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  2. bluewave
    This has been our pattern since March. Ridge out West builds east from time to time. With the warm ups being stronger than the cool downs which followed.
  3. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  4. WxWatcher007
    Are there temp and snowfall maps for 82-83/97-98? Well, I know the temp maps are out there.
  5. GaWx
    The just released WCS daily PDO for yesterday was up to -0.58! They haven’t been this high since way back in late June. It has risen ~1.07 over just the last 10 days. It had dipped to as low as -2.19 on Aug 1st. In case anyone is wondering, it hasn’t been red since it went barely positive on ~6 dates between 3/31/25 and 4/19/25 (highest was ~+0.08 on 4/5/25). One can also see it barely missed going red on 3/1/26. But unlike then and Mar-Apr of ‘25, there’s obviously now a supportive for a higher PDO full fledged very strong Nino
  6. #NoPoles
    July giving you the FU finger
  7. SnowGoose69
    The only thing I am sure of is it will probably act much closer to 82-83/97-98 than it will 15-16 and 23-24, those last 2 just had numerous oddities that more resembled La Ninas, there is probably no chance that is happening this time, especially since the last 2 winters showed signs of moving away from that pattern we had been seeing for the previous 5-6 winters.
  8. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  9. GaWx
    I got ~0.6” 9-10AM from a nice batch of convection moving NNE over almost the entire SAV area.
  10. KakashiHatake2000
    SPC has a green check mark day 1 marginal risk out today just for 5% damaging winds stalled frontal boundary shenanigans .
  11. JerseyWx
    Not even fall yet, and 2021 was pretty warm so we'll see.
  12. klw
  13. qg_omega
    Warmest fall on record looks likely
  14. Today
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    1973 is the one I don't like, but I don't expect the strongly +AO that that season had...even NAO maybe more favorable. Biggest issue here maybe the ridge suppressing storms at times.
  16. GaWx
    I’d love this combination for the SE US!
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks to be slightly less MC influence than 2016.
  18. michsnowfreak
    A +1.5C (+2.7F) winter in Detroit is a DJF temp of 31.1F. A -1.0C (-1.8F) winter in Houston is a DJF temp of 53.4F. I better pack my cowboy boots and hat now
  19. SnowGoose69
    I expect some 2019 records get broken in a few places. Fortunately looks like it’ll retrograde back west soon after so I don’t see persistence of the heat as much as that year
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Line up well:
  21. michsnowfreak
    I know youre likely exaggerating, but I have friends in the UK and I can guarantee Chicago will have a colder/snowier winter than London.
  22. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    1958, 1987 and 1973 look like best matches to me.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
  25. Winter Wizard
    Record warmth now covers most of the Gulf. northern Caribbean Sea, and portions of the Atlantic. Wouldn't take much for a spin-up to occur in a prime spot with the right steering flow to put parts of the US in danger over the coming weeks. I do worry that the narrative of "record low" activity (which is true) is going to cause people to let their guards down. @GaWxshowed proof of that. Additionally, if this combo does not occur in 2026, then that becomes extra concerning for 2027, especially if there is a flip back to a cool ENSO state.
  26. michsnowfreak
    November 19th
  27. NorthHillsWx
    0.01” here for September, hopefully this weekend produces
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