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I don’t think so for Long Island. Gusts 60-70 which have already been recorded won’t be beat out here
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Unfortunately that describes near any media outlet these days, no matter your flavor
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Was even sharper about 9 AM, with some 70 dbz pixels. I'm guessing it will be more d9iffuse before it reaches our longitude. Little wind here so far. Fog rolled in and the temp jumped 5° (35 to 40) in about 30 minutes. 10 AM at IZG was 36, inversion holding there but it can't last.
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Should have known we were in trouble when JB got all cocky and made his Sistine Chapel post yesterday.
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I would definitely watch for some low topped convection to evolve this afternoon and move across Rhode Island and interior southeast Mass. Wouldn't even rule out the potential for a very brief tornado. You can see some convection developing south of Long Island now. We get any convection with thunder/lightning and we may see some 70-75 mph gusts (not widespread but very localized).
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0.5" IMBY of snow after a rainy day yesterday, and bitter temps this morning under clear, blue skies n fairly calm winds. -sd's near the Lake with -10's/-20's across inland NE MN. I-Fall's dropped 56dF in 26hrs from 34 to -22.
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As is very often the case with these events, I think the stronger and longer duration winds will be on the backside (CAA) of the storm. Maybe isolated gusts will be higher with any line moving through now, but areawide we should perform better with the cold air advection as it can mix down winds very efficiently.
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Worst is over. Lost a few holiday decorations otherwise this area handles 60 mph winds with no problems
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Been quietly thinking the same thing. Taking my adult kids to my old stompin grounds in Summit Co, CO Jan 8th-15th. They had an abysmal start this year. I have some friends still living there and they said I used my snow shovel before them lol. They said it's the worst start ever and they've lived there since the mid 90s. Thankfully that's changing quickly.
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This could come close to over 20,000 without power when all said and done for pseg long island wow Winds deft mixed down yet again
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'm sure everyone remembers how brutally awful I handled the El Nino a couple of years ago....was completely undressed by @bluewaveon how it would interact with the west Pacific. It was the best thing that ever happened to me in terms of my ability to forecast on a seasonal level -
The line fell apart and was nothing more than a drizzle here in Central Union county, NJ. Winds are relatively light, though were stronger around 6:45 AM.
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I talked to Mother Nature and it appears she's gonna wait for me to come back from FL on the 2nd. Sorry guys. But I did negotiate for a huge storm next month, so there's that.
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2025-2026 ENSO
donsutherland1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I agree. I've made some horrific errors. They were good opportunities for learning/improvement. I've never deleted any of my posts, good or bad. -
Sirens everywhere
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Ha...I remember that. Wow, that is weak.....lost some respect. Acknowledgement of errors is the primary catalyst for growth. -
Yeah, just started to rip here in the valley...been sort meh so far
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Whheeeeee https://x.com/ryanhanrahan/status/2002033307974832255?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg
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Same here. It occured to me that the white boards randomly scattered on the lawn looked a little ridiculous and I went out and retrieved them.
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Temp was 54 at midnight and has now fallen to 32 with very heavy snow showers moving through and a gust imby to 61 mph. Brief return to winter!
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Starting to roar out there.
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That squall line means business, moving through with heavy windswept rain. Don't let the radar fool you.
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That line they’re talking about must be the one from Long Branch to Toms River. It doesn’t look as bad as what’s passed but that has to be it.
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next 1-2 hours is the main show
