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Man the Eastern shore gets pounded this run of the CMC.
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January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
NorthHillsWx replied to Jimbo!'s topic in Southeastern States
DC freakout commencing after that gfs run -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
ineedsnow replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
CMC looks great -
Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow 1/25 - 1/26
SACRUS replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
Total QPF (down from 00z) -
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Nah that happened with the +Bz on what could have been the aurora of the half century. Canadian still Quebec 1998s us. Euro isn't as destructive but still a lot of ice. GFS is now getting back into more ice. NWS has the 50/50 odds around I-40 which seems reasonable. Obviously, I'm praying hard for all snow.
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January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
The Iceman replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Yeah this is why you don’t start threads 5 days out imo. Major negative changes on the gfs and cmc. Suppression is definitely on the table. -
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
StantonParkHoya replied to Jimbo!'s topic in Southeastern States
Canadian trying for the Miller B transfer, but as has been mentioned, it's trended south hundreds of miles last three runs -
If the gfs was the only model showing a big snow at this range and other showed nothing would you think it was right? I’m still waiting on that blizzard it gave me last Thursday.
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January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
NorthHillsWx replied to Jimbo!'s topic in Southeastern States
GFS drops a foot on Larry in Savannah lol -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
SnowGoose69 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I would not worry a ton about the GFSAI. If the EUROAI begins going flatter its more a concern. -
Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow 1/25 - 1/26
Stormlover74 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
Not as good as 0z but still great -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
That is the hope...said that earlier. If CMC is slower, it will probably deliver. -
GDPS is great, but I'd pump the brakes on HECS-level. DC and north looks like it is <1" QPF.
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January 24-25: Miracle or Mirage
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
CMC is fantastic but it misses the full phase/tuck scenario. But for the record I would sign for the CMC in a heartbeat. -
Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow 1/25 - 1/26
WeatherGeek2025 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
6-12 is a big hit it's not major but big -
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
neverSnowsLCSC replied to Jimbo!'s topic in Southeastern States
Good. -
Throw the GEM, ICON, and GFS in the blender....good result.
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Very keen to see the GEFS
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow 1/25 - 1/26
SACRUS replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
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When you view it as 2 separate systems..1) overunning snow looks almost locked..amounts will vary. 2) the second piece, is at the time frame where models have some divergence in evolution (old saying " we're at x hr where models lose it, to bring it back as we get closer". Where ever those 2 overlap is going to be in for a potentially historic ride.
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I was thinking the same. The ZR was gone, but snow was missing. Somebody had to have been pasted on that run!
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Both can be (and actually is) true. The evolution is definitely a bit south and phasing occurs a hair later, but verbatim it's still a big hit.
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I'm not letting it get me down, but I hate when it does this
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That GFS run would break snowfall records in every southern state except Tennessee.
