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EPS is a significant improvement

Something different from what the models are showing right now is going to happen for sure. I’m not convinced it will be big for us, but they are definitely going to be some surprises over the next 48 hours.

I’m not buying this eastern trend at all. Something big is going to happen this weekend.

Imo I would rather the storm just blows up farther south in NC & the precip field expands north.. I’d rather just have a nice average 3 to 6 snowfall then have this move more north but the development hurt us and send dry air into this specific area… I think that is what the models are having a hard time predicting…

Yeah… I think it’s overdoing it though. CAM’s will probably resolve it better but I feel like a low that strong is going to throw precip back. And if we can get even just a slightly earlier negative tilt it will help transfer the energy earlier and throw the precip back over the piedmont better. The gap is from the ULL snow and the energy skipping over and then the low bombing out and so that area misses the brunt of the ULL and of the coastal.

Verbatim, would get some accumulating snow pretty far west.

lol, Euro tries the EXACT same thing Next Saturday as it's doing for this Saturday. Can't make this shit up. Same result

Probably time for a February thread. The Euro is already trying to shaft us with a system next week that looks about like this one. Weak sauce here and it buries NE Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina. Meanwhile, the GFS gives us rain and smokes southern Kentucky with 6 inches. So we are right in the middle of the two, but we know it'll either fade far south or go north.

Why does the Euro hate Greenville? Did they make God angry?

Don’t love the dry slot between Raleigh and Highway 17 .

The butthurt DC area folks are a bit annoying, so Im popping my RVA area ass over here to see what's up. Hell, I'm interested even if Richmond only gets a few inches

You could have the issues Carvers mentions, but across all modeling you're looking at 4-10+ inches at this point.

Awesome, it seems too me that you think they will win it all this year. Go O's!!!! Hopefully things will change today with these models to at least give the eastern shore some love today. Let's go fern!!!

Only model with a hit is the 0z navgem so far. This model did pretty damn well in the last storm we had.

John, how is your gut feeling about Greeneville/Greene Co? Is this finally looking like the storm to give us a solid snowfall? At least 3-4”

I think its amazing how some posters here are just "throwing in the towel" on this storm like there is no chance of any snow when parts of the region could still receive anywhere from 2 - 8 inches AS OF NOW or more if there is a slight northwest jog of less than 100 miles. if you receive 4 -8 inches it will seem like a bigger deal because of all the snow already on the ground and frozen solid piles and VERY cold temps. The only good thing is it would be overnight Saturday once again very little traffic and Sunday a majority of people don't have to go to work or school. I also think the title of this thread is misleading - FYI it could be coming but only a smaller event than previously expected.

3-6" Kuchera -it's fine-wind gusts approaching 40 much of the time also

And by stepped back, I mean for those of us in the screw zone/western edge. It still pounds the far eastern areas with 6-10 inches.

Well, this may be nothing, but the Euro actually looks decent. But that it is pretty much the only model holding serve right now.

Rutschman is remaining a pumpkin Westburg is overrated Beavers and holliday have no tools Alonso regression + horribly aging + no fielding Cowser is playing in japan next year Basallo Ks too much Ward can pop a HR once and a while but thats it Trevor Rogers due for BABIP regression Kyle Bradish has had one (1) healthy season Baz and Eflin are Rays name brand merchants Dean Kremer is Israel's greatest soldier Bullpen is Ryan Helsley and a bunch of slapdicks

Euro Ai QPF

so no chances at all this moves enough north west or the precip shield goes back enough to get any snow in central PA?

Well I will gladly take none just so your ass gets none

Not surprisingly at this point, the Euro stepped back from it's 18z run. It's so odd that it's changing the same way every other run.

Beautiful.