a little old, I just wanted to point out that this is only related to the computation of the "normals" from the two sites. Toledo actually averaged 0.3°F cooler than Fort Wayne for the 1991-2020 timeframe. The normals in Toledo add about 1.5°F or so to this actual mean. Not sure if NOAA/NWS was piloting some sort of new calculation of normals that would incorporate a warming climate or what the case may be. My alternative guess would be Toledo was running a little hot beginning around July 2019 and continuing through the end of 2020 - looks like a sensor error, as it suddenly started running about 1.5F warmer than Fort Wayne. That's no longer the case, but whatever algorithm they use to create the normals may have interpreted that as a real step change up and added into the calculated normals. Which is annoying now that the temperature sensor is long since running normal again, as it has led to more negative anomalies than most surrounding sites [as in the examples you post above]. Obviously, not related to rural siting as Toledo Express is in a very rural location well outside the city.

I missed it. Recap? .

Finally broke the dry air. Domino sugar snow accumulating to nonpaved surfaces. Temp down to 29°!

Bay bridge visibility .5 miles Heavy snow

super embarrassing meltdown this morning by Will. A retired adult