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  2. HRRR was slower with the northern peice of energy .
  3. That’s not a massive jump east lol. It’s just weaker
  4. At hour 30 which is 06z or 1:00am the HRRR has given me 0.46" of qpf with only 2.7" of snow.
  5. NAMing incoming soon if the latest SREFs are the indicator. 0z HRRR not as good as 18z
  6. Dynamic weighting, too...if you're on the fringes like I am, it's 80% SREFS, but if you fear taint...it's GFS/NOGAPS-heavy.
  7. okay sorry I was just asking Tony cause he's a better forecaster than you
  8. Drier and thus warmer for many. And maybe east too.
  9. I'll take a drive or 2 up to Pigeon Hills and I guarantee you they'll be all snow with temps so close as what's progged. Happened several times since I've been up here.
  10. Compared to 18z, 00z HRRR is a MASSIVE jump east.
  11. someone way smarter than me should make a board approved weenie model blend
  12. Freehold, NJ is my guess. I worry about the beach towns getting started later with accumulating snows when winds turn from off the water to the north as air temps are much warmer with this storm. I think central NJ does best and starts cutting dramatically NW. I feel my area of the Lehigh Valley is 6-10”.
  13. I think most the accumulation doesn’t come to after 3pm no matter what anyways. If we can get anything during the day that will just help boost totals.
  14. If you're going to go fishing for feedback on your gambling project can you take it to DMs please?
  15. Winds are cranking up here on the plateau. Cold air rushing in.
  16. Im guessing what was it Juno where it was a complete whiff still gives them nightmares. This looks a little bit more of a slam dunk imo.
  17. And I’m not trying to pigpile on the hires stuff. I think they have a purpose and are good in some areas. But too often they seem to start getting synoptically off when you start getting past 12hr.
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