All Activity

You and I switched over to snow around 8:30 and it’s been steady since then. That doesn’t really match up with saying primarily sleet south of I-44.

Which models sniffed this storm out first? I think it might have been UKIE

Absolutely! I will call this a trace. Maybe even 0.1 inch now! Just got back from a Jebwalk. 18 degrees with a NE wind and diamond dust in the face is fierce. Sleet began to pick back up as I returned to the house. It is kind of mesmerizing to just stand and listen to it. Unlike snow, which tends to fall so silently and puts a strange quiet over everything, sleet makes noise. You can hear when it increases in intensity and when it slacks back off. Winter weather is as fascinating as it is confounding to predict.

I'm allergic to fun.

It has 12+ for northern NYC and the extreme north shore of LI. It's probably the best case scenario.

RGEM is 10-14” for the island, west to east. Let’s go!

0z RGEM still looking good for the LSV

*free

I mean it's the GFS...

For sure…had a nice walk last night when it was -10. Even with only 1” or so of snow cover, it’s awesome to feel the quiet of the cold, and the squeaky snow underfoot.

Nothing yet in Georgetown

Freezing mist (occasional drizzle) in Belmont NC. Temp is 21.7. Glaze on cars and deck. This will be interesting...

Can see on radar snow dotted around me. Nothing to report here as of yet.

Wow juicy. Has all of us in Central and E MA over 1.5” of QPF.

Every time I have been there I was completely hammered. Excuse my spelling issues.

All it would take is a delay in mix for higher totals to verify.

Its all model noise at this point

Moderate sleet. 22/9

Moderate sleet now.

Nvm.

Not that it necessarily matters at this point or that anyone really is paying attention to it, but to me it appeared that the 00Z GFS looked more or less similar to what it showed at 18Z.

Guidance was consistent that once the uber-dry layer between 3kft and 5kft got broken through it would begin with -SN fairly quickly. So not surprising we go from nothing for 6 hours then all the sudden a flurry breakout.

I think we need to have a contest on where the sleet line actually sets up in and around the LV. I would like to see if Physical geography has a big play in this storm event. South Mtn and Blue Mtn usually plays some intregral part. Overall though 1-2 inches of sleet is just going to make the snow weigh more when shoveling/plowing. We will still have serious drifting issues in Northern areas of the Lehigh and Northampton Counties. Like you have said, I would love to see the forcing/banding be extended for a long period of time in the afternoon with thundersnow potential. . Honestly, many snow weenies want the most snow accumalations in the forum but after a foot of snow and inch or two of sleet after the big thumping of snow is eventually going to pack down or go through the fluffy snow and create one hell of a driving nightmare on the road surfaces since salt cannot work in these lower temps. Everyone screams about lowering snowfall accumalations, but its the road surface conditions that will determine the nightmare of this storm event. This storm reminds me so much of 1994 where it will be on the road for days with the extreme cold and everyone trying to drive in the ruts because the rest of the road surface is fricking ice covered compacted snow and sleet nightmare. I had to endure that for over a week and believe me it was not fun. Every intersection in and around Hamilton Blvd and Rt 78 was a living nightmare as making left turns in ruts was an ice skating rink. Can you imagine now 30 years later with all of the devleopment and congestion what Brookside and Hamilton will be like now?

Great win on the road by the Vols! I didn't have that one penciled in the win column. Since it is a weather forum, I'm getting rain in Jefferson County.

Super small intermittent flurries in Purcellville VA. 15.5 degrees and -4 DP