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Here we go again.... District of Columbia-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore- Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard- Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford- Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Culpeper-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William- Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 1206 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...The District of Columbia, and portions of Maryland, including the following areas, Anne Arundel, Carroll, Cecil, Central and Southeast Howard, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Frederick MD, Northern Baltimore, Northwest Harford, Northwest Howard, Northwest Montgomery, Prince Georges, Southeast Harford and Southern Baltimore, and Virginia, including the following areas, Albemarle, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria, Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park, Culpeper, Eastern Loudoun, Fairfax, Greene, Madison, Nelson, Northern Fauquier, Northwest Prince William, Rappahannock, Southern Fauquier and Western Loudoun. * WHEN...From 5 PM EDT this afternoon through this evening. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Showers and thunderstorms will track across the area late this afternoon into this evening. Storms will be capable of producing very heavy rainfall, with 1 to 3 inches possible in an hour where stationary cells or multiple rounds occur. Widespread rainfall totals near an inch are expected, with localized maxes of 2-4 inches.

Flood watch up till midnight

I planeted a tomato plant and a jalapeño plant in a raised garden. It’s doing ok so far. Got them at Home Depot lol

90F/DP 72/RH 59% as of noon.

Changed my plans today for water park to big snow. It’s unbearable even for a water park. I was working on my veggie garden this morning and was drenched in sweat in 20 minutes.

You sure it's not because of something you did late last night?.

Looks like BML ASOS average minimum in July should be 52F. They haven't been below 60 degrees in 9 days now.

80°+ dewpoints used to be rare. Now its quite common to find them when perusing the maps or various station observations.

The increased moisture and dews just remove the radiating from the radiators and man the temperature departures get out of hand in a hurry. These are the current 30-year normals... I can't wait to see what it looks like after we bake this decade in: Saint Johnsbury... 80/58 Morrisville-Stowe... 79/55 Montpelier... 78/56 Mid-July normals are highs near 80 and lows in the 50s. That implies there should be a bunch of days cooler than that level too. It's just hard to even imagine running a current July with those averages. All three sites are +5.7 to +6.1 on the July through the first half of the month.

..and by then will you be saying how terrible the winter of 25/26 is going to be because of the lingering heat and humidity??

too close to land https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/93L_tracks_latest.png

Initiation is farther east, but the wave itself is taking a more northerly track. There is more juice to work with this time with a more extensive pool of mid-70s dewpoints. Severe seems pretty iffy, but maybe a broken tail or secondary MCV at least gives rain farther south. Prayers.

google deep minds ai model kills it still, I called for a landfall here (even if invest): July 19-25 Gulf TX, Louisana, W FL

And the funniest part is there’s several posters that say it’s not been a hot humid top 3-5 hottest Julorch despite all the actual data and facts showing it . And cite Logan’s runway in the north Atlantic as their argument.

I was explaining this to my girlfriends parents...though not sure they fully grasp it living in Florida. I think their takeaway was "oh my God that's chilly" when I talked about how lows should be down into the 50's within northern New England

86/79 These dew points have been absolutely insane. Day after day it's 70+. Floridian humidity on a daily basis

Oh it is. Up here feels like what I remember CT being as a kid in Woodstock. Like I've been saying, our average minimums should be solidly in the 50s. Which usually means dews in the 50s. Our average low this month is 62F and running +6.1 for July in the means at MVL. That is INSANE for a summer month.

so a typical january day around here

Ha, zero illusions of that. But we'll get some relief. Folks are getting worried about mold up here. It's been pretty unrelentless for a spot who's average low is in the mid-50s lol.

Scooters warm pool eddy in the Atlantic ensures that most of SNE stays mainly humid well into Sept. A day here and there of lower dew near 60 after a fropa, but they come right back .. like hair on a freshly shaven back

Is that for stations that haven't changed e.g., location, etc.?

Things just seem much different. Our breaks from this stuff used to be like several days...heck, we could go weeks without 70+ dews. I seriously think we're going to get some stretches moving into August where dews are 77-80F. It's also not helping matters that oppressive dews are being transported well into the upper-Midwest and into central Canada so what used to drying out NW or WNW flows turns into just another source region for higher dews lol. So our fropas result in dews going from 70's to 60's to round 70 lol