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Of course! I wouldn't let you down...

I knew I could count on you!

Some of us live above and we take!

we Euro!

At this rate in the next few weeks if we don't get one east of the Mississippi this might be the first time in a couple years most of us haven't had a nasty summer derecho

You have better lake breeze positioning than me. Afternoon popup convection is shadowed by Lake Michigan almost every time IMBY. Also, this summer the upper trough always seems to dig more to the east of Michigan. Being on the trailing west side of every trough / ridge-flattening event is just not ideal. Edit: Interestingly GRR did have many days with precipitation, and even thunder, but they were mostly extremely measly amounts

Yea. Specifically it has been both west and north. The northern plains has been active. They typically get that southeasterly low level flow this time of year that always helps enhance the shear even when 500 mb flow is marginal.

As a former South Carolinian... Hugo was 89. Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

It is trying we need to continue to see the onslaught of tropical/ synoptic activity holding the ridging pattern out there at bay. It more so looks at this point the waters are just being displaced yet again across the region like we saw last year. One noticeable feature has been the warming of waters around the Bering Sea versus the last couple of years where we saw a large cool pool which would thwart any effort into ridging staying in the EPAC. Still got a long ways to go but good signs none the less. Kind of still liking this idea of a 500mb pattern as we get into winter. It allows some relaxing of the horrible winter pattern we have had over the last at least 5 years across the Mid Atlantic.

How can we get any heat when most of the sky has been filled with thick smoke and haze for days. It was incredible actually seeing blue sky today and that big yellow thing that I think is called..the sun? Unbelievable!

The jet energy has been there, but it always stays hung up in the Dakotas/MN and never moves east.

Sorry, yes, 23, not 24.

Hi everyone! I've lived in Knoxville for the past 4 years and I've read this board during every snowstorm - growing up, I got into weather watching Nor'Easters hit (and sometimes miss) my backyard, slowly learning more about the model strengths and weaknesses and making forecasts for myself. I had forgotten much of my weather knowledge from back in the day but I always appreciated the insights and passion from everyone on this forum as I've revived my own passion for weather. I've learned a lot about what ingredients we need here to get snow here, and how much harder it is to thread that needle than I'm used to! For those of you who have lived in East Tennessee for much longer than I have, I'm curious about what you consider to be the "average" snowfall for Knoxville. I think I've seen it brought up that some of the very old TYS data has some missing/inaccurate totals, but online I've seen both 4.6 and 6.0 inches reported as the average. Do those seem about right? Sorry if this is a bit off-topic, I think it just gives me some useful perspective for the winter speculation.

no severe storms at all, perhaps the new norm? SNE, not speaking for NNE. also no cold fronts, just very weak boundaries. Perhaps Septorcher we'll see a severe storm or two when an actual front arrives

and with that southern charm, this arrives "Bless your little heart" is a Southern American English phrase with multiple potential meanings, ranging from genuine sympathy and affection to condescension or even mild insult. It's often used to express pity or show concern, but it can also be a way to subtly express disapproval or dismiss someone's actions or words, often with a layer of Southern charm. The specific meaning is highly dependent on context, tone, and the relationship between the speaker and the person being addressed

81 today. Beautiful evening on the boat. Stayed out past dark and it was a perfect night.

I think July has the lowest standard deviation for monthly temps, so it doesn’t take much of an anomaly. The humidity definitely helped boost the overnight temps.

Cosigned. -PDO actually starting to reverse

If our weather is warmer and more like the mid Atlantic at least we could get severe every once in a while. It’s only fair

I was traumatized so much this winter with the GFS’s multi biblical blizzards only to be let down. Like an abusive lover, the GFS promised to never do it again if I took it back. And now look what’s happening. I gotta find a new hobby. I hear BASE jumping is fun….

And since it'll be coming N at 50 mph, on the east side that means 205 mph winds! Bye Bye Fire Island

Haven't had a good rainy day in weeks up here... Trees are badly hurting to the point leaves are dying and changing colors and the West River up 30 is damn near dry in spots, only thing I can think of to make this worse is getting an unusually brutally cold and snowy winter like the winters of yor in a few months then a very monsoon spring Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

Right-we all live at 1000 feet. I’ll give you my house in Chestnut Hill (Brookline part). High was 81-similar to Newton and the swamp as you call it.