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Today's Highs: PHL: 90 EWR: 89 ACY: 89 BLM: 88 New Brnswck: 88 LGA: 88 TEB: 87 TTN: 86 NYC: 85 ISP: 84 JFK: 84

I know. The stuff tomorow will rob it. This is for tomorrow night into Friday.

Os offense is back to sucking against the Yankees. Sucks they blew Mondays game but oh well. Probably not consistent enough to make the playoffs anyway.

@dendrite, @stormtracker ! Fuck @Wow, he’s beyond useless!

Hurricane Lala at 0045z and 0605z from Aug 19 (that is, 0045z from almost 24 hours ago)

I get the dew and heat trolls, as well as the cold and snowy trolls, as well as the drought vs floods. But, for the love of what ever you believe in, can we just have a thread on reality?? PLEASE!!

Here is an example of the three-body scatter spike, essentially a form of bad radar data. The radar bounces off the large hail, and possibly back to the ground, back to the hail, and back to the radar. The DBZ values are up above 70 for a couple of pixels

I just need 2 more days of no rain, then I don’t give a shit! Hope you’re right on this!!!!

This is interesting. Meteorology is essentially the study of heat transfer. Winds increase in the winter, in large part, because the temperature difference increases between the mid and upper latitudes. We all know that. So, if we have 3.4 averaging 80 and NPac 52 (just for the sake of argument), what would the heat transfer difference cause the jet stream to do if the NPac was 45? In some ways that 7 degrees equals more stored heat than we could ever imagine, decreasing winds. But in the grand scheme of things, is it a proverbial drop in the bucket? Winters suck here because we're almost always close enough to be in the game yet we rarely score a goal. That's numbingly frustrating to us weather fans (in no small part why @dailylurker and I rented a damn house at the apex of the Tug). But I digress...you said (and I am an admirer of you) that you don't think the STJ would be materially impacted due to the increased temperature of the 'blob'. So, I'd love to figure out a way to calculate at what delta would the reduction in the temperature contrast between ocean latitudes cause the STJ to peter out, nullifying the best part of El Nino......and are we close?

Boundary temps. Cold above… rain. Cold below….ice. Fucking hate freezing rain!!!

I can deal with the weekend, as shitty as it’s going to be. I just need 2 more days of harvest!! Running around like a chicken with its head cut off trying to keep up with breakdowns. Got silage yet, but that’s weeks away.

I'm moving to West Townsend, that is my concern too Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk

So many bad teams. The final WC spot in the AL will probably go to a team 5 games under 500, or worse. But this is good for baseball! If they want to be like the NBA. Remember when playing a 162 game season actually meant something? They should cut it back to 100, and even that's too long when so many teams get in anyway. NFL is king and always will be. Just give us an 18 game season please? Playing an odd number of games is fucked up.

Deep layer shear is good tomorrow, and there an solid 250 mb jet involved, unlike last time, so better dynamically. HRRR really makes the CAPE stand out over the entire bay. PWATs come up nicely during the day, so do sfc dew points.

Mostly SE of me. Those people get all the damn blizzards too!

After eating a turkey club for lunch, I'm having a vegetarian dinner with massive fresh local Brussels spouts, oven roasted with salt and pepper and a bourbon-maple syrup glaze, along with quickly sautéed sugar snap peas in butter. And ofc an old fashioned. All healthy and delicious!

You agree - pretty nice inland. Fully expect Stein to save the day and we'll see lots of dews, a few showers but mostly dry and nice. Hopefully S coast gets flooded out but that simply isn't the case for most

High of 98F at 3:10pm

I guess a flood watch could still be issued by upton A cold front will slowly approach and move through the area Thursday into Thursday night. A period of moderate to heavy rain with embedded thunderstorms will move through Thursday afternoon into Thursday evening. There is the potential for isolated to scattered instances of flash flooding, with rain rates of 1 to 2 inches per our possible during this time frame.

A time traveling TC!

@CoastalWxdoes not realize the RPLUS for ern sections is not fcst for tomorrow. The srn MCS is long gone. The big GHG rains are overnight Fri. This is not purely a diurnal convective event!

Link to the pdf, its open access. https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/joc.5203 A general takeaway is that they drilled in on the precision and accuracy of homogenization versus actual parallel data for several variables (tmin, tmax, etc) and generally find homogenization is better than no homogenization, but still needs refinements. Everyone would agree with that. No one is claiming homogenization is always accurate. What homogenization is doing is gathering information that is dormant in the stations around a target station, and adding that information to the raw target station data. Sharp changes at individual stations are visible against the backdrop of other stations, and this is information we want. This is what Chubbs is demonstrating directly in his examples. And looking at his examples, one can see there is a lot of noise inherent in the process.