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Tiny downpour dropped 0.07" here.
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12 UKMET: ex-Dolly becomes a TD right before it moves NW into FL NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 26.5N 78.7W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 04.09.2026 108 27.5N 79.5W 1008 29 1200UTC 04.09.2026 120 29.2N 81.3W 1008 31 0000UTC 05.09.2026 132 30.8N 83.2W 1008 24 1200UTC 05.09.2026 144 32.0N 85.4W 1009 19 0000UTC 06.09.2026 156 32.8N 87.3W 1008 18 1200UTC 06.09.2026 168 33.1N 87.9W 1008 20
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Ineedsnow asleep at the wheel. Disappointing.
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But lake effect snow never makes it over the Alleghenies.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yes, I understand. But I found it interesting because Enso 4 anomalies and SST are both cooling, Enso 3 and 3.4 anomalies and SST are both warming, while 4 temps are cooling while anomalies are warming. -
That month was really sunny as we'll I think. Here is a chart of my solar powering my heat pumps and entire house and sending power out to the grid. I think it was on the same day as the other picture I just posted. My solar inverter is rated for 5kw and was actually clipping/reducing power to the 5kw limit.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I expected that and explicitly predicted that your index would neutralize when I did my polar post in latter July. -
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I think the last legit subzero cold shot here was back in Feb 23. I think it dropped to -5 here. I have been using heat pumps since 2016 and went out and took this infrared picture of my heat pump still pulling heat out of the air at -5 with a -20.5 discharge temperature. All the red on my foundation and ground is heat leaking out of my house.
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Where's Lake Ontario? Is that in Canada? Lol
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Hopefully a big ole heat dome sits over the lakes getting LAKE ONTARIO water nice and warm. I want that thing putting out dangerously intense snow bands by Dec 1 right over Barnes Corner. I've never rooted for a warm fall in my life until now lol
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We'll hit 80s into November, and wager this is the year we hit 80 in December.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
moneypitmike replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
You know not of what you speak.I get more snow than ORH and have better retention. . -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
EasternLI replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yeah this pesky ridge east of Japan still being pesky. Not really any signs yet of it going away for the foreseeable future as of now. Interestingly, that seems to be a hallmark of a negative PDO during Sept. Meanwhile, the el nino during Sept would have you believe it should have some resistance or begin to fade away. That's a curious feature. Will be interesting to continue watching that. Want that to go away so we can get a recurving typhoon or two. - Today
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https://x.com/TylerSebreezy/status/2094060893793300908 Tyler Sebree @TylerSebreezy 1h The latest NSSL machine-learning severe probabilities highlight the northwest flow pattern from the Midwest to the Great Lakes to the Mid-Atlantic this week. There will be some severe weather potential Monday through Thursday or Friday for these areas.
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Monday, August 31 - Wednesday, September 2, 2026 Convective Episodes
Torch Tiger replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
once we accepted there would be little rain and no storms, it's not too bad. Hopefully SW areas get rocked Tuesday -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Terpeast replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I’ve been thinking given how east based this super nino is so far, how will the marine heat wave off japan influence or interfere with the aleutian/GOA low? will upstream N Pac ridging further amplify the GOA low, pushing it further east and flooding the conus with mild air and cutting off cold air for everyone. Or might it destructively interfere with the aleutian/goa low, weakening it relative to what its strength should be with this nino’s strength - possibly pulling it west. Maybe both at different points in this winter? -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
dendrite replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
At least they had Lake Ontario then -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
dendrite replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Lots of witches back then…can’t trust the data. -
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crownweather started following Invest 97L--30% Development Odds
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