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@The 4 Seasons 1.75" today @ the lake. 61.25" for the season.

I'm declaring this dead. GFS will either cave at 18z or just continue to keep being wrong. This shit is day out.

Today’s isn’t quite as aggressive as yesterday’s 100% of all members reversing and a mean dip to -11 although it’s still more aggressive than all the other runs with ~97% reversing and the mean dipping to -5:

Wow, the euro actually got smoked at d4 lead times pretty hard in that one.

RGEM also no. Tick north but still a ways to go for results.

Understood! Still found it funny though, lol But I get it

It was always a dumb statement with pretty much no support.

To be honest, probably not. We still see very mixed results on SSW's in our area and their direct impact on sensible wx. It can help, but its not that we didn't have cold in place. Displacing the TPV from over our heads would have been more helpful.

I saw.....just skipped it by because. Yeah. Nah.

Lol looking at the 12 hr image huh. I mean you're not wrong. It ends up north of last run and more amped but no dice.

Was crazy that we got nothing that March, month was like 6 degrees below average.

Looks like Thursday night is coming !

EPO and WPO start to tank around 3/12. Maybe one last hurrah after the warm spell?

ICON looks like a no at 12hrs.

I don't even know if we can call it a storm, and it may not be one

I thought we were going to do it in 2013/2014. I was at 58 inches and I needed to eclipse 92 HOWEVER the models were showing an early March 16 inch event followed by 2 smaller events. They all were suppressed south to the MA and we were shut out.

I've always kind of thought 25-30" as a good approximation for our average, which seems about right. See below for all my January data (not sure how great this will come through). Date Prec. Type Water Snow 6-Jan Rain 0.01 9-Jan Rain 0.05 10-Jan Rain 0.45 11-Jan Snow 0.01 14-Jan Rain 0.05 17-Jan Snow 0.17 2.2 18-Jan Snow 0.21 2.5 24-Jan Snow 0.33 3.7 25-Jan Snow/Sleet 1.25 5.1 26-Jan Snow 0.01

Your such a bore with your illogical tripe. 0% chance that an NWS report is accurate??? You just destroyed credibility for your "beating a dead horse" tirades about D.C. snowfall collapse. Can you please define "0% change"

That's not great. My quick look at things, seems like weaker / further south is would be the lean based on 12z. Still plenty of time for that to change though.

As the author, we understand your pumping the storm! :-)

How about 5" of basin rain into this pack at 55F whilst the ground beneath is still frozen mm? mmm?

Which one am I supposed to use?

I feel reasonably confident that when the February numbers are tabulated a couple of weeks from now, we'll see a repeat of this enabling layout that knee jerk triggers myopic types, that have trouble with multi-variate simultaneous awareness of reality they cannot see everyday, into more maddening evidence of compos mentis in the matter -

I wasn't sure if I should laugh or thank you for this so I did neither. You know, I'm guilty of assuming our average is a bit higher than those numbers. In my head I consider average around 30" because i think that's what it used to be. I've got incomplete data this winter due to me being in Florida in January - what did you record for your total for that event?

I will put in 2” just to be safe