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What the hell is going on?

May 4 1926: Morris goes from winter to summer temperatures in one day. The morning low was 32, followed by a high of 89. For Monday, May 4, 2026 1812 - A storm produced snow from Philadelphia to Maine. A foot of snow fell near Keene NH, and in Massachusetts, nine inches fell at Waltham, located near Boston. (David Ludlum) 1917 - A late season snowstorm in northwest Texas produced up to eight inches of snow in Potter County and Armstrong County. (David Ludlum) 1922 - Austin, TX, was hit twice by tornadoes which struck within thirty minutes of each other. Twelve persons were killed in the tornadoes. (The Weather Channel) 1977 - A tornado 500 yards in width struck Pleasant Hill, MO, severely damaging the high school and grade school. Only minor injuries were reported among the more than 1000 teachers and students due to excellent warnings and prior tornado drills. (The Weather Channel) NOTE: Thumbs up to that school district 1987 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the southeastern U.S., with South Carolina hardest hit. Thunderstorm winds toppled trees seventy feet high in Spartanburg County SC, and knocked homes off their foundations near Bishopville SC. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced large hail in North Carolina, but brought welcome rains to much of the rest of the eastern U.S. Residents of New England finally saw sunshine after about a week of clouds and rain. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the Southern Plains Region and the Lower Mississippi Valley. Thunderstorms spawned fifteen tornadoes, and there were 340 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Hail three inches in diameter, and 9.39 inches of rain, resulted in more than 130 million dollars damage at Monroe LA. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 100 mph at Epps LA and Fort Worth TX. A thunderstorm north of Mineral Wells TX produced high winds which unroofed a nightclub, turning it into a "topless club." (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from the Lower Ohio Valley to Virginia and the Carolinas. A tornado at Augusta Springs VA killed two people and injured ten others, and another tornado caused 1.7 million dollars damage at Colonial Heights VA. Temperatures soared into the 90s in northern California. The high of 98 degrees in downtown Sacramento was their hottest reading of record for so early in the season. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) NOTE: Having drills in school for different scenarios is a good thing.

One of these days I'll get more than 0.5" from an event...

You're gonna miss IWX.

First 70 this year in town yesterday. Was nice to have the window open. Shwrs moved through early this morning. Gusty W winds on tap today with highs in the 50's.

WB 12Z NBM for midweek..

I would like to see how this actually translates to surface readout coming up.

32.45 for the low. Hopefully that was the last one. Summah coming in a week or so.

Yeah, it had been looking especially good for a Thursday overrunning event, but that now looks like it will be further south

But we can actually measure and quantify this and see that’s not true?

shame about the nice day falling on a monday but i'll take the garden variety evening skies later

If it’s going to rain 2-3”, I hope it’s just a nice steady rain. I had a thunderstorm roll through a couple weeks back and the grounds just so hard it wants to puddle and make an absolute mess. Let’s have it soak in nice and slow

Not as common in that part of the world, but I put out several of them in my time in Midland. Usually a high desert type deal or Southwest US during monsoon. Been so dry in those parts and high winds carry the dirt and dust off the plains. Quite a setup to get that up there.

This keeps happening, esp for eastern areas. Pretty soon rain chances will become dependent on convection, which is always hit and miss.

been there done that, it's a new thing now, also pesticide laden af big ag has completely obliterated midwestern top soil

Blowing dust? BLOWING DUST ADVISORY NWS CHICAGO IL 259 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2026 ILZ019>021-023-032-033-039-107-108-INZ001-002-010-011-019-042300- /O.NEW.KLOT.DU.Y.0001.260504T1600Z-260504T2300Z/ 1100 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2026 La Salle IL-Kendall IL-Grundy IL-Kankakee IL-Livingston IL-Iroquois IL-Ford IL-Southern Will IL-Eastern Will IL-Lake IN-Porter IN-Newton IN-Jasper IN-Benton IN- ...BLOWING DUST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CDT THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Visibility as low as a quarter mile in blowing dust, particularly in open agricultural areas. * WHERE...Portions of central, east central, north central, and northeast Illinois and northwest Indiana. * WHEN...From 11 AM CDT this morning to 6 PM CDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions due to reduced visibility. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Visibility could vary rapidly over short distances, slow down and exercise caution driving in open areas this afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Persons with respiratory problems should make preparations to stay indoors until the storm passes. Be ready for a sudden drop in visibility to near zero. If you encounter blowing dust or blowing sand on the roadway or see it approaching, pull off the road as far as possible and put your vehicle in park. Turn the lights all the way off and keep foot off the brake pedal. Remember, 'Pull Aside, Stay Alive'.

Yes we have had some hot days this spring... but I feel like me have more below average than above average days.

This is a new one for me

My leaning of the weekly relative 3.4 going up from +0.2 in last week’s release to +0.4 in today’s turned out to be what happened for its 4th rise in a row. Nino 1+2 cooled again (by 0.2) to +0.7. Nino 3, like Nino 3.4, rose for the 4th week in a row to +0.5. Nino 4 was unchanged at +0.5. So far, it’s not behaving as if it is headed to strongly E based this autumn. Cansips has been suggesting central to W based with E (1+2 to 3) not as warm as C to W (3.4 to 4), but we’ll see as there’s a long way to go: Date (avg for wk centered on)………………....1+2………..3………..3.4………..4 01APR2026 0.8 -0.3 -0.3 0.2 08APR2026 1.1 -0.1 -0.2 0.3 15APR2026 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 22APR2026 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.5 29APR2026 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.5 ——————- The latest SSTa charts suggest a pause, which is long overdue, MAY finally be occurring temporarily:

The operational models, all of them ... are lagging behind the mid month warm signal that both the numerical indices, and the extended range ensemble synoptics ( all three) suggest. They are flipping the script after ~ 12th to 15th in there. The operational versions are oblivious. Reloading a winter mocking pattern foot. They're stuck. It's gotta end at some point... So I guess we'll see.

34 degrees which is getting pretty close to freezing. NWS is saying a chance of freezing the end of the week. Edit: My next bitch…we can’t have a nice day without wind.

Even this week feels like a step up. Freeze threats and highs in the 40s are waning…although the 6z GFS tries to shit on Saturday again.

If I copied the forecast from 5 Saturday’s ago, it would still be applicable to this coming Saturday. WTF.

Yeah going to be a stout cold front again this week after some great beneficial rainfall.