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Not really anything impressive yet with regards to concentric banding around Erin's donut of an eyewall. Granted, this is a good distance away from San Juan's radar tower. Erin continues to have a small but stable eyewall for now.

It's very scary, like a line of fog that's quickly approaching.

Another beautiful Saturday in northern VA

It does sound Italian....

you guys share the same gods too (I mean the ancient cultures in each group of course lol), the Romans just changed the names lol

ugh the state Mesonet is too coarse, they have one station in Nassau County and it's in Wantagh and I might as well use FRG lol. I'm like 15 miles west of there.

Meh here. Only 4 days with thunder and except one strike about 3 miles distant last May, nothing has come within 5 miles. Average here thru mid-August is 11 and lowest thru 8/31 is 8, in 2010 (also that year's total).

What is the reasoning for why ACE would matter so much for the winter pattern? It's kind of hard to accept at face value that any heat transfer now would matter say 3-6 months later. It also seems like the ACE calculation is flawed since it doesn't take storm size into account. A little storm like this is treated the same as a much broader one right?

Only one clap of thunder here. It rained briefly, but no flush hits recently. Sun is popping back out, so maybe that’ll energize things with that trailing batch near Hagerstown.

One can't even calculate how many feet of snow we would have received from such speculations.

Liberty.

79/70 here

You can absolutely see snow squalls coming at you, and it is assume.

This is why we’re weather weenies… for storms like Erin.

3rd year in a row with top 1% Rapid Intensification 2023 was Lee 2024 was Milton 2025 Erin

Greeks do the same thing as well.

They have no stations in eastern Queens anyway, Queens College is the farthest east they get and that's barely east of the Van Wyck. You basically have nothing in the eastern half of the borough that faces Nassau. And technically it was part of the state Mesonet. And the sensor is on the roof of a building 50 feet up.

Borderline CoC here. 80F. Not too dewy. Partly cloudy. No smoke

There’s a blob of precip meandering south, but not sure how much of it will make it over the Catoctin force field.

Peek a boo but most cloudy Heatwave in jeopardy

Lollies to 12? Can always go higher.

Always take the over on temps under on rain.

Laughably ridiculous RI

Incredible photo. Those guys have be getting the shit kicked out of them flying in this beast