All Activity

62 / 52 clear. Stretch of nice weather continues to marchon. Dry and cooler than normal overall, still would watch the cutoff of the trough next week in the Tue - Thu period. Trough deepens into the Midwest before ridge builds west by the 6-7th with overall warmer beyond.

Aerating/Overseeding sometime in mid September. Just bought starter fertilizer and JG Black Beauty Ultra

48 for a low at my house, 47 at Mesonet station. Been a beautiful week with highs only in the low to mid 70s.

65 here

Our recent precipitation patterns shifted to drier following last August. We have also been very erratic with wet months and dry months and not much in the middle. The recent deluges back in May and the early summer weren’t widespread enough to affect the whole area. Plus the magnitude didn’t rival the historic flooding last August with 10-15” in just a few hours. They also didn’t rival some of the summer flooding in 2023 where place like the Bear Mountain area had over 10” in a few hours. This is too short a period of time to determine if this is a new longer term shift to drier relative to the 2000s and 2010s. We would need more time to see if we shift back the wetter pattern again next few years. What we can say is that Canada has developed record dry patterns in recent years and that the dryness has also included our area over the last year. These lower dewpoints originated up in Canada with the record drought there. It occurred as the Southeast Ridge shifted to troughing in recent weeks. Which acted as a giant heat and humidity pump earlier this summer.

The avg first 32° at HIE is 9/14 at the ASOS. You should be close to that. Last year was the latest since the station started in 1996…October 6.

MVY and OWD always good for relative mins

I found fall seeding to be much more easy to establish. Warm days, cool evenings, good soil temps for germination, and you’re not fighting against weeds as well. So long as you keep the ground moist you get the quick germination.

9/9 ? Damn you are desperate

I figured someone up there must have ... 46 here.

I saw a 42 in New London on Ryan's TV station

I think my average is around Sep 9, but I've seen it as early as August 17 in my 8 years here

It was negative but it was negative 1948-55. So, it was very different back then as opposed to back and forth every two years.

Sanford SFM That site is a pit like OWD

Though support has waned significantly since all but the GFS had it on Monday, the 0Z UKMET brought the E MDR AEW back from the dead (albeit with later TCG) with a minimal TS due to a strong pressure gradient below a rather strong Azores high moving WNW: NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 156 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+156 : 15.6N 33.8W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 03.09.2025 156 15.6N 33.8W 1010 34 0000UTC 04.09.2025 168 16.9N 35.9W 1011 35 ——- But GFS/Icon/CMC/Euro have no more than a weak reflection at the sfc. Yesterday’s 12Z JMA has close to a TD but it doesn’t develop further and weakens. If this were to develop, it like Erin due to latitude would be a good recurve safely candidate as of the current model consensus of steering fwiw but a long ways to go if it were to actually develop. Edit: Some EPS members develop this but only a pretty small percentage do that. The GEFS is very quiet, however.

Not sure if QBO data goes back that far but I wonder if that’s a match too or not

What’s that 38F min like the next town east of you? Thats probably like 3 degrees away from frost on elevated patio furniture like Alex.

Mins

I’d start packing seeing that. Wayy too early for my mindset.

I hope this isn’t going to jinx us come December it’s been one glorious week for sure!

53 the low here

Reminds me of the beat down of the Patriots by the Bills in a playoff game a few years ago..

“Only” 33° at HIE this morning. Bummer.

Canaan dropped to freezing around 10 pm last night then wobbled between 30-32 degrees overnight. 31.6 there at 7 am.

50.2F in Lancaster this morning. Could not quite break into the 40s.