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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Dewpoints at or near 80 in Long Beach. For sure whatever storms we get will have tons of moisture. -
Looks like the classic Charlottesville area beat down incoming... Very high rainfall rates south of town at work... FFWs already popping...
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NWS said heaviest rain 3-8pm. We will find out soon enough if it is correct...
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Radar couldn't look worse right now for out here.
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Supercell composite Right now it is the most ridiculous humid conditions with heat I've ever felt here Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk
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If you smoke enough of it, you will think every snowstorm is a blizzard.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
Violentweatherfan replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
And right on queue it’ll run out of steam and be a lame storm as it approaches buck’s county -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
Typhoon Tip replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
yeah right ... I'm mean I'm preaching to the quire here but mmm ... it's kinda difficult to run a winter expectation when the world is warming. At baser arithmetic level, let's just say that warming is not synonymous with snow. I mean, we can get into the whole debate about burgeoning atmospheric ambient WV going up, such that when it snows it snows harder. You'd be correct. But that's during the 'initial stages' of this 'Anthropocene Epoch' - terminology debate ongoing amid the global scientific ambit. At some point, harder and hard snows become harder and harder mix ... eventually, cold rain. But something else is happening also. The CC that doesn't exist while something simultaneously fucks up actual climate ( ) is also represented in morphology of storm tracks. Storm behavior and morphology in and of themselves... Types and distribution. Speed of the ambient winter hemispheres - there's a reason most commercial airliner air-land speed flight records have been set in the last 20 years, on west to east intercontinental transits, and it's not because the vehicles are necessarily better. Any evolution of aeronautical design and power conversion mechanics via jet engine propulsion cannot account for taking off from Laguardia and landing at Heathrow in 3.5 hours... or whatever that was ( just 1 ex). Anyway, all this shit effects how/if a storm snows too. Think of it this way. We have a front side dammed in cryogen airmass, but the storm is moving some 15% faster than past climo storm motion... But the evaporation and other physics remain constant - that means the the storm moves by and limits snow, but warms the column in time to clip with more mix to rain scenarios. Just being a little creative here to exemplify the point... But, that 1 in 10 storm that stays snow, yeah...snowed more than expected - for now. -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
RedSky replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
Sky is angry here it comes -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
ineedsnow replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
LA with a 4.4 foreshock? -
I will guess it will be 2.33"
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I wonder how the commute is gonna be today I decided to leave work early. Don’t want to be stranded on the road with flooding. .
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For the 2nd run in a row, the UKMET (12Z) has a TD from off the SE US from a frontal zone with no notable strengthening and with very slow movement. This run has it initially moving NW/NNW before turning to the WSW and then SW a couple hundred miles off NC: NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 32.9N 73.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 03.08.2025 72 32.7N 72.9W 1010 26 0000UTC 04.08.2025 84 33.1N 71.9W 1009 26 1200UTC 04.08.2025 96 33.9N 70.8W 1010 29 0000UTC 05.08.2025 108 34.3N 70.4W 1012 27 1200UTC 05.08.2025 120 35.1N 69.4W 1014 30 0000UTC 06.08.2025 132 35.8N 69.2W 1014 31 1200UTC 06.08.2025 144 36.4N 69.1W 1015 30 0000UTC 07.08.2025 156 36.0N 69.8W 1015 31 1200UTC 07.08.2025 168 35.5N 70.4W 1016 29
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Bet the Pwats will be fun.
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The humidity is so bad that the grass(weeds) never dries out to mow
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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
Sundog replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
There are a few localized spots that still suck but they are way down from what they used to be and even the spots that still suck are better than what they were. Overall NO2 in the atmosphere is way down. And we were talking about rural spots anyway, not the Cross Bronx haha -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
LVblizzard replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
Looks like a legit supercell over Reading right now. It has that shape on reflectivity and there’s some decent rotation with it. -
2025 north-western hemisphere tcrs
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
barbie came out -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
nycwinter replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
worst july in a long time even though we got a few breaks the relentless heat and humidity was unbearable..