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  2. Man the Eastern shore gets pounded this run of the CMC.
  3. DC freakout commencing after that gfs run
  4. Nah that happened with the +Bz on what could have been the aurora of the half century. Canadian still Quebec 1998s us. Euro isn't as destructive but still a lot of ice. GFS is now getting back into more ice. NWS has the 50/50 odds around I-40 which seems reasonable. Obviously, I'm praying hard for all snow.
  5. Yeah this is why you don’t start threads 5 days out imo. Major negative changes on the gfs and cmc. Suppression is definitely on the table.
  6. Canadian trying for the Miller B transfer, but as has been mentioned, it's trended south hundreds of miles last three runs
  7. If the gfs was the only model showing a big snow at this range and other showed nothing would you think it was right? I’m still waiting on that blizzard it gave me last Thursday.
  8. GFS drops a foot on Larry in Savannah lol
  9. I would not worry a ton about the GFSAI. If the EUROAI begins going flatter its more a concern.
  10. That is the hope...said that earlier. If CMC is slower, it will probably deliver.
  11. GDPS is great, but I'd pump the brakes on HECS-level. DC and north looks like it is <1" QPF.
  12. CMC is fantastic but it misses the full phase/tuck scenario. But for the record I would sign for the CMC in a heartbeat.
  13. Throw the GEM, ICON, and GFS in the blender....good result.
  14. When you view it as 2 separate systems..1) overunning snow looks almost locked..amounts will vary. 2) the second piece, is at the time frame where models have some divergence in evolution (old saying " we're at x hr where models lose it, to bring it back as we get closer". Where ever those 2 overlap is going to be in for a potentially historic ride.
  15. I was thinking the same. The ZR was gone, but snow was missing. Somebody had to have been pasted on that run!
  16. Both can be (and actually is) true. The evolution is definitely a bit south and phasing occurs a hair later, but verbatim it's still a big hit.
  17. I'm not letting it get me down, but I hate when it does this
  18. That GFS run would break snowfall records in every southern state except Tennessee.
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