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  2. The GFS has pulled one off . Absolutely awesome . You knew at 18z yesterday when the Euro suite came 300 miles NW
  3. Gfs is 40-60mph winds for the coast for hours
  4. was just looking it over. SLP also came a bit W of 6z.
  5. That's turning into a hyper storm in that depiction no question. CCB cosmic jet heh.
  6. Yeah, and at least we have the temps going for us as we're well NW of the cities/fall line. Modeled radar shows heavy precip and that could be enough to get accumulating snow during the day time if the GFS is right.
  7. GFS coup is like watching a dog win an olympic gold medal
  8. I saw. Oh well. It is what it is. We’ll see another 15” storm in 25 years.
  9. The reality is that models will start to reduce totals and consolidate more, probably north of us. For a fun event we need to see a 0z or 6z Nam nuke. Surface temperatures are marginal at best and soil temps are bad. Need that 2+ inch an hour rates to dump a nice wet concrete base, then build on top that when rates decrease. Expectations are white rain for now.
  10. That's kind of what I'm seeing. So long as the rest of the 12z suite doesn't look hateful, I think some people might need watches later this aftn.
  11. Three day total here = .41". Snow depth is dwindling. With about 85% coverage I've got an average depth of 4". South facing lawns and slopes showing good amount of bare ground.
  12. It seems like southcentral Jersey is going to be the place to be for this bad boy. I have a friend who lives in Hammonton, NJ and feel like that could be ground zero. A general 4-6" for our forum would be a nice event with some boom potential for those of us in eastern areas like Lancaster.
  13. If you run the last four back it's hard not to see a slight NE trend in the best totals but still gotta hope we're just gonna meet in the middle to an outcome that is about half of this
  14. What’s the start time for all of the heavy stuff? This more an evening/overnight thing?
  15. This is the best kind of snow, if it happens, as every branch of every tree will be white.
  16. This run occludes about 6 hours later so the deformation banding is able to get further North and West. So just about everyone here would be looking at 12-18" with locally up to 30" possible under the heaviest banding, most likely Suffolk County.
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