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53.6° -RA Everything is sobbing wet again. 0.23” through the tipper.

Reverse psychology for the win. Not much in the way of thunder, but it dumped so hard it woke me up. 0.61" out of it.

"Lower-than-normal forecast confidence heading into Friday, as guidance struggles with weak disturbances passing through the zonal flow aloft. The first chance for rain comes Friday morning as strong mid-level flow converges over SNE. There is little to no upper-air support, so it may be difficult to see more than just increased cloud cover and perhaps some weak showers. As for the weekend, guidance is in significant disagreement with rain chances as the GFS stretches a surface high into the region from the east, keeping us dry but cool for the weekend. The Euro and Canadian push the surface high further offshore, allowing a weak low-pressure system to exit the southern Great Lakes and move into the region. Examining the cluster analysis of all members from the GFS, Euro, and Canadian ensembles reveals that a wetter solution is favored, with only 14% of the ensemble members predicting a completely dry forecast. 56% of the ensemble members favor at least some light precipitation, while 30% indicate heavier precipitation and a washout." Our luck has to change at some point right?

Hey Charlie, Do you have any changed thoughts regarding the possibility of Hunga Tonga’s modern times unprecedented thrusting of so much water way up into the atmosphere being the main reason 2023 global temps had the sharp rise?

.86 rain overnight.

Blog article by Tamino on paper using statistics to determine if warming has accelerated. The paper is being revised in response to peer review comments. The updated statistics estimate that the warming rate has roughly doubled in the past decade. We are have received 2 decades of warming in the past decade. Tamino notes that some slowing off this spike should be expected. https://tamino.wordpress.com/2025/06/08/picking-up-speed/#more-12598

Likely above average, 1-2 degrees. Absolutely agree about dews, lots of 88 with a dew of 75. Our climate is more resembling the coastal Carolina’s during summer. As the higher temps with lower dews combo migrates north to Montreal and Maine.

I think that watch we had today might go down as one of the least severe producing ones we've had locally in years

Meh, that's a lot of money to just use climo as a forecast

Warm and wet would be my guess. Prob another high dew summer.

Above average all time high averages, yes. But probably not too much extreme heat. I mean that's just gut bc long range forecasting is meh imo.

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i just took a look at my accuwx maps/temps lol

I ended up getting my 13th storm of the year, TWN snagged this one with pegged storms but WUN had the amount nearly down to the mm (I got 8mm, basically that was shown) and the 99% which for a squall line makes sense. Infrequent but bright, 'blooming' lightning. My ws didn't detect half of them strikes, I got 75.

It has been sitting over my area for at least the last 20 min. Not moving fast at all.

Hearing the thunder from that, but so far it's sliding to my SE.

Have a nice cell that started just to my immediate SW. Had some lightning with it at first now just heavy rains right over me. ETA getting some nice fireworks again.

Prob. And like last week it is CRAWLING.

Let it do a Pillow Split. Maybe it'll reform over here and give me a good one...

I'm trying to hold it back from crossing the Susquehanna River, but my efforts might be futile.

Just an awesome light show here for the last 90 minutes with the storms riding off to the NW. What’s left of the line is finally arriving.

Pop up thundershower formed almost right over top of me. Heavy rain falling.

I'll bet that line doesn't even make it across the Susquehanna. If it does, it most assuredly won't make it to my backyard.

Speaking for myself- I enjoy it. I probably mow every 3-4 days. Lawncare and landscaping are a hobby and are actually enjoyable. Many dread having to cut the lawn on weekends, so they can't imagine why someone would do it more than once a week AT most. I dont do it to "keep up with the Joneses" or one up my neighbor with a meticulous lawn or landscape, I don't have any neighbors--lol. I get a lot of us have different views on what is or isn't a waste of time, resource, money when it comes to this. I do spend a good amount of money(mainly on perennials plants/trees/conifers/etc) and like the yard overall looking nice. Part of that is the lawn too, which I also like freshly cut in combination with all the landscape beds. Certainly get that many on here could not give two craps about it this stuff. I really try to keep the lawn stuff as organic as possible, but will also do soil tests to see what is needed for lawn and plants and make amendments based on that so Im not just throwing stuff down that is not needed. With all that said, maybe your neighbor is bored out of his mind or hates his wife