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Fair

sun breaking out here now

Canadian and Icon both have the system but it scoots south of us. As depicted the northern tier could get on the board with the GFS scenario. Below freezing along the M/D line overnight and only mid 30s by Tuesday afternoon.

Pouring and gusty in Freeport right now. lol, wtf?

That's January weather down this way! Heading back up to the hotel again this weekend as we do some more house hunting in the area. We'll be sure to pack boots!

I've noted that trend too. Especially with the euro.

Really can’t complain about this in November. Stake up to just over 6”.

It is starting to finally pop out here, so hopefully in an hour you get it. Of course the wind is whipping again though.

Longer range teleconnectors like Dec 1-5th for winter implications

Nasty day. Waiting for that sunny forecast to verify…

That’s like 7/8 of winter Paul lol..not a half .

I used to collect the OFA every year back to the early 90s…no idea where they all are now. They were always a good read even if the forecasts were just entertainment.

Looked like heavy snow for a brief period, 35 stories up in Lower Manhattan. Now its flurries/drizzle. Rain closer to ground level.

Graupel, you should reply back and correct them

No worries, Don! Very easy to do. I sometimes get them mixed up. Actually, at first, I didn’t see what I noticed with a second look.

Definitely felt what could have been grapuel or sleet

Security at my office in Parsippany just sent an email out regarding a hail storm that just occurred. Telling us to go check our cars for damage.

It's shrunk down to about 1/3 the thickness of OFA and is free (except for the advertisers). Also, Dublin is a pretty town and a snow-catcher due to its elevation. I'll let you comment on your town.

Anecdotal and vibes-based, but it seems like since August we’ve been trending cooler at short and mid-ranges in contrast to what seems like always betting warm. Next week potentially looking quite chilly now. Mid-month torch that was expected has been muted/deleted for sure.

I've had a similar thought... maybe I'll give it a whirl this year for DCA. Speaking of digital snow that's unlikely to happen, GFS is back to trying for Tuesday. Temps before, during, and after the "event" suggest it would be wet snow that doesn't really stick anywhere but it's the only game in town. Don't think another model has shown anything at all, so

Every year I think that someone should do a running tally of the "total digital snow expected next 120 hours" and put it on a spreadsheet. Start on 12/1/25, then add a new row on 12/5/25, etc

I screwed up on the last part. I had been looking at a lot of temperature charts and used the wrong scale when switching to winds.

750ft down here in the river bottom.

last 2 days was a december feel..