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  2. 15z HRRR coming in colder out to hr3 .. lets get more people in this!
  3. Looks like some modest evaporative cooling as the light snow has grown steadier, touched 30 and back down to 29.3.
  4. We need a Goldilocks storm. First was just a tad warmer norther, next is a tad souther fringer and we need one that’s juuuuuist right
  5. This from BAMwx was just released. I’ve yet to watch it. Hopefully it’s reasonable and not swinging for the fences too much: @donsutherland1
  6. I'm getting more optimistic about my lower levels looking to my east...main concern may end up being sleet/poor growth.
  7. Ah the joy of living in Lanco: @MUweather Despite early mixing issues, this last burst of snow should push snow/sleet totals into the 2-4” range for most areas north of the Turnpike and west of Rt 15 or South Mtn. However, southern parts of Lancaster and Chester Co’s won’t even get a coating.. along with @millersvilleu .
  8. All obs this year for me are from Fallston, MD - 11/30 - T 12/2 - A little frz rain to start - trees and car glazed - but 35 and rain for most of event
  9. We seem to be narrowing in on a higher likelihood of some light snowfall. Lots of details to be ironed out, with uncertainty about moisture and timing which opens the door for a modern moderate impact event (definitely less likely). Any chance for a higher potential coastal storm can probably be ruled out
  10. Some of those mesos yesterday were beyond awful at the sfc. Just complete disaster of a forecast.
  11. 13f. Light snow. Began around 1000- a little early, nice blob from PQI to Penobscot Bay. Expecting 2-5" had 2"on the ground to start. https://photos.fife.usercontent.google.com/pw/AP1GczNZDQNM1Uhfrzbvs8Xu6EkyJk6e7RI6ySYQDlGZzXV-4QEZDXdZciaO=w1019-h667-s-no?authuser=0
  12. Overall, Arctic sea ice extent is far below the prior record for December 1st. On December 1, Arctic sea ice extent was 9.342 million square kilometers. That was 419,000 square kilometers below the prior record that had been set in 2016. The 2010s average was 10.450 million square kilometers. The 1980s figure was 12.137 million square kilometers. 2024 and 2025 is the first case where two consecutive years saw less than 10 million square kilometers on December 1. Source: JAXA
  13. 33/27 still waiting for the onset of precipitation.
  14. Driving from Hagerstown to Frederick, lots of ice on the trees up on South Mountain. Major roads were fine though.
  15. This band has been pretty persistent and is moving NNE
  16. Snow started again after a 30 minute break . Won’t get an inch but maybe an ice storm?
  17. Anyone up here NW/Orange Co want to say when/if rain might mix in, and to what extent ? Given the HRRR, seems like NOAAs 2-4 for me NW of Middletown is going to be exceeded.
  18. It is a bit heavier down south, but that doesn't help us one bit, maybe a slight bump north, but still slides under us and out
  19. 15z RAP coming in much colder at the surface than even the 12z run
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